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Mike Sixel

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Everything posted by Mike Sixel

  1. Congrats to the Mauers.
  2. All of this is a bit off topic......but I found it interesting.
  3. I remember someone on FG wondering if short pitchers with stuff were a market inefficiency, but I thought that article said there was not enough data. I'll see if I can find it (which the author of this study believes is likely true).
  4. What I found interesting about the study was that he studied the effectiveness of those that qualified for the ERA title.....I'd think that excludes a pretty big group of players that didn't, and were not effective (but I have no idea if there were any notable height differences). He does address the self fulfilling nature of the data, and also the social pressure of smaller players to play other positions (both selection bias and self fulfilling issues). that was an interesting read, thanks for finding it.
  5. Anecdotes really don't do much for me, when we are talking about if a belief is right or wrong. I appreciate you feel otherwise, though.
  6. Thanks, this is great.
  7. Doesn't stop the fact he said it.......that's all I said.
  8. do you have that list, of the height of all the good pitchers, and think the data shows it isn't true?
  9. Even Ryan mentioned Berrios' size as one reason he wasn't up this year......probably more about stamina than effectiveness, but still.....
  10. Arms are probably shorter too......do either of you have evidence that the scouts who believe this are wrong? Remember, it is a rule, not a law. There will be exceptions to rules.
  11. Working in a job you don't want to be in, to maybe get money so later in life you can maybe do the things you want.....imo.....that's the problem with American's and their relationship to work and why we are generally less happy than other nations' workers. YMMV, of course.
  12. Not sure if it is a self fulfilling prophecy or not, but there just aren't many shorter pitchers that are great. We can always name exceptions to the rule, but that doesn't prove much. Maybe just more elite athletes are taller to begin with? Who knows, but I think there is some selection bias here....
  13. Very true on that point.
  14. Sano? teams would pay more like $75-100MM for him right now. Look at what they are paying international free agents. As for your point, it misses a point that people seem to ignore a lot. Only 25 guys are on a roster at a time. Only 8 SP pitch in many years. Only 1 at most infield positions in a year. IMO, it's not as simple as saying "you can't give up 2 WAR from these 5 people, for a guy that only gives you 5 WAR back", since those 5 might not be able to play at the same time (and might be replaceable themselves with 3 WAR guys). Generally, the analysis works, but specifically, not always.
  15. The story he wrote makes it clear, he learned that other things in life were more interesting to him. Nothing sinister, just realized he wanted other things in life.
  16. How's that ace making going over the last 30 years?
  17. cold call, or not cold call? I hated cold call sales, but as I'm older now, I think I could do it. Not cold call, most of the people I know like the job and the sometimes freedom they have.
  18. So, if they are going to worry about FA timing......they need to sit him for more than half the year? Oh boy, that should be fun on these boards. OTOH, Ryan has pretty much ignored that, as far as I can tell, so I'm not sure it matters.
  19. Mauer, there is no good reason for him to defer money right now.
  20. I have major doubts about Minier, but that probably goes all the way back to them signing him, and not one of the much higher rated guys. As always, I hope to be proven wrong when I'm skeptical. I really hope they keep Yanda in the bullpen. He seems like the exact type of guy that could move quickly and help the team and himself.
  21. that would require them to actually draft and develop pitchers, right? That has been one the issues here, they've not done it, for whatever reason, they have not done it well. It's easy to say "just draft them"......but almost no team is made up of guys they drafted w/o any FAs or traded for guys. What would you recommend they do? Just never sign a FA or trade for a guy? How would last year have played out if they had no FA pitchers on the roster?
  22. I think the owner was very clear, he doesn't like long term deals. Not sure that bodes well for signing elite FAs (or for signing their own guys to LT deals).
  23. Didn't Theo sign and flip FAs, and not keep them? Didn't they sign some Cubans? I think they may have tried the same thing, but didn't achieve them at the same rate. Chicago was lucky to finish worse and get better picks, but they also chose college guys, where the Twins chose HS guys. By that nature alone, it will likely take the Twins longer.....
  24. I think it will be Seager on most lists. I'd bet good money on that. gioloto will be top 5. Is Gallo a rookie still? Is Crawford?
  25. Nah, but top 10 for sure.
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