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Mr. Brooks

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Everything posted by Mr. Brooks

  1. Mr. Brooks
    We'll just have to agree to disagree. If you have a better option, you use your better option. Your statement is a little bit like saying we should pinch hit Wilkin Ramirez for Joe Mauer if the other team brings in a lefty. Just because it's Wilkin Ramirez' job to be a RH bench bat, doesn't necessarily mean that he's always going to be the best option, and that you automatically use him if there is a lefty on the mound.
  2. Mr. Brooks
    I'm saying you should use your best BP arms in the highest leverage situations. Even a couple of months would still be a far too tiny sample size. Even an entire season would be too small of a sample size. Even a reliever who throws 80 innings a year, is only going to throw about 25-30 of them in high leverage situations. 25-30 innings is far too small of a sample size to make any conclusive statements about. You are never going to get a large enough sample size, when it comes to relief pitchers and how they fare in specific leverage situations. Your goal should be to put your best reliever in the highest leverage situations possible. Not try to "identify" which ones pitch best in high leverage, and which ones don't, because it's going to take you 5+ years to get a sufficient sample size to even begin to answer that question. You should never have the attitude that, "this guy is overall not a very good relief pitcher, but in high leverage situations he's great," and vice versa. Not that it is impossible for that guy to exist, but that its nearly impossible to get a large enough sample size to identify that guy.
  3. Mr. Brooks
    Have to love early April numbers. Miguel Tejada and Eduardo Escobar are the team BA leaders coming into this series! (Yes, I know neither has enough PA's to qualify)
  4. Mr. Brooks
    I don't dispute that. My point is, giving Tyler Robertson a few high leverage innings in April isn't going to tell you anything conclusive. It's far too small of a sample size. He could be the most clutch guy in the world, but still fail over such a small sample size. He could be the least clutch guy in the world, but still succeed over such a small sample size. I was responding specifically to the notion that you put him in a few high leverage situations early in the year to "see how he handles it". I couldn't disagree more with that sentiment. You are never going to see enough to make any conclusions in such a tiny sample size, so to me that is not even a logical consideration when discussing the reasons to put him/not put him in that situation.
  5. Mr. Brooks
    Casilla is one of the worst hitters in baseball. You shouldnt need your best BP arm to get him out. Casilla has 11 career HR's. Let me repeat. He has hit just 11 HR's over his ENTIRE career. If you can't see the massive difference between the 2 situations, I guess I don't even know where to begin.
  6. Mr. Brooks
    People need to stop thinking that this is a bad thing though! If he is lured away, then that means he had success. If he has success, then he makes this a more attractive job opening for the next hire we have to make.
  7. Mr. Brooks
    I wonder if the same people shouting that its too early to make any judgments on Hicks or Parmalee (correctly), are the same ones applauding the Twins for their improved starting pitching and bullpen performance?
  8. Mr. Brooks
    I agree. My point is, that unless you are going to give a guy an extremely large sample size in both high and low leverage situations, you are never going to know if a guy is really "clutch" or not. Putting Robertson in a high leverage situation in April tells you absolutely nothing about how "clutch" he is. Even if you do it several times, it is still a TINY sample size. I agree, it works both ways. But if you can never know, then go with what you do know- which is a guys track record and skill set. It's rare to find players who have significant split differences over an entire career, between "clutch" situations, and non "clutch" situations. Typically the numbers end up virtually identical over the long run.
  9. Mr. Brooks
    From the best seafood city in America, to the best BBQ city in America. I'm jealous.
  10. Mr. Brooks
    There is a problem with assuming this is causation instead of just correlation. Typically these guys don't get a large enough sample size to ever know if it is "pressure", or just a few bad outings making up a small sample size. Is Mo Rivera the best closer of all time because he is incredibly "clutch", or is it just because he is THAT good? I tend to lean towards the latter, in most examples.
  11. Mr. Brooks
    When did I ever say it was "low" leverage? I said "lower", which it is. None on, none out in the 9th, tied, is lower leverage than bases loaded in the 8th, tied. That is about the highest leverage situation you could think of.
  12. Mr. Brooks
    Hicks doesnt need to be demoted, yet. What he needs is a day off. He is pressing big time, and it's borderline cruel and unusual punishment to keep penciling him in every day like this. I'm not saying bench him, I'm saying give him a day off, let him watch a game from the bench, and see if it helps him settle down.
  13. Mr. Brooks
    Wow, you take things EXTREMELY literally. When you said "glove", you LITERALLY meant glove huh? LOL.
  14. Mr. Brooks
    Huh?? The situation does not determine how good or bad a guy will perform. They are who they are. Is his stuff or command or control or something suddenly going to be better or worse based on the leverage of the situation?
  15. Mr. Brooks
    Pretty much, yes. Mental mistakes (losing the ball in the sun, taking a bad angle, etc.) are not errors.
  16. Mr. Brooks
    That is all the more reason to come hard inside a couple times, just enough so they think twice about leaning in. If you are going to be a command guy who gets by painting that bottom outside corner, it's going to be pretty hard to do successfully when guys are not afraid to lean in on the plate.
  17. Mr. Brooks
    Yep, thats unacceptable from a vet like Willingham.
  18. Mr. Brooks
    Was always a big fan of Dougie Alphabet. I think he'll do well. All of the interviews I've read and heard with him, he seems very passionate and enthusiastic about coaching.
  19. Mr. Brooks
    Mauer or Anderson.
  20. Mr. Brooks
    Someone needs to tell Hernandez to come hard inside. These righties are standing damn near on top of the plate.
  21. Mr. Brooks
    Dozier has looked pretty confident in the field so far this year.
  22. Mr. Brooks
    I pointed out that I was taking the argument to the extreme, for effect. I'm not bringing out the pitchforks and the torches over this. Its one inning of a long season, in which I'm not expecting much. I just disagree with the decision, that is all. IMO, you can find out what you have in Robertson in a lower leverage situation.
  23. Mr. Brooks
    You don't always find out the first stint up though. A demotion back to the minors is not the end of the world for a prospect. There are plenty of good prospects who struggled their first call up, went back down, then came up and figured things out in their 2nd or 3rd stint. IMO, it's probably not that they learn anything new, but that confidence goes a VERY long way in baseball. Sometimes if a guy is hitting really bad, for a long stretch of time, his confidence is shot, and he's never going to break out of that slump until he gets it back. Sometimes sending a guy down to get his confidence back against inferior opposition can be the best possible thing for a young player. I'm in no way saying its that time already for Hicks. But as some have said, if this continues for a while, and the guys who are around him sense that his confidence is shot, then letting him get his confidence back in AAA might be the best thing for both him and the team.
  24. Mr. Brooks
    Yes it does. Pitch F/X rules a pitch a strike when the ball crosses any part of the plate in the zone.
  25. Mr. Brooks
    Pitch F/x tracks where the ball crosses the plate. It's incredibly accurate. Within 1/2", and 1 mph at most ballparks. Here is a good link with data measuring it's accuracy at each ballpark. (And this report is almost 2 years old, they are constantly tweaking it for accuracy, so it's safe to assume that it's even more accurate today.) http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=13109
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