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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. I think the Twins will regret taking their best pitcher since Berrios and leaving him in the bullpen.
  2. The Twins are likely to get two strong, cheap seasons out of Sonny Gray. He is a no-brainer to give a qualifying offer to as a free agent which means the Twins are likely to get a high draft pick as well. Then they can draft their next Chase Petty.
  3. Consensus by who? Obviously better: Josh Gibson, Johnny Bench, Yogi Berra, Mike Piazza, Ivan Rodriguez, Gary Carter, Bill Dickey, Gabby Hartnett, Carlton Fisk, Mickey Cochrane, Louis Santop Arguably better: Deacon White, Buck Ewing, Roy Campanella, Roger Bresnahan About as good by WAR: Joe Torre, Ted Simmons
  4. Mauer's case looks a lot like Ted Simmons. It took Simmons 32 years after he retired to get elected after failing to get 5% from the writers. Mike Piazza and Yogi Berra didn't get in on the first try so I would be surprised if Mauer did. Joe will get elected somewhere between year 2 and 27.
  5. Beltran looks doubtful on this year's early ballots.
  6. Anyone still think Buxton is overpaid?
  7. Can't tell if this is sarcasm because of the internet. Did you realize picking yourself up off by your own bootstraps is impossible and the phrase was intended as a sarcastic rejoinder? Nobody is a billionaire solely by "hard work".
  8. Dealing away Urshela and aquiring Escobar would be a weird lateral move.
  9. Cohen isn't even a particularly rich billionaire. He's #134 on the Forbes list. He's going to spend a bunch of money and at the end of it all his net worth is going to grow faster than he can spend the money on the Mets payroll.
  10. Add in a winner-take-all economic and political system that concentrates wealth with people who already have it.
  11. They are also trading for players past the most realistic opportunity to lock them up long-term. Mahle is going to be way more interested in getting to free agency than whatever discounted contract the Twins could offer. They only window the Twins have to lock up players at the prices they're willing to pay is before the player reaches arbitration. Once they're a year away from free agency the player is going to bet on themselves. BTW - Joe Ryan is in that window.
  12. MLB had revenues near $11B last year. Divide that by 30 teams and you get $366.7M per team. If the players received 50% of the overall revenue the average salary would be $7M. Last year the average salary was $4.4M. Massive profits. Underpaid players.
  13. This doesn't even get into the massive tax advantages for billionaires if they can show a paper loss with their baseball team. It is one of the best tax shelters you can find.
  14. MLB teams are making $60M a year just from the national broadcast television money. They get an additional $110M in pooled revenue sharing. That's $170M in guaranteed revenue without selling a single hot dog. Pooled revenue sharing represents 48% of the take which means the average team revenue is $230M plus the $60M in TV money for at least $290M. That's before you get into things like the windfall from the sale of MLBAM, licensing fees, "official BLANK of MLB" sponsorships, etc. MLB Teams Will Receive At Least $100 Million Annually From TV Rights Contracts (dodgerblue.com) MLB’s revenue sharing problem, and how to solve it - Bless You Boys The Orioles ran a $45M payroll last year which gives them at least $125M in profit. I'd say there are seven teams who would lose money if they had a payroll near the $233M luxury tax - Pirates, Reds, A's, Marlins, Rays, Guardians and Royals. Two of those teams went to the playoffs last year.
  15. They have a potential All-Star starter sitting in the bullpen and he says he wants to be a starter. They would be stupid not to add two relievers. They have two roster slots that will open in Februrary when Canterino and Paddack are eligible to go on the 60 day IL. Megill and Moran both have options.
  16. The Padres should have killed this myth. There are very few baseball teams that can't spend up to the luxury tax. There are 15-20 teams that would rather show a huge profit than spend the money available to them. Is the winner of the season the team with the trophy or the team with the largest profit? It depends on how you're keeping score. The revenue sharing formula is messed up. Teams that receive revenue sharing have negative incentives to increase their own local revenue. What you're seeing here are economic incentives in action. More revenue sharing without changing the formula will make the problem worse, not better. A hard salary cap just takes money away from the players and gives it to the owners. They need to share all national sources of revenue (broadcast rights, merchandising, licensing). These dollars exist because MLB exists. They need to stop sharing any revenue generated at the stadium (tickets, parking, concessions). This will incentivize teams to put a more entertaining product on the field. It will align the economic incentives with creating a better product for fans.
  17. Show me where I complained that this article isn't free. FWIW - I've never read an article at the Athletic. If you put up a paywall I will find somewhere else to go.
  18. I've said a few times that a business can make a lot of money off people under 40 if it is really easy to sign up online but you have to call on the phone to cancel the service. Gen Z HATES having to make an actual phone call.
  19. I also listen on FM whenever possible. Coverage of FM stations tends to overlap with cell phone coverage. If you don't have either you're in AM radio territory. I think we have seen a gradual shift of the Twins to FM stations over the years but it is likely to move faster as electric cars gain in popularity over the next decade.
  20. Those grapes are totally sour, I agree.
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