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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Mike Sixel
    It is a counting stat, as you see it on that screen (if you look at the links I supplied), that's why Pinto is higher on the list. I have not looked at the rate stat side of it. it is a pretty simple stat: does pitch fx think it was a strike? did the pitch get called a strike? it is very consisten year to year for catchers, unlike other defensive stats. It has been around for 8 years. Ya'all should really think hard about not trusting it to be at least directional/indicative.....if you don't rate a catcher on pitch framing, throwing out base runners, and blocking pitches....what do you rate him one defensively to say he's been solid or good or whatever?
  2. Mike Sixel
    The articles are about how tradeable a guy is, not if he should be traded. Like, what could you get for a trade for him? The articles are on Fangraphs, and are based on the trade value articles for the NBA done by Bill Simmons.
  3. Mike Sixel
    1. He's not young for a catcher 2. He's not "good" if you believe in pitch framing being valid at all 3. His contract is expiring, this is not the case of wanting to trade a guy they have under control 4. If the catcher market next year is super thin, what is his incentive to sign a team friendly deal?
  4. Mike Sixel
    It is true, that was a trade value article....not just a pure dollar/WAR article.
  5. Mike Sixel
    KLAW mentions that Sano is "most likely" not a 3B long term...... Really, if you are a baseball fan, you should pay for insider to read KLAW and Crawford (and some great NFL stuff if you like that too). It isn't that much money, I pay primarily for KLAW and NFL draft stuff.
  6. Mike Sixel
    the postiest post every by thrylos.....agree 100%
  7. Mike Sixel
    I don't agree Gordon is too high, but then I've been on his bandwagon since March or so.....
  8. Mike Sixel
    http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/11223667/mlb-keith-law-top-50-mlb-prospects?refresh=true "If you want to yell and scream that he's (Buxton) really the best prospect in baseball -- instead of Bryant -- I wont put up much of a fight. I'd gladly take either guy in my system." Ranking Berrios number 50.....can we now get over the "KLAW hates the Twins" comments forever please?
  9. Mike Sixel
    I think looking only at career slash lines ignores an obvious change in the last year for Dozier, and the numbers are a lot better at 2B than 3B. I really want him to learn corner OF, and be a super utility guy when Sano is here. But, maybe that isn't as easy as it sounds.
  10. Mike Sixel
    birdwatcher brings up a point......they might be able to trade for a catcher, but I don't have any idea who that could be.
  11. Mike Sixel
    Ya, he's around league average. I see no issue with that, until something pushes him aside. And I don't think that happens at the beginning of next year.
  12. Mike Sixel
    I'd guess he's in the top 10 worst contracts someplace. The precise rank is up for debate, but so far, he's looked less good at 1B defensively than I expected, and the offense is plain to see. I would expect more from him offensively, but I recall that most projection systems had him higher than than this, and we all thought the projections were too low......
  13. Mike Sixel
    I'd roll with Pinto and Herrman (sp?) or Fryer. Get Pinto up here and developing/adjusting. At some point, you need to hand the team over to the young players. I understand that others disagree, and that's cool with me. It won't depress me if they sign him, but I think people are over looking the pitch framing issue because they don't buy the stat (when it is probably the most accurate and realiable defensive stat, actually).
  14. Mike Sixel
    Brock, the baseball prospectus link actually shows that..... they estimate he's saved 1 run by blocking low balls (8th) they estimate he's cost them 8.8 runs with his pitch framing in context (5th from last) they estimate he's cost them 13 runs with his framing, using a standard way (last)
  15. Mike Sixel
    the more I look at his defense, the less I like re-signing him. I've made that point in the Suzuki thread, so I won't repeat it here.
  16. Mike Sixel
    I'll take that bet. he is one of the smallest stadiums there is. I'll take a bet right now that he makes the majors, and for more than a cup of coffee. Any takers?
  17. Mike Sixel
    Again, what do you base that on? He doesn't throw guys out well. He is averagish at stopping passed balls. "he makes the routine plays".....that's the Jeter defense. "Who would you rather have out there for a ball hit right at him"? I'd rather have the guy that can get to the ball. Denying pitch framing seems odd, given the vast data on the subject, much more accurate data than "he handles the staff well". What does that mean? It is not true that a player that does the routine well is considered good. Good players make plays other players don't make. A player that makes the routine plays is at best an average player. That's the math behing ranking players. It really isn't subjective at all. If you do what everyone else does, you aren't better than them, and you aren't good.
  18. Mike Sixel
    I guess I'd assume it is not precise, but it is directional and indicates a consistent skill. Suzuki is last by both pages I visited. Even if the count is off, he's just not good at it.
  19. Mike Sixel
    What are you basing your pitch framing on because by the numbers he's bad. As someone posted in another thread, on the teams he was on before this, the pitchers had better numbers with other catchers. As a matter of fact, he is the worst pitch framer in all of baseball: http://www.statcorner.com/CatcherReport.php http://www.baseballprospectus.com/sortable/index.php?cid=1667334
  20. Mike Sixel
    Great story. Great story.
  21. Mike Sixel
    "they can't count on rookies" seem incongrous with "hold them down until they are ready"+"don't bring them up for experience sake", imo. I don't think anyone here is assuming that Pinto or Vargas is likely to be as successful as Morales, I think (I know I am) people are arguing that adjustments and learning absolutely happen on the job, and waiting for everyone to come up and contribute on the same timeline seems risky. people are saying on this thread that you can't count on rookies to produce right away, but then also arguing to hold guys down until they are "ready". You can't be both ready, and not producing.
  22. Mike Sixel
    Joe, the worst that can happen is that they passed on a guy with more upside. Passing on guys that haven't "proven" they are just relievers*. I think that is where some of the disagreement on these boards comes. Oh, and if they are very likely to end up a reliever, not moving them fast while healthy, and instead moving them slowly (increasing the odds they are hurt in the minors, not the majors). *not, I said that with "" around the word proven.....
  23. Mike Sixel
    Fangraphs has a great article on this, pointing out that Houston knows this is going to potentially hurt them, and they likely would not be doing it for a bad reason......it is an interesting article that goes beyond the knee jerk.
  24. Mike Sixel
    A reasonable post, that I disagree with. The MLB team is not growing for the future. The minors might be, but other than Santana, zero players are on teh roster that came up for the first time this year. Signing Morales does not, imo, help them in 2 years, when Buxton and Sano are up for good (hopefully). I just don't see the growth of the MLB team right now. But I think disagreeing with me is reasonable.
  25. Mike Sixel
    +1000000000
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