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lightfoot789

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Everything posted by lightfoot789

  1. lightfoot789
    As you are right. That is the usual path for most top prospects. Mid season promotions. That being said: What are the odds of the guy with the second worst BB/K rate according to drivelikejehu's research - SCORING more than everyone in his league every year? He has batted 4th - 5th - 6th - and 7th in his career too. Not saying that the BB/K rate thing is ok. Terrible! I'm saying he has freaky success in too many areas to be clumped with normal prospect analysis. Anomaly - Therefore hard for me to say probable Bust. Just heard Buxton promoted to MLB Twins BTW
  2. lightfoot789
    If you lay out your profile to include: Led every full season in minors in HRs; RBI; & TB's and finished Top 3 in scoring during each of those full seasons - I tend to believe you find no other player with that profile. FIND THAT PLAYER? ANYWHERE? Note: you can't include SO to that led the league statistical profile, because he did drop his K rate to 20% in 2013 from 30% in 2012. Travis Harrison actually led the team that year. Walker was 8th in the league that year as well. Has shown ability to drop K Rate. Just saying. Can't say never..........
  3. lightfoot789
    If the outfield gets crowed in a few years and Mauer is headed towards retirement - ABW was a first baseman throughout college and a 2nd team all american while playing the position. Just another option. I agree that Kepler is an excellent athlete and a versatile option as well for either position. The first baseman for the future however will be Dalton Hicks. A poor mans Hrbek. http://search.myway.com/search/video.jhtml?searchfor=chris+moye+adam+brett+walker&p2=%5EUX%5Exdm966%5ES12972%5Eus&n=781b6280&ptb=6106A516-10A3-451C-A41E-8BBF71373F70&si=CD15543_26-D1QKQlyQl8M1NmMQwl8&ss=sub&st=tab&tpr=sbt
  4. lightfoot789
    32 XBH out of 55 hits. So when the ball does go into play what happens? And to those who think Walker strikes out on 3 pitches regularly, you have never seen him play. VERY VERY rarely does that happen. At least 5 pitches most ABs with some foul balls. He may go 0-2 to start an AB, but generally works the count to 2-2 or 3-2. If you don't believe me, listen to a game more often or go to the Gameday charts. He works counts well, but ends up chasing in the end. Same problem/ result, but different learning path towards improvement IMO.
  5. lightfoot789
    Would you still think exploited by looking at these stats too? If you didn't know it was Walker? Don't have to be a fan to recognize these stats ain't all bad. Matter of fact - they are pretty damn good (minus the Ks). 2015 Minor League Stats in AA *#1 HR hitter in minor league baseball *#3 RBI hitter in minor league baseball *.322 ISO *.902 OPS *.152 wRC+ *.405 OBA *.309 BA away games *.344 BA in June *.545 BA with runner on 2nd base & 1.747 OPS *.429 BA with runner on 3rd base & 1.357 OPS *.339 BA with runners in scoring position & 1.122 OPS And despite getting on base 28 times less than the best player in the league this year (Kyle Schwarber/Cubs) because of an insane BB Rate 17%; a .315 BA; and a .440 OBP - Walker is still 3rd in AA with 41 Runs Scored. The question you should ask is what type of stats would he have if he moved slightly closer to what you think he should be. 25 HR and 75 RBI at the break?
  6. lightfoot789
    Are you telling me that you would have looked at these stats and thought eaten alive had you not known the number of SO or individual it belonged to? How many of these stats are irrelevant to your thought process in evaluating a prospect? No way I would have thought eaten alive looking at them - Even if it eventually happened. No sure thing with any prospect. That is why they are prospects. Time will tell. 2015 Minor League Stats in AA *#1 HR hitter in minor league baseball *#3 RBI hitter in minor league baseball *.322 ISO *.902 OPS *.152 wRC+ *.405 OBA *.309 BA away games *.344 BA in June *.545 BA with runner on 2nd base & 1.747 OPS *.429 BA with runner on 3rd base & 1.357 OPS *.339 BA with runners in scoring position & 1.122 OPS AGAIN JUST SAYING................................
  7. lightfoot789
    2015 Minor League Stats in AA *#1 HR hitter in minor league baseball *#3 RBI hitter in minor league baseball *.322 ISO *.902 OPS *.152 wRC+ *.405 OBA *.309 BA away games *.344 BA in June *.545 BA with runner on 2nd base & 1.747 OPS *.429 BA with runner on 3rd base & 1.357 OPS *.339 BA with runners in scoring position & 1.122 OPS JUST SAYING................................
  8. lightfoot789
    Goodrum does and did get the promotion to AA that GM speculated on.
  9. lightfoot789
    I'd rather talk about his .322 ISO or .405 w/OBA or .152 wRC+ or .902 OPS, because even if they drop some - They are still tremendous as you say and well above average.
