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Mr. Brooks

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Everything posted by Mr. Brooks

  1. Adjusted average since inception is not the same thing as a GUARANTEED rate over 5 years.
  2. They didn't fire Mauer. Mauer chose to quit coaching so that he could spend time with his family and see his kids grow up.
  3. Of course Mauer would probably do that. But, why would the Pohlad's, who I believe made their money in banking, pay 9% interest?
  4. Mauer didn't want to coach anymore. He wants to spend more time with his family.
  5. Besides, he's going to get a lot more than $140 million, IMO.
  6. The Twins max out payroll at just over 50% of revenue, so the bonus would have to be $30 million, not 60.
  7. No agent in mlb makes 10% commission. Most are around 2-3%, Scott Boras made the most (#'s from 2013) at 4.7%.
  8. I'm a fan of the move. But, it's hardly a given that he'll be a #3 starter in 2019. If it were, he'd have gotten a lot more money.
  9. So we really have 3 different items: losing Bard, losing Burdi, and taking Kinley. I'm actually going to give the FO the benefit of the doubt on all 3 items. Losing Bard, I think, will hurt a bit. But, with so many guys that needed to be protected, I also would have left him unprotected, and hoped he didn't get taken. So, I can't rightly criticize them for that. With Burdi, I just don't think he'll ever stay healthy. I've always believed that it's a skill to be able to stay healthy. Just like throwing 100 is a skill. You need a cooperative body, sure , but that goes for throwing 100 as well. To me, expecting Burdi to suddenly be able to stay healthy, would be like expecting a guy that throws 85 to suddenly be able to throw 100. It's just not going to happen. With Kinley, he's got a lot of red flags. Old for a prospect, severe control issues, could take up a roster spot, etc. But, he's got the stuff, and I'm going to trust that the FO thinks they can make something click. If you want to find a diamond in the rough, you have to actually be willing to get down and dig through the rough. Sure, often you'll just end up with a bunch of rocks, but again, that's the only way to actually find that diamond.
  10. I wouldn't say no 2018 benefit. He should be able to contribute by August.
  11. Yeah I think any offer for Archer that doesn't start with Lewis gets a "thanks, but no thanks. "
  12. I think Cole plus Lynn, and Santana not regressing would give us a legit shot at the division. (Assuming we add legit bp help.) We wouldn't be the favorites, but we'd be close enough to win it 30% of the time, IMO.
  13. I'd do that in a heartbeat, if true. That seems light to me though.
  14. Well the odds that 2 marginal guys like Garcia and Kintzler are going to have a meaningful impact on the last 2 months of a season are also very small.
  15. Except they only had a 5% chance at the playoffs, so the odds said fold. Regardless, whether you think they should have bought or sold is not my point. They are both fair opinions. Insisting either is an undeniable fact is not fair. Neither is insisting the FO said something they didn't, then when asked for a source, saying "Well, they can't come right out and say what I'm insisting they said, but I'm sure they meant it." (jim, not you. )
  16. Except they didn't admit any such thing with their words or actions. Making a different decision later, when the circumstances have changed, is nowhere near automatically admitting that your earlier action was a blunder. Calling the flop, then folding the turn - with new information and circumstances, doesn't mean your flop call was a blunder. It could mean that, or it could mean that you made the right decision both times under the circumstances. We have no idea how the FO feels about their deadline decision. Saying you think it was a blunder is a fair take. Insisting on that opinion being a fact, and insisting on putting words in the FO's mouth isn't.
  17. That's still way too small of a sample size. You need to look at all FA's, not just 3 year guys. Also need to look at multiple years. I also don't know why you are looking at previous to contract WAR. What matters is price per WAR during their contract. And no team is comprised of nothing but FA's. Guys under team control are much cheaper. That is where you get the value from. Of course $8 million per WAR would not be sustainable for a full 25 man roster. That is why developing talent is so important.
  18. Neither of those things suggest that they thought the deadline moves were a blunder. The Twins playoff chances improved in August. The team playing better than they thought they would doesn't make their deadline moves a blunder. A blunder would be knowing they would play that well, and still selling. I want them making decisions based on what they know and think at the time they make the decision. Not trying to predict that a 20:1 lingshot will come through. There was also a lot of talk about the team being motivated by the decision to sell, so they might not have even made the playoffs if not for the decisions they made.
  19. Maybe they could beat Cleveland, in the sense that any team could beat any other team in a series, if they get lucky. But, should they really be making decisions based on that?
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