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tobi0040

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Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    And as the article points out, most of those guys that signed extensions did so against the advice of Boras. My understanding is Boras was quite unhappy with Jared Weaver.
  2. tobi0040
    I think not being comfortable at 1B hurt his hitting more than we realize. From all accounts in ST he seems better defenisvely, which should help him at the plate. I also think an off-season of reviewing the way defenses played him last year will help him. I say .310/.385/430. 8-10 HR. 35-40 Doubles. That .815 OPS probably puts him ahead of Santana and Hosmer. I will also say that Cabrera will be ahead of Abreau. Cespedes and Puig had a nice retreat in year two after the first one. Pitchers have tape on them now.
  3. tobi0040
    The biggest head-scratcher for me were not cutting Duensing and signing both Stauffer and Boyer. We have enough talent in AAA to justify at least one of those spots.
  4. tobi0040
    I have the under.
  5. tobi0040
    Jay hit it on the head. Garza. Liriano. Gibson pre TJ. Gomez started at 22. Arcia started at 22. Mauer made his debut as 20. When we have guys that are elite or they play. Now we have them again. Sano would have been 22. Buxton and berrios could debut at 21. Re-run this study after this year and I bet we are one of the fastest. From 2002 to 2009 we took a lot of raw high school players and we were drafting from 20 to 30 in most cases (with many whiffs) Very few of these guys were promotable at 21 or 22. May and Meyer keep being brought up and they needed to skip AAA to meet this standard of not being too slow. Neither was in our system at 22. One had a rough go at AA and the other was still in high A. I think we are really forcing a viewpoint to fit reality here.
  6. tobi0040
    So when your team is bad you just skip AAA. I guess I can't get on board with this.
  7. tobi0040
    He needs to work on some things for 12 days. The Cubs were thinking he would be in the .450 range with 10 HR, not .425 with 9 HR.
  8. tobi0040
    Jokin, Can you list the players in the last six years or so we brought up too early and which we brought up too late? I am just curious on the math from your perspective. It is even at best for me. Too early: Hicks and Gomez. Too late: May, but by maybe a month. Nothing glaring. Not a strong opinion either way: Hard to look back now and say Meyer was ready. Santana and Vargas certainly did not warrant the move by their minor league numbers but they played well. Arcia was up at 22 and has looked promising but has a ton on both sides of the ball to work on.
  9. tobi0040
    Two points. First, even if they brought up Meyer and May too late, which I think is not a given, their would still be at least as many guys brought up too early than too late. Hicks and Gomez were not ready. I don't know anyone that would argue they were ready. Second, in May of last year....May had just come off a 4.87 and 4.51 ERA in double A. Then after 14 innings in Arizona (3.21 ERA) and four starts at AAA (4.97 ERA). That was the appropriate time to promote him and by not promoting him at this point the Twins were slow? Meyer had just pitched 70 innings at AA and was shut down with shoulder issues in 2013. He had a 3.12 ERA in 26 fall league innings. Meyer had a 3.69 in all of 19 innings at AAA. That was the appropriate time? So basically anytime a player has any time in AAA we are slow? I just want to understand the rules. Because it seems like no real trend exists here. If we had guys that were ready and young, like Mauer, Liriano, Garza, etc. at 21 or 22 we would have been playing them. I look around and I don't see them. That is the biggest issue versus being too slow IMO. Sano would have debuted last year if he was healthy (21). I think Buxton will debut at 21 this year. And Berrios will probably get some starts this year at 21 as well. I think the major story here is talent.
  10. tobi0040
    So everytime a player has a .719 OPS at AA we should promote him? What about a guy with an OPS of .844 in AA (hicks), who flops?
  11. tobi0040
    I am yet to find evidence the Twins delayed players repeatedly. At best, they have rushed as many (Hicks) as guys that people think they should have brought up before (Meyer). I think Gomez was rusehd at 22, even though he debuted someplace else. He was not ready when he came up. Vargas was in high A a year before he made his debut. He, like Hicks skipped AAA. Danny Santana wasn't exactly putting up promote me multiple levels either...
