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1985Fan

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  1. 1985Fan
    The Twins already have a solution on their roster for first base, or at least a viable proposal. Why not use Jeffers in a platoon at 1B with Kiriloff? They liked his bat enough to give him all the starts at catcher during the playoffs. If they feel they need a catcher on the bench when Jeffers is at 1B, there is Camargo already on the 40 man. Or stick with two catchers since Jeffers would only play against LH, so not that many games.
  2. 1985Fan
    I think you consider trading Polanco because of the return, not because of potential AB,s, or lack there of. Of the players you’re willing to part with, who is going to net the greatest return? There are players that you won’t deal. Polanco isn’t on the untouchable list, partly because there are viable replacements and he should net a nice return. After the FO gauges his market value, Polanco might still be a Twin for 2024. I’m reading that the Reds are making India available with the idea he will net a quality SP. Who knows how accurate that will turn out to be, but if India nets a SP, you have to think Polanco would also. The other side of the coin is you should hold onto proven veteran players if you’re serious about contending. That means prospects are trade capital instead. One thing is for certain, pitching is expensive. Prospects or veterans, either way will be painful.
  3. 1985Fan
    Very interesting ideas and opinions on trading Polanco. Here’s my opinion ( maybe worth two cents). 1. You trade Polanco if FO has determined that is how to net Sonny Gray replacement. I’m sure they’d like to keep him, but you have to give up value to get value. There are pitchers on the trade market, or so rumors tell us fans. Burnes and possibly some of the young arms from Seattle (Bryan Woo?). The other thing trading Polanco does is free up that money for FA target. Same with Kepler and Vazquez. 2. Trade from position of strength, and with Julien and Lee, they probably feel they have a reasonable chance to replace Polanco’s production. You can argue it’s not the same, but that’s the gamble you have to take. They need more than Lopez at the front end of the rotation, and relying on Paddack to pitch a full season seems risky. Or hoping that Ober, Ryan, or Varland will take their game to the next level is also very risky. 3. I don’t care what defensive stats say, Polanco is, at best, ok at 2nd base. He is not ok at 3rd base or SS. Hope that other teams think he is to increase his value, but Twins should know he is not viable option at other than 2nd base. Does everyone remember his last season at SS? They immediately decided to replace him there. He is not a good fielder; limited range, weak arm, and prone to errors.
  4. 1985Fan
    I don’t know have inside information on Festa. Just my opinion that he has the “stuff” and the body to be a front line starter at the MLB level and soon. Maybe as soon as midway through 2024. The FO has their value of twins prospects, it’s now their job to gauge market value and determine what trades, if any, will improve the roster. I hear that Burnes is available. I wonder if Glasnow is also available. Another point to consider is that all the top FA that fans want the Twins to break the bank on all started out in MiLB and developed into stars. Even AAA players are not finished products. Adjustments, sometimes minor, can push a middling prospect into a quality player or pitcher.
  5. 1985Fan
    This is the type of trade that the Twins will need to make. They will have to give up valuable assets to get a valuable starter or bat in return. It will be painful, but necessary. The alternatives are to stand pat and fill Grays spot from within. Varland is probably the prime candidate to step up. Or they can add on the fringes by signing low dollar free agents and/ or under the radar trades. I think the major impact type of trade is the route to improve the roster. Not sure what the FO thinks, but we will soon find out.
  6. 1985Fan
    Now is the time to use the resources they do have to improve the team. If the payroll won’t support spending money, use their prospect capital to fill holes via trades. They’ve invested in development and now they reap the rewards. This is where the FO earns their keep. They made good trades getting Lopez and Gray here, so no reason to think they can’t get good returns on prospects. Every prospect except for Festa should be available for the right return. I prefer they keep veterans like Polanco and Kepler, but if the return is there, they have to consider it. Vazquez should be on the trade block. Camargo is ready to step up to MLB. FO should know the value of their own prospects and which ones to keep and which to sell. I agree that if the team has aspirations for a deep playoff run, it can’t rely on rookies and sophomores to carry the load. It will have to be a mix of young controllable players and veterans. There aren’t that many holes to fill, so a couple of trades and a FA relief arm signing should do the trick. Or, swing for the home run with a big name trade to impact the roster.
  7. 1985Fan
    I think the teams you listed are great examples of how to buy your way to failure. The Padres and Rockies are terrible models to follow. Dodgers payroll vs playoff success is not a pretty picture. It’s safe to say that payroll size does not equate to playoff success. I think it’s reasonable for the Twins to sign the right FA. I just don’t think breaking the bank for one player is wise. Adding through trades or the farm system can be just as valuable as FA signings. Lopez trade worked well so far. Maybe a trade for an impact hitter this year or signing FA bullpen help will put the Twins over the top this year.
  8. 1985Fan
    Rangers have $251M payroll. Well above Twins level. Twins will probably reduce payroll this year to account for lost local TV revenue. They are at $88M in committed money now. Ohtani alone doesn’t fit, let alone adding a starter, or adding an arm or two to the pen.
  9. 1985Fan
    Does it make sense to tie up one third of your payroll in one player? Yes, Ohtani may be “worth” that much, but he can’t win it all by himself, even though he pitches and hits. That’s why he’s leaving the Angels. Even Moreno can’t spend enough money to surround him with a supporting cast. If you added him to Correa salary, it consumes >50% of Twins payroll. Not to mention 2024 Twins payroll will be less with the loss of TV contract. I doubt Falvey wants to duplicate the colossal payroll mistakes of the Angels or Mets.
  10. 1985Fan
    I don’t think Twins FO will change MO and sign FA pitchers to long term contracts. The risk of injury and age related performance decline is too high for Twins-sized payroll. I think this FO was brought in to establish a pitching pipeline for the current and future. If they deviate from that now and go all in on FA, that screams failure and these guys don’t admit failure. I actually agree with their strategy. I like Varland to take the next step and Festa has front line stuff. The Rays have gone with young pitching devolpment and it has worked well for them. I think FA pitchers are overpriced with too much risk. Stick with developing the pipeline.
  11. 1985Fan
    To get to the next level the strikeouts have to decrease, especially in scoring opportunities. Have to be able to put the ball in play to move runners and keep innings going.. Also would to see hitters hit the ball the other way instead of trying to pull everything. Not sure the hitting coach is the right person to make changes, and I doubt the FO will admit their mistake. Bring in a veteran hitter that doesn’t, SO to lead the way. Solano was doing that early in the year, but he dropped off at the end. His age doesn’t bode well for a recovery, so find a hitter to fill that role. They need a #2 starter to replace Gray. Paddock looked very good in a really short sample, but has durability issues. Unless Gray is willing to sign a one year deal, I wouldn’t bring him back. Houston showed that good teams figure him out. Sign or trade for a quality starter. Durability issues in the BP also. Can they rely on Stewart all season? What to expect from Alcala? Is Balazovic able to contribute, can Headrick be effective, what happened to Moran? Lots of BP questions to answer. They have the closer, just have to find reliable arms to bridge the gap from starter to closer.
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