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Jham

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Everything posted by Jham

  1. I heard Dazzle talking when Buck came in to pinch run. Molitor had been asked about the Milwaukee scenario and whether Buxton had the green light and if he wanted him to steal. His answer was, "yes, and yes." Buxton hasn't been caught stealing in a year. He needs to be more aggressive. His speed and effort are electric and carries over to fans and teammates. His struggles likewise drain on everyone. He's becoming timid. That's an issue. He's working through the k's so I expect some sorry of turnaround soon.
  2. That's what I was thinking. maybe wouldn't have signed Lynn, and maybe not Lomo, for good or bad... I'd like our chances. not giving up on Buxton at all, btw. you have to give up to get.
  3. Could we have gotten Garrett Cole and McCutchen for Buck last year...?
  4. I'm perpetually miffed at how poor our scouts evaluate our own guys, let alone other team's or amateur. Or the FO is too stubborn to admit or too gutless to move on. The Rays traded Delmon, similarly rated prospect to Buxton. He had some good years but never came close to the hype. They recognized this early and got near max return value. This is why I hate the "call them up and see what we got" pleas. why can't we know 90% what's there before then? As others have noted, failing reduces trade value a ton. Buxton is arb eligible now. If he figures stuff out he won't be cheap and controllable. His speed and defense will slide incrementally the rest of his career. We should probably trade or extend. Buxton already refused an extension once, apparently. So maybe a Dozier deal buying out arbitration.
  5. Bernardino did a nice medium dive into Kyle Gibson's improvement. We've all heard about mixing in more 4 seamers and fewer 2 seamers. Turns out, he's also throwing way fewer change ups while his slider is the most whiffed pitch in the majors this year. That get-me-over curve that he uses second time through? Third most. Fits the eye test. When he nibbles hitters ignore the unhittable slider, and he gets killed. When he attacks hitters have to swing or guess and his slider is amazing. https://www.twincities.com/2018/05/28/how-on-earth-is-kyle-gibson-missing-so-many-bats/
  6. Is? Or was...? Tough to win that way anymore. By design. "The game lacks offense and chicks dig the long ball!" "Ok, we'll lower the mound and give you these super tight baseballs." "Well now the game's too long."
  7. Our reward for tackling the big ten, big ten tourney, regional and super regional if we keep winning: a mid-June trip back to Omaha where it was 102 degrees on the field today, in May.
  8. gophers also take the lead...
  9. I feel like the twins are a little better than our record. 8 walk offs? Basically almost coin flip games? Our pen isn't awful so that seems rough. Second, we keep waiting for this team to kick it in. Remember what Cleveland did last year? I feel like they think they have us whenever they want. They're probably right. Don't believe we can hang around and then make a run. We're going to have to hit first place before the break in my opinion just to stay close at the end.
  10. Anyone watching the Gophers Purdue in the B1G Ten tourney? Terrin Vavra with a big home run in the middle stages.
  11. Speed starts tailing off at whay age? By the time he learns to hit, his defense will already have (has already) dropped off. This is why I hate "windows" and rebuilds that involve only youth movements. What are the odds that any organization can put 10 prospects plus together over a couple years and hit on all of them? Then who do you keep? Too much has to go right. Too easy to get pot committed to an average hand.
  12. To me, this really highlights the fine line between functional major leaguer and out of the league. Hughes could still get guys out, just not enough. Of he were young, he'd be a AAAA guy. He worked so hard, and he's not that far off. Control is still there. Velo is close. Fine line. Is it for sure that he'll refuse assignment if no big league teams take him?
  13. Go train with RA Dicky and make a come back. Good luck, Phil.
  14. Kurt Suzuki hitting .300 with 5hr and a .900+ ops.... What a nightmare...
  15. "Some cash"? Wasn't it like $4 million? Awfully expensive prospect.
  16. Prorated league minimum correct? I'd bring him in. If only because the pen had been incredibly overworked recently. Presley has never shown that he can withstand a heavy world load. Hilde and Rodgers look like they are still suffering from overuse last year this year. You can't have enough capable pen arms. Molly only uses the guys he trusts anyway. And he is them to oblivion. None of the young arms appear ready or better. You can always dfa him hale style if he implodes. Definition of low cost high-ish reward.
  17. Another year of this core wasted. Window potentially closing. Dozier will be gone, Escobar and Gibson likely traded. Santana and Mauer past effectiveness. Buxton and Sano are in actual danger of busting. Ouch.
  18. I was just pointing out that babip was created specifically to exclude stats like walks to measure, in some eyes, luck. Regression tends to occur with larger samples even for performance. But strictly speaking, a pitcher can control walks and not babip. That's my only issue and why I said "misuse". Doesn't mean I even disagree on whether he can keep his walks down. Just that walks are not a luck stat which has to regress the way a .450 babip with a major league defense must.
  19. Misuse of the stats. You have some control over bb rate, but not babip. But bb/9 and k/9 are garbage stats that are skewed by the number of batters faced. So the walk rate is more impressive but the k rate less because of the additional chances. Regression is likely to happen on bb rate. But it will unquestionably come back down on babip. I don't know whay to do with Rodney at this point. Today hurt, but Nathan and Glenn fared no better here.
  20. A number 3 isn't league average by definition. Twins started what 16 different pitchers last year? The majority of starting pitchers are bottom of the rotation, depth or swing man types, imo. Any pitcher that holds down a consistent rotation turn as a 3 is probably better than league average. Not saying Mejia can't get there, but he's got work to do with men on and past 2x through the order.
  21. Won't have to. He'll probably be back on the Twins by then.
  22. This is an awesome post. As I was looking at the dialogue re inherited runners and thinking a runner on 1st with 2 outs counts the same as runner on 3rd no one out, and that the start is pretty misleading in that regard, here you are crushing with numerous stats and comparisons balancing out the situational disparities! Well done good sir!
  23. Do we know of other pitchers who have returned from this procedure?
  24. In it's strictest sense, moving your wedding from Seattle to Arizona to avoid rain then having rain on your weeding day while the sun shined on the space needle would be ironic: a reversal of expectations. Of course the most common modern usage of irony is to annoyingly call out people's misuse of irony when we all know what was meant. Therefore, perfect usage all around!
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