  10. lightfoot789
    NEW LIFE & NEW START TRANSACTIONS Niko Goodrum assigned to Chattanooga Lookouts from Fort Myers Miracle. I'm expecting Niko to finally get his chance back at SS with Polanco now with the Twins and Polanco probably in AAA if that doesn't work. I'm expecting big things from Mr. Goodrum
  11. lightfoot789
    AA Southern League 15 Home Runs (1st in league & all of Minors) 13 Doubles 02 Triples 30 XBH (1st in league) 46 RBI (1st in league & all of AA) 39 Runs Scored (2nd in league & 3rd in all of AA) 114 TB (1st in league & all of AA) 77 SO (1st in league & all of AA) .573 SLG% (2nd in league) .891OPS% (4th in league) .402 w/OBA (INCREDIBLE) We took a chance on Vargas last year.
  12. lightfoot789
    If we do go with a saber metric - How about w/OBA? Walker's is currently at .402 which is above excellent on the fangraph chart. http://www.fangraphs.com/library/offense/woba/ His manager (Dougie baseball) states that Walker has yet to get hot in his opinion and that is the scary part. Just saying.....................
  13. lightfoot789
    Everybody is looking for that saber metric comp (ISO; K Rate; Etc.) that qualifies a prospect. Is there a comp that shows a players uniqueness. You will find it difficult to find a player who gives you all of the below and comps negatively. If you do find someone, it will be a short list that doesn't warrant a substantial comparison. AA Southern League 15 Home Runs (1st in league & all of Minors) 13 Doubles 02 Triples 30 XBH (1st in league) 46 RBI (1st in league & all of AA) 39 Runs Scored (2nd in league & 3rd in all of AA) 114 TB (1st in league & all of AA) 77 SO (1st in league & all of AA) .573 SLG% (2nd in league) .891 OPS% (4th in league) This is the definition of Uniqueness. Same type of production and rankings every year of his minor league career. Which means he is showing some type of learning curve. His teams have held the best record in their respective leagues EVERY YEAR as well. A WINNER!!
  14. lightfoot789
    He is just that. Unique with a lot of room for improvement. If he is aloud to stay with the big league club when his number is called, I suspect a Colabello like second year with much improved numbers. And by improved, I mean greater numbers than his normal production rate.
  15. lightfoot789
    BY THE WAY - The Lookouts losing streak ended when their BROTHER Brett Lee came aboard to pitch for them. He may not have gotten the win, but all that group does is win games when he pitches.
  16. lightfoot789
    Walker was a second team All American at 1B in college. He was voted by Baseball America as the second best fielding 1st baseman in college (2011) as well. Don't short change him - lol. The Twins just like his athleticism in the OF better at this time I would imagine. http://www.baseballamerica.com/college/2012-preseason-all-america-teams-chart-12961/
  17. lightfoot789
    Has there ever been a Twin to have led their respective minor league level 3 years in a row in HR; RBI; and TB's? Walker is on pace to do that again after leading the Midwest League and Florida State League last year in those categories. Long way to go in this season, but it crossed my mind as I looked at recent Southern League stats. 28 XBH are impressive too for only the first half of season and 15 games left.
  18. lightfoot789
    1st Base has been the best position for the Lookouts this season - Hicks; Kepler; Gonzales; Whoever is playing first base seems to shine that day. The Lookouts are first in the Southern League in HRs; Triples; RBI; Runs; TB; SLG; & OPS: They are second in the Southern League in Doubles; SB; BA; while sitting in the middle of the pack in OBP. Will the Buxton's and Sano's stay long enough in AA to see what this team can really do when everyone is actually HOT. I hope so. No one has really tore it up to earn a promotion other than maybe Polanco and maybe Berrios.
  19. lightfoot789
    I'm calling it right here. Brett Lee ends the Lookouts slide and does what he does best - WIN
  20. lightfoot789
    I still love Walker's upside. He is on pace for the following AA numbers if he plays 130 games, which is less than his normal (94%) percentage of games played in a season: 33 HRs 32 Doubles 109 RBI 90 Runs Scored 258 Total Bases .283 ISO .333 BABIP .358 SecA 14 AB/HR 190 SO 36 BB Could you live with those numbers if he continued to prove that this is who he is despite the level he plays at? He seems to be the model of consistency (good and bad).
  21. lightfoot789
    Keplers strike out to walk ratio is awesome. Nothing about his approach screams he will get abused by MLB pitchers. If his stat line suggest that, then I need to see the guy who screams success in the big leads. Not star, but success. 10% of every team might be star quality. That means 90% of the team are just good ball players. Kepler is showing he can be a good ball player in the league if he continues what he's doing in AA. At the least.
  22. lightfoot789
    Based on the seasons our prospects are having: How many Twins Top Prospects will make the Futures Game on Sunday, July 12th? How many for the USA and How many for Team World? I say: WORLD Kepler Sano Berrios USA Buxton Gonsalves (possible reach)
  23. lightfoot789
    Dude can hit
  24. lightfoot789
    That is funny. Never Dalton though. To much of a leader.
  25. lightfoot789
    Now that Chargois is with the Lookouts - I would say 75%
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