  12. tobi0040
    I really wanted May over Milone. But which of these guys should have debuted earlier and at what age? Trevor May. Came to the Twins at 22. As a 23 year old he had a 4.51 ERA in AA, not exactly allow me to skip AAA stats. At 24 he had a good year in AAA and made his debut, starting 10 games. Alex Meyer. His first year with the Twins was as a 23 year old. He came off high A in another system as a 22 year old. He spent a year at AA. The most innings he had ever pitched was 129 and he was shut down with shoulder pain. At 24 he was in AAA, on the cusp of breaking through and had a horrific stretch and was blowing through 80 pitches before the 4th inning in some instances. Got back on track, then was shut down again with shoulder pain. As a 25 year old he could not hit the broad side of a barn in spring training.
  13. tobi0040
    Addendum: Mauer - 20 (4 days from being 21) Gomez - 21 Liriano - 21 Garza - 22 Gibson was probably going to debut at 22 or 23 before TJ
  14. tobi0040
    Some of us thought May and Meyer were in line last year. Then along came Yohan Pino. Kris Johnson. Logan Darnell, etc. and the mainstay is the GM, who decides these things.
  15. tobi0040
    Totally agree. Milone has to be really bad in order to be repaced, which he likely won't be. He will be a 28 year old, #5 or #6 starter
  16. tobi0040
    Doesn't this assume that 1) A market exists for Pelfry and 2) This move hasn't been made because the rest of the league has been unaware we would trade him?
  17. tobi0040
    It isn't 100% about young versus old. Milone really isn't old. It is about upside. Milone's is that of a #5 starter. I think May has much better potential.
  18. tobi0040
    Here are the players I count that could play at differnet positions in a pinch 3B - Plouffe, Escobar, Santana, Nunez SS - Plouffe, Escobar, Santana, Nunez 2B - Dozier, Escobar, Santana, Nunez CF - Robinsin, Schafer, Escobar, Santana. Our GM thinks Torii could and "we would not miss much" OK, so the tough defensive positions are covered three ways until sunday. Here are the players that could come off the bench in the 9th inning with two outs, down by a run with runners on second and third: ABSOLUTELY NOBODY
  19. tobi0040
    The short answer is no. The long answer is in relation to Pelfrey, Mauer has at least proved to be an MLB caliber player and an above average one at that. He has been worth $23M once in his career. But that feedback session should be between Jim Pohlad and Bill Smith rather than Joe Mauer and Terry Ryan. How many people would not sign a bloated contract based upon an out of this world year? I would sign as quickly as possible and ensure that sucker was notarized.
  20. tobi0040
    During that conversation, Joe may remind him that among active players he is second in batting average (cabrera) and third in on base (votto and cabrera). The career obp is over 40 percent.
  21. tobi0040
    My version would go something like yours, but with Terry then asking for his $16 million dollars back.
  22. tobi0040
    I totally agree Gardy cost us games. But 10 a year? Allow me to add 10 wins per season to 2002 to 2010. There have only been 116 instances in history where teams have had 100 wins. The Yankees have 25. But #2 and #3 are Oakland (10) and Atlanta (8). So I don't think a Twins team led by a better manager, or any other manager would have had five in a nine year stretch. 2010 104 wins 2009 97 wins 2008 98 wins 2007 89 wins 2006 106 wins 2005 93 wins 2004 102 wins 2003 100 wins 2002 104 wins http://www.sportingcharts.com/articles/mlb/which-mlb-team-has-the-most-100-plus-win-seasons.aspx
  23. tobi0040
    What if Milone gets 20 starts and May gets 10? It is really the same concept as having your best hitters towards the front of the order. They will bat more than the 8 and 9th hitters. Maybe the need for a veteran like Livan Hernandez and his 5.48 ERA over 140 IP in 2008 helped cause game 163 that we lost? Or maybe similar logic caused us to go on the road in the playoffs versus having an additional home game.
  24. tobi0040
    I don't understand the "we should play him and build up his trade value". I see no realistic circumstance where we get anything other than a million or two shaved off the payroll if everything broke our way. . My guess is terry has been all ears for two years on the trade market and had found any interest.
  25. tobi0040
    I never understood this philosophy about it doesn't really matter who makes the team out of spring training because, in May or June out team will be set Are games in April worth less than games in June?
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