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tobi0040

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Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    Especially when he can go to winter ball and get at least half those reps back.
  2. tobi0040
    Also calling BS on Sano's bat not being MLB ready. But that is GM speak. They are not ready until the GM calls them up and suddenly they are ready. The funny thing is it is all relative. Sano vs. Vargas? Enough said.
  3. tobi0040
    I should have clarified my comment. If the Twins need are going to promote anyone to the rotation, I hope Duffey is not ahead of Berrios. If it is for 1-3 spot starts it would not bother me. I do think Berrios would likely pitch better but I would be more concerned about control. I am not concerned about when Duffey hits arbitration and free agency.
  4. tobi0040
    Unless you are talking about the bullpen, I disagree with your premise. If you are speaking of the pen, it would not bother me to see Duffey in the pen shortly.
  5. tobi0040
    "Since that day, Sano has been very good, reminiscent of his past years. In 46 games since that day, he has hit .320/.398/.616 (1.014) with 16 doubles and 11 home runs. He has 44 strikeouts in 201 plate appearances (22.9%)." I would argue he has been playing much better than his past years. Specifically, the .320 average versus his career minor average of .278. His previous year in AA yielded an average of .236 and an OPS of .914. I think he is up in about a month as the DH. My guess is that they still want him to stick at 3B and want him to get more reps there. In the meantime, he is up if either Plouffe or Mauer get hurt (Mauer getting hurt moves Trevor to 1B and Sano to 3B). At this point I just don't see the other longer term alternatives like trading Plouffe or moving Sano to the outfield.
  6. tobi0040
    The stuff, age, and track record of results show me that Berrios has a much better future in the big leagues.
  7. tobi0040
    I really hope Duffey is not in Jose's way
  8. tobi0040
    But he simply hasn't missed bats. I don't think repeating low A would bring Stewart from 6.5 K per 9 to 11.3. That seems pretty dramatic. Kohl's K per 9 is 4.5 in high A. I guess I don't see low to high A being a 4.5 to 11.3 jump.
  9. tobi0040
    I don't think Stewart would put up 81 K in 64 IP in Low A. He only had 62 k in 87 IP last year.
  10. tobi0040
    Agreed, each draft 15-20 relatives or children of players get drafted. For every Griffey there is six from the Mondesi, Gwynn, Clemens category.
  11. tobi0040
    if a players relationship to another player is the first thing mentioned about him, that is very telling.
  12. tobi0040
    Gomez gets MVP votes.
  13. tobi0040
    He usually starts out a month or two and then gets hurt. So I don't know about "present health". He missed 110 games in 2012, 36 in 2013, and 71 last year. But I guess I can't rule out some team giving him 5/100 as a free agent.
  14. tobi0040
    Quantity for quality never works. Imagine in 2005 or 2006 if the Twins would have traded Johan Santana for two of Gibson, Pelfrey, and/or Milone.
  15. tobi0040
    It is not as easy as who will outperform who. Nolasco has negative trade value. Nobody wants to go near him and that contract. Ervin may have some value if the Twins pick up a fair amount of salary and we are not going to sign a guy for $55M, watch him sit half a season and then pay him $7-8M a year for the next 4.5 years to pitch somewhere else. He has the track record of a pretty good pitcher.
  16. tobi0040
    I would be curious what Tulo's value would be though. I have a feeling this is one where is name recognition for fans exceeds the value teams would place on him (given his age, health, and contract). I agree wholeheartedly the package would be more than Gibson, Arcia, and prospects though. He is almost 31 and owed 5 and $100M and has not played a full season since 2011. He has to be pretty close to sliding over to 3b as well.
  17. tobi0040
    My analysis. Ervin is in the rotation when he is back. No way his $50M is in the pen or minors. Hughes is in the rotation because he is picking it up and under contract. Ricky is in the rotation if healthy. See above. Gibson and May have as much upside as any of them and would be under control through age 30 or 31. The Twins want to keep these guys. Between Pelfrey and Milone, guessing one is traded and one to the pen.
  18. tobi0040
    Evidently in his one start and other five inning game, he was sitting 93-95 with his fastball. He has really good control and four pitches. Of course he is a lefty. Sounds like good logic going into the pick. I will take that all day.
  19. tobi0040
    2 is better than 3. 1 is better than 2 IMO.
  20. tobi0040
    I think Joe should alter his approach at the plate, back to taking more pitches and working counts. I don't know if he made an effort to be more aggressive or if this is a reaction to Molitor telling him he needs to produce more runs. His BB % is 8.6% this year, compared to 14% in 2012, 12% in 2013, and 11.6% in 2014. His career average is 11.1%. As boring as it was and as many times as everyone complianed about him taking pitches, the guy that takes 35-60% fewer walks and chases balls out of the zone is 1) Not Joe Mauer and 2) Not as good of a hitter Parker, quick question for you. Do you think Mauer is less capable of getting out in front of balls and pulling them down the right field line (as he once was) or do you think he is just slow to adjust his approach?
  21. tobi0040
    You have to wonder if they should let the kid settle in up here before all the media work. The promotion was a bit of a surprise. He is being followed into the locker room by a camera crew. Being interviewed at his locker before his first game. Sounds like the made a big deal his home debut and had a pre game press conference. Now grab your bat and run up there against wacha or Martinez
  22. tobi0040
    At this point Hicks has been a below replacement level guy. Seth also said that he is including guys that didn't sign and had careers elsewhere (simply looking at their careers)
  23. tobi0040
    Agreed. He gets consistently rung up on balls outside and is forced to swing at them.
  24. tobi0040
    He would have gotten a lot of money, but I don;t think the same amount. I think 2009 was the year many thought Joe broke out some power. He had 44 HR from 2008, an average of about 10 a year. He hits 28 in 2009. Then goes back to hitting 9 in 2010. 2010 showed how flukey 2009 was and that was the guy moving forward, IMO. And as big of a hole as Boston or New York may have had, it was reasonable to assume the back 50% of that contract was not going to be as a catcher.
  25. tobi0040
    As a matter of housekeeping, I am guessing that any player that played an inning in the MLB is assumed to be a "better pick" than anyone who didn't, regardless of draft position? Just trying to reconcile Adam Johnson, a total bust at #2 overall being touted as a "better pick" than someone like Gutierrez who never made the show at 27th overall. Factoring in draft position I would argue Johnson was by far a worse pick.
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