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big dog

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Everything posted by big dog

  1. big dog
    Any reason to think he was even interested in it?
  2. big dog
    Gotta be either Toronto or Baltimore, right?
  3. big dog
    My recollection of the union's stance the last time this was brought up was concern that future free agents would be measured against the back end of other players' deals, so that the diminished future salaries would have some chance of influencing prices for new contracts for other players. I'm not saying that's a great point, but I am pretty sure it was mentioned as a concern.
  4. big dog
    Whoever signs Liriano will spend the year saying wow, if he hadn't gotten hurt he would have had a great season. Career high in innings was 191, back in 2010. Next highest was 162. Tantalizing but unreliable. I say spend big or stay home. We have enough 3/4/5s to sort through.
  5. big dog
    Yeah, he's been extremely durable. Seems like a lot of money now, but given how quickly salaries are rising $11 million in 4 years might be a bargain, even with some age-related decline.
  6. big dog
    I think it would be more appropriate for Berardino to question him the next time he says something like that, rather than rehash old statements during a news conference about a contract. It's old news. And it would be even more appropriate for Hunter to make sure there isn't a next time. I do think it would be a good thing for reporters to be a little more aggressive in the Cities. Some back and forth discussion with players would be a nice change from the Souhan/Powers/Reusse snark. The players might even welcome it. Well, Perkins probably would anyway.
  7. big dog
    Put me down for a Commodore Perry IPA, Great Lakes Brewing.
  8. big dog
    All right, I'll go with the original terms you proposed- WAR, spotting you +1. Hopefully Donaldson puts up a +5 and Plouffe ties him. I'll be ecstatic to pay up.
  9. big dog
    So I just talked to my 80-year-old mother on the phone. I said "Did you hear who the Twins signed?" And before I could say who, she said "Oh no, not him again!" I laughed pretty hard. OK, I've told everyone how my mother and daughter responded. I won't share any more family stories tonight. My wife doesn't care anyway.
  10. big dog
    Hey Chief, I don't have a dog in this hunt, but I'll take your bet because maybe someday we can have a beer together (and because I think Donaldson's markedly better). OK? Pick whatever measure you want. I'll take Donaldson and give you a cushion. I wish there were some way to objectively measure the value of this trade to the A's in 3 years. I'd bet on that, too.
  11. big dog
    My 20-yr-old daughter, who has been to more games than I have over the last 3 years, is shrieking with excitement. So if that was their plan, it worked. I hope to be won over, eventually.
  12. big dog
    I'm in on Milone. It's just not that much money for someone who still has potential. Let's see what Allen can do with him.
  13. big dog
    and if I lived in Oakland I'd never spend a hundred bucks on a jersey with a player's name on it. Well, that's not actually true- I'd love to have a Rudi jersey. Good point about Butler. I'd rather have Donaldson many times over. Even arguing that he couldn't trade Butler for 4 people still leads you to wonder what problem Butler solves that couldn't have been solved for a lot less money, or by getting a different player in a trade for Donaldson.
  14. big dog
    Personally, not speaking for anyone else, I would not love this trade if the Twins had made it. In fact I would be upset. I would prefer having one, even a couple top-ten MVP candidates rather than three more minor leaguers at the moment. The A's probably don't have the 40 man roster issues the Twins do. It seems like the Blue Jays, rather than the A's, made the kind of trade people here frequently propose (trading quantity for quality), except the Jays were unfortunately not able to include Duensing. I bet they tried to offer Liam Hendricks (who is back with them again after leaving the Royals). I can see how it might have made sense to the A's. My original objection to it was as part of a pattern I characterize as constant meddling (or hyperactive reshuffling). I don't think it's a crazy trade on its own merit as an isolated event, though I'm not knowledgeable enough to make an argument about who won or lost.
  15. big dog
    He would certainly be an upgrade over Delmon Young.
  16. big dog
    Let me know when he wins more playoff series than one. That's my goal.
  17. big dog
    And Mr. Beane once again plays Stratomatic baseball. I'll repeat something I said during the summer- I would have a hard time being a fan of a team that was constantly rebooting by trading away very good and popular players as if they were stocks, trying to capture some small alpha of difference. Especially since, like most active fund managers, his returns don't have much of a payoff. I continue to think that his fan base would like to keep a few talented players around for a while, just for kicks. So of course now he's going to trade Shark- that's what he does. Analysts love it, the fans stay away, And the A's have only won one playoff series since 1990 (beating the Twins in 2006, of course), but Beane's a genius. In fact, they have 6 first-round exits since 2000, not including the one-game wild-card loss this fall. He gets a pass on the same thing people here use to trash the Twins. I don't think his trades are bad, in a vacuum- far from it. But what's he really done? Besides not persuade anyone to build the team a stadium, not persuade fans to attend the games, and having a lot of first-round exits in the playoffs? Oh, right, Brad Pitt played him in a movie. I'll hold Beane to the same standard people hold Ryan and other GMs. Don't show me "value-maximizing" trades. Show me the ring.
  18. big dog
    Doesn't anyone consider Eddie Guardado as Hispanic? He describes his father as Mexican, a farmworker in Stockton CA.
  19. big dog
    Don't be so dismissive about family firms (the five and dimes are all gone anyway). A surprisingly large fraction of the S&P 500 consists of firms that still have a large involvement by the founding families. There's a significant corporate finance literature discussing why these firms continue to be successful, on average more successful than firms without founder involvement, even after adjusting for survivorship bias.
  20. big dog
    I do too, but the money is what makes it happen. Certainly in my own life it is clear that having money is a necessary but not sufficient condition to spending money. Would I spend it? I don't know, but I'd like to have an extra $150 million a year as an experiment to see what I would do. It would be interesting.
  21. big dog
    True, but do you think platoon-dh is a role that Hunter is going to think is appropriate? I doubt it.
  22. big dog
    ARGH!!!!! He can hit some, he can't field any more, and his "leadership" largely means his talking a lot whether people care or not. When his bat falls off a cliff is he going to be content to sit back and provide leadership? I doubt it.
  23. big dog
    Certainly a reasonable way to do it. You also hope that if they ask out the girl that moved away during 4th grade and came back in high school they are doing it because of who she is now rather than who she was back in the day. I'm on the board of an organization that hired a new Exec Director a little over a year ago. We desperately wanted fresh blood. Unfortunately it turned out that we got fresh psycho blood, so we removed the new person at some expense and now we're searching again. So I hope they look outside but I hope they are better predictors than we were.
  24. big dog
    That's a manager and 7 coaches. Isn't that the rule?
  25. big dog
    I'd rather have a Hostess Twinkie than Hunter at $12 M. The Angels and the Tigers thought he would help get them to the WS, it didn't work out. Find someone with a little upside please. We know getting Buehrle would help us because we wouldn't lose two games against him next year.
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