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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    I've never once said they can get 4 good pitchers in 1 season. That's my entire point....you can't. Hence, you can fill your roster with 4 guys on one year deals (or in this case, deals that all expire the same year). That is literally my point. No one, not one person, has asked the TWins to spend as much as the Yankees or Red Sox. But, they have 40-55 million in budget room right now. They can afford 1 great pitcher on a multi year deal. Heck, they agree with me. They bid the 2nd most for Darvish two years ago.....
  2. Mike Sixel
    Every team makes the second season. I have a complex plan for the second season that vastly rewards the best teams in the first 150 ish games....
  3. Mike Sixel
    You don't know about his leadership either. But where was his leadership in 2018, when they were bad? I mean, if it was part of the 2019 success, it must be part of the 2018 lack of success, right? Or maybe 2019 was better because of the on field talent? No one, not in one of the posts on Eddie Rosario, has used the word hate, other than the people saying he is under rated. Not one person has claimed to hate him. Not one person has said he's a BAD baseball player.
  4. Mike Sixel
    Given that the most advanced analytics teams are the most successful, and everyone is copying them, was that an actual question about them being better?
  5. Mike Sixel
    People are simultaneously typing the twins are a mid market team, and that they should extend a corner OF, when two of their best prospects are corner outfielders. He's the exact kind of player you go year to year with, especially with Kepler signed long term. Not one person has posted he's a bad hitter, that's a straw man.
  6. Mike Sixel
    Right. The non player salary costs don't also increase when revenue and, supposedly, player salaries do.
  7. Mike Sixel
    I know you played, and I trust your takes, but far superior talent will win the most. It's not like Ohio State it's mistake free year after year.... Closer talent, mistakes matter a ton. But far superior talent?
  8. Mike Sixel
    My wife and I are frugal when it comes to tv. We get one service free for some reason, which I won't name.. Disney is bundled with our phone bill for a year, after that, unless I'm back to making a lot of money, we'll cancel that after a year. We get Prime for her work and house stuff, if it was only the tv, we might cancel it. That said, we probably watch this one the most, so I'll probably keep this one. We have Netflix, but I'm considering cancelling it at this point. I'd miss a few shows, but there is no show I would regret not watching on any channel. I would like to watch Star trek, but my life seems pretty good even though I'm not.... The one I consider adding is BBC America. But again, oh well. I'm fine without it. We use an antenna to get local channels in glorious HD.
  9. Mike Sixel
    Under. I have no confidence they will go high enough to sign a big time player. I hope to be wrong.
  10. Mike Sixel
    The Twins had not signed enough free agent pitchers to fill the roster. You said they could fill the roster, and then sign another free agent pitcher. That seems unrealistic. Unless, as I said, they don't sign enough free agents to fill the rotation, and hope to sign a player later. Lynn was signed because they had not filled the roster already...
  11. Mike Sixel
    Twins have 50-70MM in payroll room this year. Next year Cruz, Cron, and probably Rosario are off the books. They have plenty of money to keep the window open. I do agree that leaving the fifth spot open makes sense, but not the 4th. Not on a team that thinks it is a WS contender. At some point, you play for now.....at least somewhat.
  12. Mike Sixel
    Once they've signed a full roster, they aren't going to sign more free agents. Unless you think they'll cut a veteran FA pitcher. Or, you mean they only bring back Odo and 1 other FA pitcher, and then wait......and maybe end up with two rookies in the rotation.
  13. Mike Sixel
    That second to last sentence is silliness. Are they more likely to win if they add as much talent at the beginning of the year, or less likely to win if they add less talent at the beginning of the year? Cruz is off the payroll in 21, probably Rosario. Definitely Cron. they'll have plenty of space in 21 almost no matter what they do this off season. Odorizzi will make less money in 21, or be off the roster.
  14. Mike Sixel
    and yet, a recent off season plan had them at 120 or 106.......I too hope the team is looking at 150 million, give or take, but we just don't know.
  15. Mike Sixel
    So, next year, when there are LESS good pitchers, sign more than this year to long term deals? That seems unlikely to me. A team can't, imo, sign multiple good starting pitchers year after year. If they could, the Yankees and Dodgers and Astros would be doing it. Odo is now under a 1 year deal. That's now one spot not locked up for 2021, most likely.
  16. Mike Sixel
    We don't know at all that is true. Estimates I've read put it at 5-7 more teams using technology.....If it is a rule, it should be enforced. Otherwise, get rid of the rule.
  17. Mike Sixel
    thirty million under their easily reachable budget, and that's for arb increases and in season moves? They'd have to acquire almost 60 million of salaries at the deadline for that math to work out.
  18. Mike Sixel
    You'll care if it stops them from signing another player, or has them sign a lesser player.
  19. Mike Sixel
    Shocker of all time (not) Abreu takes the QO from teh WS. Bizarre move by the Sox, frankly.
  20. Mike Sixel
    I'm not so sure of that. He gets nearly 18MM, and is a FA next year, in a bad class, and he won't have a QO next year. This might be a "bet on yourself" play.
  21. Mike Sixel
    Good news. And, imo, good decision. Next year's pitching FA class is pretty meh, and he won't have a QO, and he'll be 18MM dollars wealthier, give or take.....
  22. Mike Sixel
    mike sixel 2:05 Rumor has it Odorizzi will sign his QO. Like Ryu last year, this seems to make sense to me (not predicting he's as good as Ryu.....). He gets 18 million, and is a FA next year without the QO attached. Thoughts? Craig Edwards 2:10 It's a surprising decision, for sure, if that's what ends up happening. There is a pretty strong class of mid-tier starting pitchers this year, though most teams could use one. It worked out well for Ryu as his market is a lot better. Lance Lynn had to take a one-year deal below the QO a few years ago when there were probably two-year deals on the table and while he might not have gotten as much as he's worth, he ended up okay. We'll see how Keuchel does. We normally think of taking the QO as avoiding risk, but that's not really the way it is for Odorizzi. He can probably get $30 million or something no matter what happens to his market. The risk is taking the QO and performing poorly. The reward is taking the $18 M now and then getting $40 M or more next season and doubling his downside. For a pitcher who is already making a lot of money, shooting for a bigger payday down the road does make some sense. I don't know that it is the right move given how much pitching teams need, but it isn't crazy. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/craig-edwards-fangraphs-chat-11-14-2019/
  23. Mike Sixel
    I'm saying we can only look at what they've done, as an indication of what is likely in the future. Of course I'm not speaking in absolutes, that would be ridiculous.
  24. Mike Sixel
    and you have to hope the player you need is available, and for a price you want to pay....
  25. Mike Sixel
    They didn't make that kind of trade this year......even after cutting payroll from the previous year, and knowing they would need that kind of pitcher going forward. Why would you think next year will be different? His second plan guts the payroll to 106MM....they could make 3 Greinke like trades at the deadline with a payroll that low.....
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