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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    Rosario was traded for nothing this year. He's just not that good. They took over a terrible team, and made it a 100 win team.....
  2. Mike Sixel
    As someone said above, it didn't matter who he brought in earlier this year, they'd fail.
  3. Mike Sixel
    How much do you think a manager matters? I mean, a FA player gets about $7-8MM per win......and only a handful of managers make even $5MM.....I can't see that they matter that much. Probably 2-3 wins, making them underpaid relative to players. I could be wrong, maybe they are worth a lot more, but then I'd think they'd be paid a lot more.
  4. Mike Sixel
    Calling up Nick Vincent in a lost year reduces my trust in the FO by a considerable amount. I really do not understand what they are doing with the bullpen right now. Maybe I should stop trying to give them a chance.....
  5. Mike Sixel
    That's 1 starting pitcher. Seems pretty bad to me. Awful even. I do agree that the core of this roster is from Ryan, but that is what we'd expect at this point in the process for sure. Next year and beyond is the real test of this FO. Larnach, Jeffers, and some pitchers need to be good.
  6. Mike Sixel
    He played in 155 games in 2019....He had 2 seasons playing less than 155 before that. Yes, 2 they were 18 and 17..... People scream and yell they never sign big time FAs, then when they do, and something bad happens it was a bad signing. Dude got hurt, after playing in almost every game in 2019.....I really don't know how to judge year 1, since it wasn't a full year. Look, my main point about that list remains....how does it compare to other teams? Lastly, we won't agree on this, so I doubt I'll reply to anything else on this part of the topic. IMO, they are likely about middle of the road in FA. That isn't good enough when your system is weak, we agree on that. It isn't good enough when your budget is limited and you can't afford mistakes. But I'm not here to say they are bad at it, without context about how well other teams do. I'm here to say a: we don't know and b: they need to be better, but I don't know they are bad at it.
  7. Mike Sixel
    Now we are supposed to predict injuries? I guess my mileage does vary. He was signed for the front of the deal, not the back. I'm not sure how we should ding the FO for the pandemic blowing up last year.......and how that impacted his playing time and how he played. His fWAR per 162 this year is 3 ish.
  8. Mike Sixel
    This can't be stressed enough, IMO. Those were ALL TOP TEN PICKS. If one of those is a 3 WAR player, a success rate that seems fair, how different is this roster overall (not this year, unless he's a SP)? If two of those are good? Those picks should be in their prime in MN right now.......How different are the last couple years if Gordon is Turner instead, for example?
  9. Mike Sixel
    Any analysis that says Donaldson is a poor signing is suspect at best.....I'd move him to good, frankly. That changes the numbers dramatially. And, really, if you look at the ratios, that's probably about what every other team does .....which is 100x more than TR ever did, btw. I can't draw a conclusion, fairly, unless someone does this for every FA signed, and compares to the industry......
  10. Mike Sixel
    Not a particularly likely one........but I'll bite: 1B ... Kiriloff 2B Polanco SS FA 3B Donaldson, Arraez, Miranda LF Larnach, Martin, Arreaz CF Buxton, Martin RF Kepler C Garver, Jeffers, Rortverdt DH Sano, Donaldson, Larnach That's a legit offense, maybe a good D if Martin and Buxton and Kepler are the OF and the FA SS is good. SP Maeda and who the heck knows? I'm guessing one legit FA SP and a trade for a number 3 type. Ober at 4 and then probably Jax or Ryan with Winder, B, and others in AAA ready when needed. That's clearly a major issue. Major. Like, the part I don't think is fixed in one year. RP Rogers, Duffey, Alcala, Moran, Cano, 2 free agents and a whole lot of guys in AAA. That's a better team than this year, on D and O. I don't realistically think SP can be fixed in one year, but maybe they get luck in a trade and a FA signing and Ober is a legit 4.....and one of the others is a 3 or 4. I don't think so.....but I also don't think they are this bad again next year. If I had any confidence in Lewis as a SS, I'd really like their O and D in 22 and beyond (assuming they sign Buxton).....it all comes down to pitching.
  11. Mike Sixel
    Should we also take out the best players other teams sign, and see how they look in FA? Of course bad things happened, but you can't just throw out all the good stuff and say "see, they are bad at this". that said, I'm a year from doing so.....as I'm not in love with a lot of what they've done. IMO, the big mistake was thinking they could keep signing 2 FA starters and half a bullpen every year, rather than trading for a guy under control or signing a FA for more than 1-2 years. I think people also forget that the minor league season was cancelled last year. Kind of hard to move a SP from A or even one who got to AA late in 19, to the majors this year, let alone at the start of this year...... Which is my biggest issue with this season (now). They aren't promoting guys so that they can be in MN early next year, setting themselves up to have to acquire too much pitching again (which they'll hold onto because they are ok, rather than promoting guys that might be good or better).
