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tobi0040

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Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    In my opinion, Hicks was declared the winner when we traded Span and Revere.
  2. tobi0040
    We keep coming back to this. This is exactly why you don't annoint a guy based on 30-40 at bats in spring training. When you have an MLB track record that is a .564 OPS across 300 games. That should be a better bar.
  3. tobi0040
    I completely agree. We rushed him to the big show because we desparately needed him to show we got something for the Santana deal. Span was a better player at that age and should have made the team over Gomez.
  4. tobi0040
    I can't say HIcks and Benson ever had the tools for the label. Hicks has 40 HR in 570 minor league games. Buxton has almost as many SB's in 300 fewer games. From what I have seen of Hicks defense, I can't imagine that was ever plus.
  5. tobi0040
    I agree. It should not have taken that long to address it. But this off-season he should have been signed.
  6. tobi0040
    The answer was as clear as day, Colby Rasmus. He signed for 1 year and $8M. Clearly 100% better than Schafer or Robinson, with potential to stick on the team after Buxton arrives.
  7. tobi0040
    A lot of truth in this statement, but I think it has more to do with the label applying to people that don't deserve it. Scouts throw this label on anyone they deem athletic, like Aaron Hicks or Joe Benson. Buxton is a plus runner, defender, and thrower right now. Nobody can deny that. He has hit for average when healthy and most agree that the power should come. If not, I will take the other four.
  8. tobi0040
    It is rare that I defend the Twins owners. But after going 63-99 with an payroll near $110M (filled with a bunch of old players).....my understanding is Bill Smith's plan was to effectively double down and re-sign all the veterans, like Cuddy, Nathan, Kubel, etc. Hard to knock the Twins for wanting to go in another direction.
  9. tobi0040
    I will take garza's cockiness over delmons laziness any day The kicker is smith was convinced delmon was better than garza so he threw in our starting ss too
  10. tobi0040
    I meant to say you can't blame the yohan and hunter situation on smith.
  11. tobi0040
    Agreed. Can't blame Johan and garza deals on smith. I will say that part of go go's issue was that he was brought up way too soon an that is on the gm. I feel like we really rushed that to show we got something for yohan. The garza thing was irritating. You never trade a really good, controlled pitcher for a corner outfielder. You just don't.
  12. tobi0040
    Ricky, here is what we need you to do. You either say your elbow hurts or we trade you to Korea, we will of course be picking up all of your salary, as well as the one way coach flight.
  13. tobi0040
    Makes sense that he at minimum needs 15 days to rest. You can always put a guy on a 15 day, then move him to the 60 day later.
  14. tobi0040
    I was using the info on BREF, then taking a year away. They seem to be off a year on everyone I look up. Thanks for straightening out.
  15. tobi0040
    I think these are pretty low estimates though. I see Arcia screw up a play it seems every third game. I will also bring up prior to three days ago, 75 wins or so was kind of the TD norm. So it is also possible that I am not over-reacting to 3 games.
  16. tobi0040
    It would not be the first time I was overly optimistic. But an OF defense of Buxton, Rosario, and Arcia has to be at least two wins better than Hunter, Arcia, and Schafer/Hicks. An OF defense of Buxton, Rosario, and Plouffe has to be 3 wins better than the same one with Arica out there (who could DH). Buxton has to be a win at least better than the .600 OPS we have had in CF. Ervin is worth a win over the AAAA guys we have had. If 2 of May, Meyer, and Berrios reach anywhere near where most think they will, they have to be 2-3 wins better than the AAAA guys and 5.40 ERA Nolasco or Pelfrey we had last year. Between the 5-7 bullpen prospects we have, they have to be a win better than the pen we have had. These seem like reasonable expectations and get us to a 7 to 9 win improvement.
  17. tobi0040
    Can we expand on this notion that the Twins are slow to move their prospects? Outside of Meyer, who do you feel the Twins have delayed? At best, you have one guy on the too slow side (Meyer) and another on the too fast side (Hicks). This gets thrown around all the time here. I am just not sure what compelling evidence exists. I know we have not moved up a series of 20 year olds lately, but think that relates to not having 20 year old studs in the system versus being slow to promote them. From the 2005 to 2011 time period, we were conistentely drafting in the 20-30 range, drafting high school players, and our system overall was ranked in the lower half. When we started to get talent these guys were really young, like Sano, Buxton, and Berrios. We got them as 16, 18, and 18 year olds who will likely all debut at 21 or 22.
  18. tobi0040
    I don't neccesarily think we are going to lose 90 this year, if we do it will be closer to 88-90 than it has been in the last four years (mid 90's). From 88 losses to a .500 team is a total of 6 wins. So I think we can be above .500 and in contention in 2016.
  19. tobi0040
    Your walk rate "before the Twins" seemed to either cherry pick 130 innings on purpose or not think through the big picture. I was just pointing out that command was an issue before he walked in the door here. Saying "we ruined him" and he alluding to good or even average command before the Twins and bad command with the Twins is not accurate.
  20. tobi0040
    In college, from 2009 to 2011 his BB rates were 6.7, 6.3, and 4.3. You are using "before we aquired him" period as 130 innings in A ball in between college and the Twins.
  21. tobi0040
    I believe we can be a good team in 2016. Absolutely. Here are the main issues: Outfield defense - I believe Buxton and Rosario will be in the OF by the end of the year. That turns to at least an average group, likely above average The rotation - I think May or Meyer will have broken through in June (hopefully both). One start aside, I think Gibson will have a good year. Ervin will be back around then. Berrios will be here next year. Hopefully no Pelfrey, Milone, etc. The lineup - I am not going to pack up after 3 games, against pretty good pitching mind you. I think we start the year with league average offense, then add Buxton and Sano to that team.
  22. tobi0040
    I think that is a good summary. We have been terrible for four years. We keep hearing about all this talent and are clamoring to see it. I get it. I really do. It is just hard for me to see Meyer this spring, then see his line from yesterday (5 IP, 6 BB, 3K). To see him admit he doens't know what is going on, he has to figure it out, he is searching, etc.....and then conclude he should be promoted and handed the ball for a major league start. If the Twins view the best thing for his development as working with Neil Allen, then maybe he should be put in the pen and given an inning here or there in meaningless games. But I don't know how the Twins view Allen versus the AAA pitching coach. In looking up the AAA pitching coach, he was the bullpen coach with the Cardinals from 2000 to 2010.
  23. tobi0040
    That was one of six factors. Not a hard and fast rule.
  24. tobi0040
    Here are the only pitches I could find on you tube from spring training. Four pitches, nowhwere near the strike zone. I watched his entire start on TV. He routinely missed the glove on his fastball, by over a foot on several occasions. Whether this is a peak physical year or not, he has some things to work through. A bare minimum should be having a general idea of where the ball is going. The third link is to an interview after the appearance. In which Meyer says "I am really searching right now, something is going on mechanically". "It will come but something is going on right now". Is he in the right frame of mind here to bring up to the big leagues? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RRub0tpyB_w https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4DDlGDdThSo https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jNdOSJIWNJE
  25. tobi0040
    You don't think the Twins factored it in? Here is what I think was running through the Twins minds: -He was on a pitch count -He struggled with control -Scott Boras is his agent -He was shut down the prior year due to a shoulder injury, for all we know it could come back (which it did) -We have the potential to be a really good team in the 2016-2021 window -We were going to lose 90 games With all of those factors, I think we are kidding ourselves to think that service time was not a factor and wasting last year given those factors did not make sense for the Twins. Whether you agree or disagree with them, it was a factor.
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