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Mr. Brooks

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Everything posted by Mr. Brooks

  1. Mr. Brooks
    That's fine. Hit Carroll for Dozier and Ramirez for Florimon.
  2. Mr. Brooks
    I agree that he should have been pinch hit for in the 9th today. Might be a bit too soon to call his career dead though.
  3. Mr. Brooks
    Do you realize Kevin Slowey has a career 39-30 record?
  4. Mr. Brooks
    So your counter argument is to use a stat that the pitcher has even less control over? I'm sorry if I don't understand your argument.
  5. Mr. Brooks
    For the career .598 OPS'er that ended the game.
  6. Mr. Brooks
    Were Ramirez and/or Carroll unavailable to pinch hit today?
  7. Mr. Brooks
    I'm not sure I can think of a single team stat that would be "completely independent" of the players who are on the field during that game. His W/L total was the ONLY metric the op used in his post.
  8. Mr. Brooks
    I never said wins were "completely independent" of the pitcher. If its literally your sole metric for arguing how good or bad a pitcher is (which is how the guy I originally responded to was using it), it is not going to be a very accurate representation.
  9. Mr. Brooks
    If you are going to yank a guy, between innings, that has a shutout going and is under 90 pitches, then he shouldn't even be on the roster. (Which is a legit thread of its own.)
  10. Mr. Brooks
    Or see 1987 Nolan Ryan. As a 40 year old he was easily the best pitcher in baseball, but finished just 5th in Cy Young voting because his W/L was 8-16. What a terrible, terrible pitcher, to lose twice as many as he won!
  11. Mr. Brooks
    1) Perhaps bad pitchers don't, but replacement level one's can, and do. 2) Of course we care most about the win, but the problem with that is past w/l record is not predictive of future w/l record. It is a stat of circumstance.
  12. Mr. Brooks
    Why does he have to pitch the 9th too? Why can't he get you out of the 8th inning jam, then hit the showers?
  13. Mr. Brooks
    Wins are a team stat. See 2012 Cliff Lee, and 2012 Lance Lynn.
  14. Mr. Brooks
    I think you missed my point. My point was that Gardy didn't pass on using Perkins because of his availability or because of the air temperature. If a save situation were to have occurred in that game, Perk would have gotten the ball, so I don't think its apt to this discussion to claim that those variables should have a bearing on this specific discussion.
  15. Mr. Brooks
    I haven't looked at the numbers, but just off the "eye test", I have to disagree. It seems to me Hicks is getting a ton of pitches over the plate, he's just not doing anything with them.
  16. Mr. Brooks
    My point is that if the Twins have a 3 run lead in the 9th, with the bottom of the order due up, Gardy is STILL going to use Perkins regardless of those variables you mentioned. Therefore I don't think those variables are very valid points in this specific discussion. In a general bullpen management discussion, sure, but when discussing this specific occurance, I say no, because those were not the reason Gardy didn't use Perkins there.
  17. Mr. Brooks
    I wouldn't call a 3 run lead with only 3 outs to get close. But, even if you do, that is still only 6 of 10 times. Hardly predictable that the next 2 are both going to be close, as you claim when you say, "no hindsight".
  18. Mr. Brooks
    That is debatable. In the 158,301 games from 1900 to 2010, the average margin of victory was 3.3 runs. In 2010, 40% of the games were decided by 4 runs or more.
  19. Mr. Brooks
    I was talking about bringing Perkins in when Davis came up w/ bases loaded. I never said bring him in to start the inning. If Perkins gets Davis and the next guy out, that leaves someone to start a clean 9th with the 6,7,8 hitters up I believe?
  20. Mr. Brooks
    A) Perhaps because if Perkins gets out of that jam, its the bottom of the O's lineup due in the 9th, instead of the top and heart of the order that was up in the 8th? Now you are just using hindsight. The games on Friday and Saturday could just as likely been blowouts, either way. I doubt Gardy has a crystal ball that told him Friday and Saturday would be close games.
  21. Mr. Brooks
    Of course he can't. But he should have in this one. Most of the time your 2nd best option (Burton) would be available, and your 3rd best option (Duensing) won't always have been used already. The times that the choice will have to be between your best option and your 4th or worse option is going to be pretty rare. And you are still overestimating how many high leverage innings occur over a season. It's probably closer to 65 or 70.
  22. Mr. Brooks
    Going 29-9 in 1 run games IS a fluke, no matter how you want to spin it. Yes, it happened, and they get credit for it, and shouldn't have to apologize for it. But that doesn't change the fact that it was a fluke, and would only happen 1 time in 100 with the same roster, same opponents, same everything. It's an "amazing feat" in the same way that flipping heads 20 times in a row would be an amazing feat. Pretty amazing to see, but doesn't have a whole lot to do with the coin or the person flipping the coin.
  23. Mr. Brooks
    Gordon had the majority of his PA's from the leadoff spot last year as well.
  24. Mr. Brooks
    No, thats not true at all. You think you are going to get bases loaded in the 8th, tie game, and a LH hitting HR threat at the plate 140 games? I'm strictly referring to high leverage situations, not medium leverage situations. I think perhaps you are overestimating how often high leverage situations occur?
  25. Mr. Brooks
    Question: Who do you think Gardy would have used to pitch the 9th inning with a 3 run lead?
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