  12. Mike Sixel
    They brought up 3 top 100 prospects (depending on how you feel about Jeffers) this year.....one of whom is hurt. That isn't a young core? They also have Arraez and Polanco, and Rortverdt ready in AAA if needed. How many new players do you want added every year? I'll give you the pitching, they have failed there so far..... Maybe I'm not clear.....I'm not "giving them credit" or saying there are good....I am saying we don't know yet. It takes A LONG time to develop a pitching pipeline. Like, next year ........ We are pretty clearly at an impasse. You've made up your mind, I haven't. I'm ok with that.
  13. Mike Sixel
    29 teams have no idea how the Rays do it....how many WS have the Rays won, btw? And I don't get giving them zero credit for the good years. Almost zero teams are great every year...expecting this team to do that right away (and after the pandemic) seems like you and others are setting yourselves up for disappointment.
  14. Mike Sixel
    Ya, this hasn't been 2-3 years in the making at all.....
  15. Mike Sixel
    Maybe I'm not clear....I think we have no idea if they are great at their job or not, and if they don't have legit pitchers up from the system next year, I'll start calling for their jobs......As for the division wins, they literally can only play the games they are scheduled to play, and they won A LOT of them......I fail to see how that isn't impressive after the previous regime was awful at winning.
  16. Mike Sixel
    I agree with that last sentence for sure. When your window is open, leap thru it. You might have injuries, or regression or FAs might want to make more elsewhere......very few people thought this team would be bad, but it is. What if they had gone more all in 2019? We'll never know, as only the McPhail led Twins ever did that (and, what do you know.....it worked!).
  17. Mike Sixel
    None of which were in his second term. He was good the first time, but awful the second time. Which is too bad. He really seems like a nice guy.
  18. Mike Sixel
    Nick Gordon, Kohl Stewart, and Tyler Jay say hi.
  19. Mike Sixel
    People realize the WS traded off stars to get some of the stars they have now, right? That they were building for the future the last few years? That if their plan worked, they'd be good? The Twins built a winner in 19 and 20, and couldn't maintain that. From what I read, that's pretty much to be expected in MLB for mid market or smaller teams.....that you can't win forever unless you have lots of money (and even then.....). I don't love the FO....and I'm not sure if they are great at their job or not....but no, Ryan wasn't building anything good. And yes, this FO took an AWFUL team and won two division championships. They deserve at least one more year to show us they can have a pitching system, imo.
  20. Mike Sixel
    I'd be ok with trading for a number 3 with years of control....but my point remains, Are there teams with no minor league pipeline in place (which it wasn't) acquiring 2 new starters on 1 year deals over and over doing well? They did it for two years, but at some point, it is HARD to do it over and over (sometimes there aren't good FAs in your budget, for example, certainly not often 2). That doesn't even count trying to build a bullpen with only 2-3 returning guys.
  21. Mike Sixel
    So it's their fault the other teams were bad? They won the division twice, after the team was awful under the previous leadership. It really is amazing how some won't give them credit for that. Truly.
  22. Mike Sixel
    You expect a contending team to count on a guy that hasn't played in two years, not even at a high level to play for them? The mistake is Cave over Wade, not Badoo. Imo.
  23. Mike Sixel
    Not a fan of bat first, no fielders, in round one at all. Then this? Very disappointing. The two pitchers are interesting, and the kind I would convert to reliever and move up fast, which is why I'm no GM ...
  24. Mike Sixel
    I agree with the general premise. I also agree with Brock. I'll be honest.... If Burrows is on this roster still, over at least three candidates in AAA, I don't like what they are doing at all. In five years, we still don't have one pitcher, starter or reliever, we are confident in. While there weren't great free agents this year, their inability to trade for or sign guys to longer deals, meant they had to, again, get two new starting pitchers. That's not a sustainable model. Next year is the year they are out of excuses. If there aren't multiple pitchers up from the system after six years...... Also, their emphasis on bat first, mediocre or worse fielders in the draft? Not a fan at all.
  25. Mike Sixel
    I'm all for doing it, just move on after a certain point. And, this happened in Detroit also, not just here. Take chances! But be willing to move on when it doesn't work.
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