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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    I think he will do slightly better than average BABIP so I think option His in play for him this year. It is a long season and an injury could impact his numbers but he is such a good hitter I can see him beating the average. Option A is the low bar he might do something in between A and B. I guess we will find out at the end of the year but he is off to a good start and that helps.
  2. Dman
    His BABIP is .410 right now I believe so he going to regress to the mean there. His K rate has been around 15% for his career and never really wavered much so I don't see him being worse than option A and I think Option B is close to where he ends up. With some nice BABIP luck he could hit your option C number.
  3. Dman
    I think a lot of us on this site wanted to see Austin get a chance at 1st base and I agree I don't see a huge difference in the players when it comes to OPS. The main differences appear to be K rate about 10% less for Cron in MLB if IIRC. Also the lefty righty splits are in Crons favor as well. If you feel the quality of at bats are an important indicator for future performance then I think you go with Cron. If you go with gut and hope a player improves on some known weaknesses then you probably go with Austin. The other thing you fail to mention is why is it that only Austin can improve? Why can't Cron improve as well? It just feels like there is some bias in your analysis to me. I like Austin and have said I believe he can make it in MLB but he has a number of warts and right now I would rather develop Raley or Rooker for that role as they are not that much different than Austin and they have Options remaining.
  4. Dman
    At least they took one game from the Mets. Tough to just give a game away but I guess that is the way it works sometimes. Growing pains I guess.
  5. Dman
    That was horrible at bat by Cron. Everyone seems to be guessing tonight. Ump is giving Thor the edges as well.
  6. Dman
    How can pitchers not know how to throw strikes? Unbelievable!!!
  7. Dman
    For love of god somebody take him out of the game. He should be a reliever not a starter.
  8. Dman
    WHo walks the pitcher? I have lost all faith in Odo.
  9. Dman
    Would be nice if Aududillo would work counts a little bit more. Seems like they are throwing him junk early hoping he will hack at it.
  10. Dman
    Good in what way? OPS for the moment? I think that 41% K rate is going to catch up to him eventually. He also has a .750 BABIP I am sure he can keep that up all season. Don't get me wrong I like Austin but if you Like Austin then you should like Rooker just as much as they are the same player. Only Difference is that if you have a log jam at 1st base \ DH Rooker has options. Based on the numbers I think the Twins did the right thing here.
  11. Dman
    I was never a Diaz backer. Thought it was a bad pick but what this guy is doing is changing my mind. He has really slimmed down which should help him defensively. He seems to have a decent eye at the plate and he makes good contact. I really like what he has done and it shows he is serious about trying to make it to MLB. I am cheering him on this year as he needs a big year to regain the prospect status he has lost. He is off to a real good start. I hope he keeps this up.
  12. Dman
    Really like Garver and Austudillo in the same lineup together. Both have good bats and make the lineup tougher IMO. What a night for Garver. He will be hard pressed to have a more impressive night the rest of his career. Two HR's against one of the best pitchers in Baseball, Wow. I really liked that lineup and if you through in Cruz and eventually Sano it kind of becomes pick your poison for pitchers. If they stay healthy this should be a fun offense to watch.
  13. Dman
    OK I take it all back. Job well done.
  14. Dman
    34 pitches and no outs. That is not a guy you want on your team.
  15. Dman
    Time for a pitching change.
  16. Dman
    26 pitches and no outs. Boo.
  17. Dman
    He can't give up 10 runs can he?
  18. Dman
    Can Chase get an out?
  19. Dman
    Over time I have become a Cabbage Skeptic. There has been so, so much swing and miss to his game that I am doubting he makes it past High A. He needs to worry less about power and just contact the ball. If you don't put the ball in play you are an automatic out. He has already been passed by players younger than him drafted a year later than he was (i.e Miranda, Rortvedt, and Baddo) to name a few, Maybe he will be a late bloomer but IMO this is a make or break year for him. If he doesn't show improvement in his K rate his chances of making it are razor thin. I am glad he is off to a good start, but he needs to keep this up to move up IMO.
  20. Dman
    i get it. He hasn't even played a full year of Major League Baseball yet. There will be ups and downs and there is a chance the bat never does play in MLB. All I am saying is the counting stats suggest he can be a good hitter. We'll have to wait and see how things turn out.
  21. Dman
    Yeah this guy kind of reminds me of Tanner English. Maybe slightly faster but all defense and no offense. He has a couple of years left to see if he can be special with the bat otherwise guys who can't hit are sort of a dime a dozen.
  22. Dman
    Not sure what our infatuation with 4th outfielders is but I guess you can never have enough. For a marginal player like Austin I guess it is likely a take it or leave it proposition. His K rate is problematic so he is a flawed player as well. I just think that with a Platoon split and or more experience he actually has major league value. The guy we are getting doesn't even seem to have Austins level of potential but again i guess it is better than nothing. Giants got another marginal player from us that could turn into a solid player in time. For that price they can't lose on this trade.
  23. Dman
    While I agree the Turtle will never be Pucket as he just doesn't have his speed I think you are highly underestimating what La Tortuga can be. Since he rarely strikes out (3%) that means he is going to put more balls in play. Since the rough average for balls in play is .300 odds are he is going to be close to a .300 hitter unless he has bad BABIP luck. With good BABIP luck he will hit over .300. He also can hit for power and looks like a decent defensive catcher at this point (at least as good if not better than Garver). Add that all up (especially if he can play catcher) and you have a very valuable MLB player. If he ends up hitting around .300 which baring injury seems likely given his current track record, that would have been the best average on the entire Twins roster last year. Granted he has yet to play a full season of Major League baseball yet, but if you ask me the odds are in his favor to be a better than average catcher in MLB. A catcher who might hit better than JT Realmuto this year. Add to that he can also play 1st, 2nd, 3rd and left field and you have a flexible and valuable player who can fill in when and where needed. Give it time you will be on La Tortuga's bandwagon before long.
  24. Dman
    That was fantastic article really well done. He looks like a player you want to start every game. Hope the Twins find room. Also just goes to show projection systems can only take you so far.
  25. Dman
    Thanks for calling out Marwin. Some of his at bats have been downright ugly. I know it's early and one good game can change a players stats significantly but right now he is black hole for us. I would rather see Austudillo playing third as he doesn't seem to be as affected by cold weather. Maybe let Marwin handle pinch hit duties until the weather warms up. I wonder if if Rocco corrects course or just shows faith in the veteran. At any rate he is making me wish we had Sano back at third.
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