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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. I think they moved him to second a couple weeks ago in the minors. He isn't a SS.
  2. same point....shouldn't this be moved to other baseball, like the much more useful logical fallacy thread. Shouldn't the complaint thread about pitch forks also have been moved?
  3. that explains the lack of scotch here......thank god he left the rum, vodka, gin, beer......
  4. Brock, they aren't cutting one of these guys.
  5. Except less and less people (especially the young) are watching the 6 o clock news.......again, I think people are way underestimating their fellow humans' desire to learn something small every few days.
  6. that last graph is a killer, thanks for the entertaining link
  7. Nick Gordon won't be here in 2016, and I'd bet good money not 2017. I can buy the argument he might not be better than Escobar, but, It's not just getting Reyes, it's getting Berrios into the rotation......
  8. Sure, if scorers were as consistent as we believe the UZR or other evaluators are, but we KNOW that isn't true. If Hunter doesn't get to a ball that 90% of RF do.......there is no error, but it is still a negative play in the advanced stats. You don't even have to say anything about the fancy stat, just "90% of the time a RF catches that ball, that's going to hurt" or something like that.
  9. Reyes has negative value, he was in there to get more from TOR, not less......
  10. I would do that trade.....if you believe in Berrios and Duffey I would do that trade. The money is about the same, and they both have risks. Why would CO do it? To get something of value for a guy that they don't need....... No one is giving up a legit prospect for Reyes, he was in the deal because he has negative value, and that got them better prospects from Toronto. I'm very confused by some of these responses.
  11. hahaha, I was on vacation with limited access to technology...... why can't we all just get along here? We all like/love the Twins, but the posts here can be, uh, divisive in tone......
  12. He plays first, he should be compared to first basemen, right? That's all most people are doing.
  13. I think we mostly vastly under estimate the intelligence of viewers of sports.......and I think if things were slowly moved in, people would learn and grow in interest. Saying "we should never add anything new" is a sure fire way to stop all growth and change and improvement in life.
  14. they trade Dozier and hand the job to Polanco......not a nightmare so much, but man, that would scare me at this point.
  15. fangraphs has so many baseball articles that are interesting, that don't always have a lot to do with stats, I'm surprised by this.
  16. Well, that team was amazingly luck in May......no one consistently beats a team with that much good sequencing luck. But, I think if you look at the talent on the two teams, this one is more talented by quite a bit.
  17. The at bats one is interesting to me. I think that is a product of the pre-1970s thinking that a walk was laziness by a hitter, and not a skill. So, ABs actually matter, instead of plate appearances. It goes waaaaay back to the day when a walk wasn't viewed as a valuable at bat. I think they could squeak in some other stats, but all those you list (except pitcher wins) actually do tell something of a story. doesn't make them good predictors, but the past did happen, and those stats do tell a story.
  18. Fascinating. thanks for the news
  19. Cool. Have fun everyone!
  20. I admit I didn't see that sweep coming....... The year has largely been a success to me at this point, still playing meaningful games this late in the year, and probably for much of the next month.
  21. It's not just about the long term though, right? Turner is probably going to provide value the next two years, while Buxton and Sano are here.....there is value in that. I predicted Gordon, and liked (still do) the pick. Doesn't mean it wouldn't be nice to have the current value from Turner (assuming he provides it).
  22. why is that, I'm just curious......for example, the Royals have a 100% chance because they are either going to win the division, or make the WC.....so if you think this because there are 5 teams that make it, the math won't do what you think it should do....
  23. I'd argue both, but mostly Molitor, yes......some/many have commented on that.
  24. A fair distinction on probability vs prediction....... Either way, I think we've beat the topic to death.
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