Hawkeye Bean Counter
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It sure seemed like you were comparing them as prospects. Most long limbed fireball pitchers struggle with Command. Randy Johnson average over 6BB/9 until he was 28. Yes Randy isn't the norm, but this isn't something that has never happened before either. His walks jumped this year. Ok - but this isn't a death nail for his career which is what you appear to be doing. His value has gone from an excess value of over 20 to 8. Having a prospect retest a level isn't the worst thing. I understand your concern but the upside is still immense and he has pretty good chance at meeting it. I would also venture he does go to AA next year.
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I will agree - I actually think they should have gone all in last deadline. That was the time to try then to sell at the winter meetings. I think the issue was Rocco had lost the clubhouse and you had some pretty good dissent coming from some prominent players in the clubhouse. The other issue is the organization was cash strapped due to the debt. So they traded the assets they had.
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Keaschall is a former wrestler who will grind until he figures it out. He doesn't get frustrated, he just keeps pounding away until he gets better. Offense is still his bread and butter, but pitchers adjusted to him earlier this year, started pitching him differently. Guess what - he adjusted continued to grind is again having good success with the bat again. I have little doubt that he will get better at a defensive position that he is truly dedicated to.
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Just to make sure we are talking about the same guy you are comparing Dasan Hill to Chris Vallimont who went to Mercyhurst was drafted in the 5th round and we got as PTBNL from Marlins for Diaz? The same Vallimont that generally has a 9,7K per a 9 in the minors and was never a top 100 prospect. The most likely outcome - being that he is 6'5" and only 20 that he will gain more control of those limbs and the walks will come down. My comparison is a more refined Brody Brecht 6'4" that is 3 years older. Similar K/9 numbers and both high walk numbers. Both picked in same draft - Brecht 38 and Hill 69. Both have a high risk of becoming relievers. I think Dasan will always be a higher walk pitcher, but I also think he lost some confidence this year. Baltimore likes to take these high octane arms and they convert several. Especially for the bullpen. Maybe he flounders, but my guess is he starts turning a corner which the last start may have been (zero walks) gains confidence and repeats at high A before going to AA and the lefty high octane arm will still be on track.
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I see him as a more athletic Dozier that will improve with more time in the position. Standard Total Zone DRS Range Factor Baserunners Season Age Team Lg Pos G GS CG Inn Ch PO A E DP Fld% lgFld% Rtot Rtot/yr Rdrs Rdrs/yr RF/9 lgRF9 RF/G lgRFG SB CS Pick Awards 9 Yrs 1122 1094 1024 9665.0 5039 1864 3100 7 2012 25 MIN AL SS 83 81 81 732.1 413 111 287 15 70 .964 .977 -5 -8 1 2 4.89 4.43 4.80 4.40 2013 26 MIN AL 2B 146 141 135 1255.1 734 267 461 6 110 .992 .985 -1 -1 -3 -3 5.22 4.64 4.99 4.62 2014 27 MIN AL 2B 156 155 150 1361.0 751 261 475 15 98 .980 .984 -11 -10 3 3 4.87 4.61 4.72 4.60 2015 28 MIN AL 2B 157 157 148 1383.0 767 303 456 8 111 .990 .983 -7 -6 0 0 4.94 4.58 4.83 4.55 AS,MVP-28 2016 29 MIN AL 2B 151 151 143 1331.0 713 286 419 8 118 .989 .983 -5 -5 -2 -2 4.77 4.49 4.67 4.44 MVP-13 2016 29 MIN AL DH 2 2 0.00 MVP-13 2017 30 MIN AL 2B 152 151 138 1311.0 674 264 405 5 109 .993 .983 2 2 1 1 4.59 4.35 4.40 4.30 MVP-11,GG 2018 31 2TM 2LG 2B 148 141 125 1253.0 572 218 342 12 79 .979 .982 -3 -3 -5 -5 4.02 4.17 3.78 4.14 2018 31 MIN AL 2B 103 101 98 906.1 418 150 260 8 60 .981 .982 -3 -5 -7 -9 4.07 4.12 3.98 4.08 2018 31 LAD NL 2B 45 40 27 346.2 154 68 82 4 19 .974 .982 0 1 2 7 3.89 4.31 3.33 4.29 2019 32 WSN NL 2B 123 114 103 1009.0 398 145 248 5 61 .987 .983 -5 -6 0 0 3.51 4.15 3.20 4.13 2019 32 WSN NL P 1 0 0 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 1.80 0.00 1.60 0 0 0 2020 33 NYM NL 2B 5 3 1 28.1 17 9 7 1 3 .941 .978 0 -17 -2 -85 5.08 3.97 3.20 3.80 2020 33 NYM NL DH 1 1 0.00
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@USAFChief The Pohlads had their meeting in late November. Prior to the Winter Meeting Falvey had been given no direction on budget but the implication was they would need to decrease it further and Joe Ryan was heavily being floated in trades specifically the Red Sox. The day before Winter Meetings Falvey notified teams they would not be trading Ryan. Joe went MIA after the Pohlad Meeting. The Twins did zero at the winter meetings. December 17th Tom Pohlad officially announce https://kstp.com/kstp-news/local-news/wild-owner-revealed-as-twins-minority-investor-tom-pohlad-takes-over-as-clubs-top-executive/ December 19th signed Bell https://www.mlb.com/news/josh-bell-twins-contract January 23rd Caratini signs with Twins https://www.mlb.com/news/victor-caratini-twins-contract
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He is 20 with extremely long limbs. With his stuff he just needs to get down to around a little higher or lower than 4 walks. His last start he threw 54 pitches with 43 strikes and zero walks. He had 6 strike outs in 3 innings. He has an absurd 15k/9. So yes there is some bullpen risk, which so be it - that would be a hell of a weapon in the bullpen. If he gains a little more Control he is a #1/#2. Thats the risk Brandon. You gave up 6 years of a dynamic arm, for 1 year and 2 months of a closer.
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I think the Kremer deal will be viewed as the best of the 3 most likely in hindsight 2-3 years down the road. I think he will be a solid player for the next year and 2 months and could possibly be flipped going into next year. I also think Reyes has a high probability of washing out. Hoffman I like, but Dasan Hill with a little more control is a top 20 arm in the minor leagues.
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I would argue they gave up more in 2022. Steer was in AAA and also a top 10 prospect similar to Dasan Hill. Hill had the higher ceiling but Steer had the much higher floor. CES really had a pop up season in 2022. He is a much better prospect than Reyes. Povich, and Hajjar were both highly respected young arms in the system. Lastly you had the high octane arm of Cano. Dasan Hill has the highest ceiling of any prospect traded between the 2 years, but 2022 had a lot of really good players sent out - CES, Hajjar, Povich and Cano.
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- 2026 trade deadline
- jeff hoffman
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The issue was, is this the year to spend at all. We are 1 game below .500 and the only reason we are still in it because of how bad the majority of the AL is. That isn't a vote of confidence. The White Sox did a full tear down. They are now seeing the fruits of that tear down and the fans are coming back. We short circuited the tear down to avoid some fan discomfort for 1/2 a season and weakly buy using some decent prospects. Yippee.

