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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    I think that guy might be on crack. Suzuki is hitting .300 for the season, doesn't strike out much and is a tough out. He equates his value to a backup catcher?. Wow I haven't seen many backup catchers hitting .300 through the season. In fact Molina isn't hitting .300 this season. Good luck with that offer.
  2. Dman
    Maybe I think about this stuff the wrong way but I don't think knowing the Twins aren't going to be able to extend Suzuki reduces their leverage. Maybe if only one team is interested in acquiring him it might reduce their leverage otherwise you have to believe you are bidding against other teams for his services. It really comes down to how other teams value Suzuki. Do they value him enough to give up a solid B level prospect? That is a lot to give up for a two month rental. B levels don't grow on tree's. There appear to be teams who could use a catcher that can hit. Baltimore, St. Louis, LA and even Toronto could use more offense from the catcher position. Might as well make it known that the bidding starts now and the best package will net them Suzuki. If nothing substantial gets offered then I guess we just see if there is interest later in the season and move him through waivers or keep him until the end of the season and hope he likes us enough to resign with the team. In my mind the leverage is still there but if teams want him they need to give up something decent.
  3. Dman
    I agree with you and after looking at several teams top 20 excluding the top 5, I don't see a ton of guys that are that much better than a lot of the guy we already have. I think we match up best with the Cardinals but hard to say how bad they want a catcher as they seem more interested in pitching help. For some of our guys I think you would need to get guys from other teams at lower levels with high upside as there isn't a ton of room in our system. I think several people feel addition by subtraction is better than holding onto guys versus getting value this year. Several people just want to see the young guys play so keeping guys that are done the end of this year makes little sense. If there is a year to dump what you can I think this is the year.
  4. Dman
    Not surprising at all. I would do the same thing if I were him. He has a chance to cash in on an All Star year with a weak FA class of catchers this year. He could end up in a bidding war and come out exceptionally well. He just needs to stay focused and not get hurt and he will get three years at 6, 7 or 8 million per year.
  5. Dman
    Yeah I think it is political. There is no one to move from Cedar Rapids and they are waiting for Zack to come back as well. Unless they are ready to promote someone to high A, Murphy is stuck. I agree it is past time to move him.
  6. Dman
    Yeah he is talented and a team wouldn't have to give up prospects to get him. Tough thing is will he fit in clubhouse? Boston seems to be doing better without him. Not sure what that says other AJ's rep makes him more of a gamble than most.
  7. Dman
    Yeah I don't get the Twins or the Mariners qualifying for anything unless they take pity on 60 win teams in the middle of the market. I think you are right that it must be revenue driven. The product hasn't been there and the novelty of the new stadium is wearing off. Time to get things moving Twins.
  8. Dman
    I agree they poisoned the well. You don't offer the least possible amount you can to the player everyone thought was the best prospect in the draft unless you don't want them. Why would the player want to play for a team that values him so little? The offers Houston made at the end were laughable as they had tons of time to work this out if they wanted to. They wanted to get a bargain or nothing at all and personally I think they got what they deserved. If I were a player or agent I would do whatever I could to not deal with Houston in the future. I would not recommend my clients go to an organization that appears to be all about hardball negotiations. I would take less money and go to a team that will hopefully treat me better.
  9. Dman
    Yeah this becomes a brutal draft for them. Next year should be nice but wow. Why not offer 5.5 or 6 and sign the other two guys? They don't know that his arm will fall off. Seems worth the risk to me. They must really believe the arm will go bad and will not be able to be fixed. Will be interesting to see the spin on this one.
  10. Dman
    Any chance there would be a bidding war for Suzuki's services between the Dodgers and the Cardinals? They both have good defensive catchers but Suzuki would be a large offensive upgrade. If you are the Dodgers is getting him addition by subtraction? I mean by getting him they deny the Cardinals an opportunity to upgrade at catcher and they upgrade that position themselves. That would give the Dodgers an advantage if they play each other. They would have a catcher who can hit or at the very least a real nice bat off the bench for later in the game. Same would hold true the other way for the Cardinals. Just thinking out loud.
  11. Dman
    Maybe not stated well. They typically won't overpay for talent or they don't compete for top tier talent with the Yankee's, Dodgers etc. Yes many teams do that as well but the Twins do have room to spend. Will they get a big ace pitcher in FA? Will they outspend Detroit for Sherzer or go get Price? That is where I am going with that.
  12. Dman
    I agree nothing much is going to change. They have their approach and will stick with it. JP and TR are like minded. Fiscally responsible, they value performance for certain dollar amount, they make sure things are profitable and they are patient in their approach. TR will retire about the time the new stars are ready to get their big contracts.
  13. Dman
    Personally I like his straight to the point, tell it like it is stance to the questions posed. It leads me to believe that he does understand baseball and what it takes to be a successful club. I think he is disappointed in the state of the current team and frustrated by the slow and minute progress shown. I was a little surprised that he was so clear cut about prospects not being players. Although very true that seemed a little pessimistic to me. One would think the owner would be a little more rah, rah about the future instead of so objective and rational. Personally I think his take is pretty dead on and the patient, plodding, rational approach will pay off in the near future.
