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tobi0040

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Everything posted by tobi0040

  1. tobi0040
    I agree that Plouffe is the 3B until someone can take it from him. My guess is Sano and I think it is in the best interest of the team if Sano can play 3B. I don't really worry about him not being able to make the throw to 1B after tommy john. Plouffe gives us options. As a floor of a bench bat that can mash lefties and play multiple positions, that is a nice floor. Best case he can hit enough for LF or bring something back via trade. You could do worse at 3B than a .737 OPS. I think the Twins would be foolish to trade him until we know Sano can stick at 3B however.
  2. tobi0040
    Agreed. Athletic and good arm. The Twins will laugh that off, then roll with Willingham, Arcia types.
  3. tobi0040
    I agree. I don't think the Twins view him as a viable catcher option. So I think his future here could be an emergency catcher (3rd catcher) and backup DH. Please don't snicker, this could be an actual roster spot for us.
  4. tobi0040
    He also leads the AL in RGAI, really gets after it. The NL leader is Nick Punto. To the comment about Mauer being plus at 1B. I don't think he is right now, but this is year 1. He could eventually be at least for a few years.
  5. tobi0040
    Save Kevin Brown punching a wall, I don't mind a guy showing some emotion. I would get more upset when a guy gets shelled and doesn't seem to care. Scott Baker would always look the same after a gem and getting shelled
  6. tobi0040
    I agree that is what should happen, but it should have happened this year. So I don't know why it will next year. The Twins have pioneered a new strategy this year. If you want a guy to improve defensively, play him at another position (Santana) or not in the field at all (Pinto). Improved defense through altering the vantage point.
  7. tobi0040
    I would keep Terry as well. If you fire Gardy, you don't need to worry about the friendship between the two. Canning Gardy is the move that needs to be made. I would sub out Hughes for Milone in the rotation. I would not be trading Hughes. I get the sell high logic, but we don't need to be the A's. We have him for 2 more years at $8M a year and I think this park is perfect for him. He is a #2 starter IMO. His numbers in New York mirror a #2 or #3 if you look at his numbers out of the New Yankee stadium. 4.10 ERA or so. More or less agree on everything else.
  8. tobi0040
    I think Arcia will adjust to LHP, but lets assume for a second that he doens't. How does this platoon sounds come June of next year: LHP - .807 Career OPS RHP - .799 Career OPS The .807 is Plouffe, the .799 is Arcia. Pretty good production from left field
  9. tobi0040
    Or Pelfrey. As long as you are consistently bad I guess it still counts for consistency. The other thing he could do is show the long term upside of Yohan Pino, Kris Johnson, or Logan Darnell.
  10. tobi0040
    I agree. I think the Twins have some good pieces right now (or appear to). Guys like Gibson, Hughes, Dozier, a healthy and typical Mauer, etc. But we really lack elite players that drive championships. The hope is Buxton, Sano, and Meyer come up and reach their potential and can be those guys. For the sake of argument, Mauer has been elite in the past. But the question remains if 31-36 year old Mauer will prove to be an elite 1B. The jury is out on that one.
  11. tobi0040
    And also 65 and 80 BB's in 120 games his last two years. Which led to a .373 and .382 OBP to go along with a ridiculous slugging and ISO. I see a floor resembling Adam Dunn (assuming he is a DH or terrible OF like Dunn was). Dunn will receive HOF votes. He won't get in, but 28th all time in doubles, 36th in HR's (will likely get over 500), and 42nd in BB's. My guess would be Sano's offensive game resembles Dunn, although Sano will likely have a better career average and have fewer walks
  12. tobi0040
    I meant not coming through as a 3B. I find it very unlikely we can't find a place for Sano's bat between 1B, DH, LF, and RF. But it is not certain he remains at 3B, every scouting report suggests that. Plouffe is a league average 3B, so I can see a contending team with Plouffe at 3B and Sano somewhere else.
  13. tobi0040
    I am holding onto Plouffe. Sano is no lock at 3B and Plouffe is at least league average there. This is a difficult position to fill. We would be kicking ourselves if Sano doesn't work out there. At worst he is a super utility guy, 3B, 1B, LF, and RF. He should see every rep against lefties regardless.
