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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Berrios is only here two more years.....by the logic of your first paragraph, they are looking at a full on rebuild after 2022, if I read that correctly, anyway. Why not start with more assets? If a team wants a very good pitcher now, not in 2 years, he's more valuable to that team than someone that will be ready in 2 years. That said, I'm sympathetic to waiting until the middle of next year....which given their ability to develop pitchers, and willingness to spend real money on them, doesn't look all that promising either....
  2. weighted runs created uses over 100 years of data to say how valuable every at bat is....but does not take into the context of the game. WPA (win probability added) does take into account the game situation. https://library.fangraphs.com/misc/wpa/ https://library.fangraphs.com/offense/wrc/
  3. Even with Berrios, then, who is pitching next year? I think everyone here knows this pipeline isn't ideal.....everyone.
  4. Let's hope AK can stay healthy. He looks legit.
  5. This isn't really "their" core though, so I think they could survive it. But, it surely is a consideration.
  6. I said I was conflicted, and if he says he won't sign, you don't have a choice (either this year or next) to deal him.
  7. That's a reasonable stance. It all depends on IF they can get young SPs up here that produce this year. Otherwise, I see no path to serious contention next year given the SP and RP they have right now. OTOH, he's worth more with 1.5 years of control than .5 years, I'd think....... I'd want the best SS or SP prospect they can get, plus a middling prospect, plus a flier pitcher prospect.
  8. They'll have even less if Berrios won't sign an extension. If he won't, they should deal him. 100%.
  9. 4 of them came against teams who don't care to field hitters or not, as long as they make tv money.....so there's that. Well, Seattle kept down their best prospect to get him "more ready" which miraculously happened to be when they got another year of control over his pay.....
  10. In what I'm sure some will view as a sign of the apocalypse, I agree 100% with this post by MLR....
  11. How do I block a user so I can't see them? Never asked for this until today.....
  12. Apparently Gore can't throw strokes anymore for some reason....
  13. I'm highly conflicted. Clearly, if his side says they won't sign here long term, you deal him, and I think you deal him this year. If there is a chance to realistically keep him, I try to sign him by July. If that doesn't get done, I likely deal him. This team looks very far away right now. ZERO starting pitchers in AAA that look like even number 4/5 types. Who knows about AA and health...... The big issue is their unwillingness to pay top dollar for great pitching, so Berrios might be the best they can hope for anytime soon (and, so far, their inability to develop even a decent starter). If you deal him, where does pitching come from?
  14. I'm still not sure how they are this bad, but they are. That outfield....yikes. I don't think Thorpe is going to be a good starter. Maybe he should move to the bullpen?
  15. Did people say he'd be fully replaced this year? I don't recall that.... That said, if Kiriloff is healthy, he's probably as good.... But to your point, he's not. Now, the question is, can you predict injuries?
  16. So, what should they do differently? Try to softly hit the ball?
  17. No way you trade him then....not with what they thought was a core of players coming. That said, ya, I don't get what it going on.....
  18. Doesn't matter what he does, people here will rip him for it.
  19. I'm glad I don't have to choose between leaving him in, and bringing in someone from this bullpen....
  20. Interestingly, that means that Sano has been worse then Arraez....because Sano has accumulated more negative odds in less games......or, more accurately, he's made it more likely they'd lose than Arraez has. I expect Sano to have a slightly positive WPA by the end of the year.
  21. If you want to know what WPA is.... https://library.fangraphs.com/misc/wpa/
  22. win probability added is the best stat for that......how much did he add or detract from the likelihood a team wins.
  23. I agree with this. We aren't perfect. We should strive to be so......
  24. Throwing a baseball at someone because your feelings are hurt isn't brave. Or mature. Or require balls. Or giving a darn. It's sad. If the twins didn't want the sox to play anymore, the twins should have walked off the field and forfeited.
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