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Mr. Brooks

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Everything posted by Mr. Brooks

  1. Mr. Brooks
    Nailed it.
  2. Mr. Brooks
    A pitcher has much more control over many of those stats then he does his ERA. There are too many variables to ERA over small sample sizes to control. The numbers that go into FIP and xFIP have been proven, over massive sample sizes, to be much more accurate predictors of future ERA, than past ERA.
  3. Mr. Brooks
    Because the pitcher has more direct control over those underlying stats then he does over his ERA and W/L record. Those numbers are better predictors of future performance, and are why he has quite predictably regressed to the mean. ERA gives you a snapshot of what a player has DONE, but doesnt necessarily predict what he will DO.
  4. Mr. Brooks
    People who drink continuously don't get hangovers. In fact, they get reverse hangovers. They feel awful if they wake up after a night of being sober.
  5. Mr. Brooks
    I think the point is that guys like that don't usually get showered with praise. Personally, it's not much of an issue to me what Gardy says about him, but I'm just saying I think that is the point.
  6. Mr. Brooks
    Ian Clarkin might be there at 43, thought the Twins would probably have to go over slot to get him (he's a college commit), so I'll say Ryan Eades. He's the type of "close to MLB ready", "polished arm" that the Twins like to target.
  7. Mr. Brooks
    That wasn't what I meant. I just meant in the real world most people suck it up and manage to get through the work day, then rest up after. I get that pro sports is not a 'regular' job, so I'll stop now.
  8. Mr. Brooks
    The only thing I'll add to this argument is the following: I think it says a lot about the sad direction that baseball in general, and particularly the Twins have gone when starts like these deserve praise. It used to be starters were expected to go 9 innings, unless they got hurt or completely fell apart. Then closers became a part of the game, and starters were expected to go 8 solid innings, and hand a lead to the closer. Then bullpens expanded even more, and starters were expected to give you 7 good innings. More recently, the Quality Start stat was invented, and starters were simply expected to put up utterly mediocre numbers (6 IP, 3 ER). Now it has gotten so bad that guys are not even expected to give you that bare minimum?? They get high praise and a pat on the back for simply getting to the 7th inning, even if they give up 4 or 5 runs? That is just sad, and it's not just the Twins, though the Twins are probably more guilty of it than just about anyone.
  9. Mr. Brooks
    I'd be very surprised to see him up here anytime before June of 2015, but I'd love to be wrong.
  10. Mr. Brooks
    I could be wrong, but I don't think Houston is a "high revenue" team. In fact, I think they are one of the lowest.
  11. Mr. Brooks
    Sounds to me like you might find your soup poisoned one of these times, if you're not careful.
  12. Mr. Brooks
    Everyone is going to get the flu every now and then. I just can't recall anyone I've ever met who has needed more than 1 day off of work due to it. It's not something that is fun to work through, that's for sure, but it's just one of those things you have to tough out and sleep all you want when you get home.
  13. Mr. Brooks
    The numbers bear out your observation. According to fangraphs, his cutter has been his worst pitch, with a value of (negative) 1.9 runs above average. His best pitch has been his fastball and curve, both at 0.5 RAA, and his changeup is at (negative) 1.0. For his career, the only pitch with a positive RAA is his slider (which he hasn't used this year), with the remainder of his pitches all being equally bad (right around (neg) 10 to 11 RAA).
  14. Mr. Brooks
    I think Morneau needs to drink more Vitamin C or something. When he gets the flu, he must get it REALLY bad. I seem to remember him missing almost a full week with the flu a couple of years ago.
  15. Mr. Brooks
    3B Escobar 1B Mauer DH Willingham C Doumit RF Parmelee LF Herrmann 2B Dozier CF Hicks SS Florimon
  16. Mr. Brooks
    IMO it's hard to make that argument when you deliberately leave $30 million of payroll off the table.
  17. Mr. Brooks
    I'd say leave him at CR unless his performance starts to absolutely demand a promotion. Let him start the year at FTM next year as a 19 year old, and if he earns a promotion to AA late in the season, he will still be extremely young for his league.
  18. Mr. Brooks
    Yes, exactly. It is about time they come to their senses and stop playing shorthanded. If a guy is hurt, you DL him. You don't play shorthanded for 4 or 5 days, only to DL him anyway. Way too many times the last 2 years we have seen that happen. If its an impact player, sure you wait around, because the difference between them and their replacement is generally pretty big. For a guy like Plouffe, there is no reason to wait. Carroll will replace him at 3B, which isn't really a drop, if anything its an upgrade.
  19. Mr. Brooks
    As far as I know I've never said anything regarding Drew Butera. I am with you in the minority as not really having a problem with Drew Butera on the roster. The only time it has ever bothered me was during the bi lateral leg weakness year when he was playing everyday (which is unacceptable). I think people are missing my point. I'm not bashing the Twins FO for not being perfect. I'm pointing out that all talent evaluators have hits and misses, so therefore simply pointing to their evaluation of Butera as an argument is worthless. For all we know they could be wrong about him (or right about him.) And yes, you do tell it like it is most often. I have no problem with your views of the club Nick, they are generally spot on.
  20. Mr. Brooks
    You can't make up some of the absurd off the field injuries that baseball players manage to inflict on themselves. Here are some of my favorites: Terry Mullholland scratched his eye sleeping on a feather pillow. (The feather poked through). Sammy Sosa strained his back with a "violent" sneeze! Bret Barberie rubbed chili sauce in his eye. (Not an injury but hilarious) Ray Quinones was unavailable to pinch hit because he was in the clubhouse playing Nintendo. Greg Harris strained his elbow flipping sunflower seeds in the bullpen. Of course, Marty Cordova burning his face in a tanning booth. Steve Sparks dislocated his shoulder attempting to tear a phone book in half. Jose Cardenal missed a game because he was up all night due to crickets chirping in his hotel room. Glenallen Hill fell out of bed during a nightmare in which he was covered in spiders, falling through a glass table, suffering multiple cuts. Rich Harden strained his shoulder turning off his alarm clock. Carlos Perez tried to "race" the team bus, causing an accident in which he broke his nose. John Smoltz and Lew Ford both injured themselves trying to iron a shirt they were wearing. Oddibe McDowell sliced his hand buttering a dinner roll. Nolan Ryan was bitten by a coyote. (Why does this one not surprise me at all?) Terry Harper injured his shoulder high fiving a teammate. (Anyone remember who the teammate was?) Vince Coleman being rolled up in the automatic tarp machine at Busch Stadium, LOL. David Cone was bitten by a Jack Russell Terrier.
  21. Mr. Brooks
    And even Trout struggled his first (partial) year up.
  22. Mr. Brooks
    Slightly OT, I think it's time that MLB changes the rules to allow trading of draft picks. If you think you are good enough to identify a player that is being undervalued, you should be able to benefit by trading down and accumulating more value, as you can in the NFL.
  23. Mr. Brooks
    I think the term "close to MLB ready" is a terrible reason to pass on someone you think is better. Good things come to those who wait. So, I voted Stewart over the college arms. Gibson and Wimmers were both drafted, in part, because of how close to MLB ready they were, but because of things that can't be predicted, there will likely be HS draftees who got to the majors quicker than they do.
  24. Mr. Brooks
    Thanks, now I'm salivating on my desk. (Over the venison roast, not your wife.)
  25. Mr. Brooks
    That is kind of my point. They all have hits and misses, which makes the argument: "The talent evaluators think he is elite defensively, so that automatically confirms he is", a ridiculous argument, IMO.
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