  14. tobi0040
    I think the article is interesting, but I agree with those in the camp that we may not yet know what we have in either Santana or Escobar. Both are dramatically outperforming their minor league stats and I also struggle to peg Santana as a SS. He has only started 18 games there and the Twins have questions about his defense. I think we could be sitting here next June in a familiar place, complaining about our SS production.
  15. tobi0040
    Agreed. The position is a bit in flux, but Rosario's numbers prior to this year indicate he is a top 10 prospect on most teams and he made PR WBC team at 21. He has always been young by the league standards and put up an .810 OPS in 2013, .846 in 2012 and 1.068 in E-Town. If we don't protect him he will certainly be claimed. My gut says he maybe harder to replace than others and he likely could have nice trade value down the line as a CF.
  16. tobi0040
    I think we keep Rosario, Achter, and Ibarra (as guys others may want to drop). I would be thrilled if we Pelfrey was just cut. He is worth nothing via trade and I know we owe him $6M next year. That is a sunk cost. The last time he had a good ERA was in 2010. He had 5.0 K / 9 and an x FIP of 4.31 that year. Starting in 2011, he has pitched 387 innings with a 5.01 ERA. Time to move on.
  17. tobi0040
    I get it now.
  18. tobi0040
    I am a little confused. If the Twins have changed and no longer tell pull hitters to slap the ball the other way, why would a guy up basically one year warn a player that has been up a month, "they are going to tell you to slap the ball the other way but keep pulling HR's?" If they don't do that anymore, why would Arcia tell Vargas they will? I think I am misunderstanding your post.
  19. tobi0040
    Leviathan, doesn't a recent comment from Arcia mean the twins might not have left this thinking behind?
  20. tobi0040
    Really not a way either of us will be able to convince the other on this one, especially without the other thinking they are cherry picking. I would guess, players generally improve from their rookie years. They generally become better hitters, generally more patient, etc. In the case of Arcia, if he ends up with a career .730 OPS and can't field a lick in the OF, he may struggle to stick in the big leagues. If he can become close to an average corner OF defensively and/or improves upon those offensive numbers like Torii Hunter, Carlos Gomez, Ortiz, or even Mauer he is an .800+ OPS guy. He is now making a case to bat DH if the defense does not improve or he certainly locks down a corner OF spot if he sniffs becoming an average defensive player.
  21. tobi0040
    I looked up five players, the only ones I could think of that came up with the Twins at a young age and played along time. I listed four of those players, the other was Cuddy but I felt he didn't really apply becuase his first full year was at age 25. At 25 he had a .779 OPS, career .810 OPS. He had 2 years with an OPS over .900 and 2 more over .850. It is very, very rare that you see a guy make the big leagues at age 22, have a long career and not improve upon those numbers. Typically, they k less, BB more, and develop more power as they age. My point is, if you start with a .730 OPS you may end in a very good spot.
  22. tobi0040
    I may be wrong here, but I believe both Gomez and Ortiz made comments suggesting the Twins tried to change their approach. It appears, based on Arcia's comments that he has heard the same thing, enough so that he went out of his way to warn another young player.
  23. tobi0040
    Just a little perspective on Arcia, who has a career .730 OPS at ages 22-23: First full year OPS Career OPS Age of first year Torii Hunter .689 .799 23 Carlos Gomez .657 .730 (.840 last 2 years) 22 David Ortiz .817 .925 22 Joe Mauer .783 .863 22 If you add roughly 100 points to Arcia's .730 OPS you have a very nice player. You will probably see years in the .900 range in career years To hear that Arcia's numbers are "not good at all" and that "he is a very, very ordinary player right now" begs the question, what would good numbers be for a corner OF that is 22/23?
  24. tobi0040
    He has a career OPS + of 101 and his 650 at bats have come at ages 22 and 23. If you view those 650 at bats as one full year, he has a .240 avg, 25 HR, .730 OPS. He strikes out more than I would prefer and the OBP of .303 is nothing to write home about. But at 22-23 he is a league average corner OF. Every young player could listen more, but most kids his age are in AA or AAA, so I struggle to call him ordnary. It will be an interesting time. We seemed to only draft or sign pitchers with good control and no k's and hitters that were slap style guys and that has changed. As these players are developed, will this coaching staff look to have Meyer and May throw in the zone more and pitch to contact? Get Arcia and Vargas to pull less, hack less, and walk more?
  25. tobi0040
    Very interesting article. I hope we are at 5 as well.
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