  14. Dman
    Sounds good to me. Grichuk sounds like he might be a bit like Kvasnika anyway. Like drjim, I am just looking at what the Cardinals might be willing to give up that might match what we can use. I think they would give up Grichuk. I think Ramsey is more versatile and more valuable to them. Trading is a game and I am always surprised at how they turn out. Ramsey sounds good especially is he can play some center field. Will be interesting to see how it works out.
  15. Dman
    I like all the guys you mentioned but if I had to guess I think grichuk is more likely. He is rated as a B prospect in the 10 to 11 range in their system. They just got him from the Freeze trade and might consider flipping him for Suzuki. Those other guys are pretty high up on the list at MLB.com. That seems like too much to give up for a 2 month rental. Will be interesting to see what happens.
  16. Dman
    What pills do I have to take to be as optimistic as you? I think a lot of things have to go right to make 9-4. I am inclined to be more in line with twinsnorth at 7-6 or 6-7. I was wrong last time as they were two games better than my prediction so here's hoping you are right but I am betting against it.
  17. Dman
    Why does everyone think he will settle for a one or two year extension? He is coming off an All Star year. His value has never been higher and the FA catching class is weak. If I am Suzuki and talking extension I am looking for three years minimum at probably 7 Million per. If he waits until FA he will likely get three years and maybe an option for four to the winning bidder and maybe even higher than 7 Million if a team is desperate enough. He would be a fool to extend for one or two years. He would totally have to sell himself short. Unless you are willing to over pay in money and years for an extension, he will hit FA. Personally I think a 1 to 2 year extension is fantasy talk.
  18. Dman
    I think if you can get a B level prospect for him you call that a successful deal. No one is going to give up the farm for a two month rental of a catcher with defensive holes in his game. To hang onto Suzuki to the end of the season and get nothing at all for him seems like an odd strategy to me. You win a few more games but no future gain. Suzuki has no incentive to sign an extension when the market is ripe (i.e. shortage of FA catchers) for him to make a killing this off season. Are the Twins known as a team that outbids and overpays in years and dollars for a player? I don't think so. Get something while you can. If the Twins are serious about wanting him back they can overpay for him in the off season.
  19. Dman
    Have to be excited about the Twins future with a balanced three pitchers and three position players in the top 50 and several other very good players in the system as well. Just a little more time and these guys will start to trickle in and make this team better. Nice to see consensus on the top 50 lists.
  20. Dman
    MLB would need to pick up the bill I would guess. I think they do this already in football. No one gets drafted there without looking at medical reports.
  21. Dman
    That was a pretty balanced article. I guess it really comes down to how you view the medical reports. If the Astro's truly have a legitimate concern that if injured he may never pitch again, or pitch effectively again, then I guess you shake Aiken loose and try again next year. It seems like an awful lot for them to give up this year but I will assume they know best. If this is simply about a price point then I think this damages the Astro's significantly. If there is one thing they should change it is medical exams before the draft.
  22. Dman
    I agree with you especially on Vargas. It just seems highly unlikely he is ready at the beginning of next year to step into that role. I agree with the depth argument and the Twins have the money to sign him. I too am concerned if long term is longer than one year. One year is ideal and the plan you laid out is solid. I just think he is looking for three years. I am not sure he will find it but you never know. One of the big market teams might snatch him up for depth. I personally do like Pinto in the DH\backup catcher role. I just don't have confidence he is going to make it as a starting catcher. I agree he could fail or struggle in that role but his bat and approach seem pretty solid. Ultimately I don't think we can count on Morales doing a one year deal unless all other teams turn him down for multi-year deals.
  23. Dman
    The premise of the article is long term deal. Most of the arguments for Morales seem to be based on a one year deal that it seems highly unlikely he would take. I believe the Twins promised or he is free from the qualified offer scenario so just how are the Twins going to turn a long term deal into a one year deal? If it takes more than one year to get him to stay how does he not block prospects?
  24. Dman
    I don't know. Once you low ball a player\agent you are pretty much giving them the middle finger. It is pretty hard to come back from that. They had agreed to 6.5 then were supposedly offered 5 and now 3. That is a trend that leads one to believe that both sides are prepared for mutual self destruction. I don't see this ending well unless Houston does a 180 and gets back close to that 6.5 number. With there latest offer that seems unlikely to me.
  25. Dman
    If that is their offer then Houston can't be serious about signing him. Jeff Hoffman who is having TJ surgery is getting 3 million for goodness sake and Rodon got more than the second round pick and likely the first pick as well. Something doesn't smell right in Houston. I would not sign with a team that would low ball me like that. Either you think the player is worth the first pick or you don't. I would either sit out the year or go to an Indy league and try again next year.
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