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Don't Feed the Greed Guy

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Everything posted by Don't Feed the Greed Guy

  1. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Indeed, Mr. Brooks. Point well taken. So much focus these days is on analytics, and measurable criteria. I still like to believe that some players "get hot" because of relationships, inspiration, or heart. The old story of the crafty veteran taking the promising phenom under his confident wing is good story. There is some analytics here too, popularly called a "tipping point"enough experience/repetitive acts "causes" greater proficiency. Perhaps that's where someone like Santana eases Berrios though the process until everything starts to "click" or "tip" in a positive direction.
  2. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
  3. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    The quote and link to an article from Seth probably doesn't solve the debate, but I think it does add some credibility to the positive relationship between Santana and Berrios. True, their relationship, as it existed last year--and when this piece was written--didn't correlate to a winning season "when Berrios was terrible." But my qualitative sense of relationships, not necessarily quantitative or measurable, is that we humans are best when we support each other in difficult times, and that stability helps us make it through the difficult times. Sometimes we come out of difficult, terrible times, and we turn our lives and careers around, and thrive. I prefer to think that having Santana pitch the day before Berrios is about mentoring, relationships, and building a stronger team. Perhaps that's naive. The quote from Seth: "One thing that stood out to me was the relationship between Jose Berrios and Ervin Santana." And the article: http://twinsdaily.com/topic/22211-article-its-berrios-time/
  4. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Yep. From my chair, 30,000 feet above all the data that scouts have, I am looking forward to how FaLvine "spin" http://m.mlb.com/glossary/statcast/spin-rate this draft pick, after the selection is made. I am fascinated by how the decision will be made, from an analytical perspective. Since Falvey and Levine have arrived they have tinkered with the roster, making small moves, rather than big splashes. Here's an excellent article on how they have painted over Terry Ryan's tableau with small strokes rather than with a broad brush http://www.twinkietown.com/2017/4/26/15430948/derek-falvey-thad-levine-smarter-front-office-terry-ryan-bill-smith-twins It will be a treat to see how this all plays out, and why.
  5. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Great that folks are debating whether or not Gonsalves' short shutout was a good thing, or not. Everything below "The Show" is about development, and last night in Chattanooga was a great night for development. Also, don't forget the clean innings put up by Jake Reed and John Curtiss. This, from the Lookouts website:
  6. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Combined, Santana and Sano own a WAR (wins above replacement) of 2.7 and 2.1, respectively, which are remarkably high numbers if one projects those numbers over an entire season. IF Sano and Santana could achieve that sort of sustainable prpoduction over the balance of 2017, they would be responsible for nearly 20 more victories than their peers. Where would the Twins be without them? Probably not in first place in the AL Central. The more intriguing question may be "who will step up" and take their turn if and when Santana and/or Sano regress to the mean? Will Max Kepler get hot again in July, and hit another 10 to 15 home runs? Will Steven Gonsalves join Jose Berrios as a young phenom? Will Glen Perkins or Phil Hughes come back from the dead to bolster the front end of the bullpen or the back end of the rotation? Or, maybe none of the above? The fun thing is that we all get to wait, watch, and see "how it all plays out."
  7. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Combined, Santana and Sano a WAR (wins above replacement) of 2.7 and 2.1, respectively, which are remarkably high numbers if one projects those numbers over an entire season. IF Sano and Santana could achieve that sort of sustainable production over the balance of 2017, they would be responsible for nearly 20 more victories than their peers. Where would the Twins be without them? Probably not in first place in the AL Central. The more intriguing question will be "who will step up" and take their turn if and when Santana and/or Sano regress to the mean? Will Max Kepler get hot again in July, and hit another 10 to 15 home runs? Will Steven Gonsalves join Jose Berrios as a young phenom? Will Glen Perkins or Phil Hughes come back from the dead to bolster the front end of the bullpen or the back end of the rotation? Or, maybe none of the above..? The fun thing is that we all get to wait, watch and see "how it all plays out."
  8. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Derek Wetmore raises similar questions in his recent post, http://twinsdaily.com/_/minnesota-twins-news/minnesota-twins/key-twins-quarter-mark-questions-r5627 Notably,"3. Get more offense out of the catchers." Last night, Mitch Garver was 3-4 with a homer and a double. I'd like to see him play every day in Rochester, but while Ehire Adrianza sits on the bench behind Eduardo Escobar, I wonder if a call-up/swap with Adrianza isn't a move worth making later, or sooner.
  9. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Any chance that the Padres could have a Rick Spielman moment in their war room on draft day and trade up to #1?
  10. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    A recent update on Mason Melotakis. He's given up the lead in his last three appearances for Chattanooga. http://twinsdaily.com/topic/25687-mason-melotakis-2017/
  11. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Bummer. I got my copy about two weeks ago, but I'll be enjoying a Twins/Gophers doubleheader on Thursday. Rocky afternoon and Boilermaker nightcap!
  12. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Okay, I'm going to nitpick, but Melotakis hasn't struck out a batter over the last five appearances (6 innings). His SO/9 mark has dropped to 5.7, the lowest of his minor league career. Conversely, his BB/9 rate is at an career low of 0.7. Any cause for concern? Is there a site somewhere that provides a breakdown of his his pitch mix? MPH on the gun?
  13. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    "The Prophetic Writings of Sir Nelson"
  14. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Excellent comparison. Blackburn put up very respectable mid-to-back of the rotation numbers during his age 26 & 27 seasons, followed by two miserable seasons. Same with Gibson. Blackburn was gone at age 30. However, the Twins let him pitch until August 17th of that year. My hope is that the bleeding stops by May 17 of this year. http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/blackni01.shtml
  15. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    This is a great question, because I want to see us compete this year, but not at the expense of future vitality. DO promote from within. Bring up Chargois when he’s healthy. DO move up our studs in AA to Rochester, ASAP. Three of the five top Relief Pitchers of the Month are in Chattanooga. http://twinsdaily.com/_/minnesota-twins-news/minnesota-twins-minor-leagues/twins-minor-league-relief-pitcher-of-the-month-april-2017-r5546 John Curtiss, Nick Burdi, and Mason Melotakis could help the Twins, if this rise to the top of the mediocre AL Central heap continues into August. DO NOT trade one iota of future hope for a Wild Card ride in 2017. This rebuild is a slow bake, not a microwave job. Let our boys learn about being in a pennant race. Maybe a two-man rotation can push Minnie into a postseason run, maybe not.
  16. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    I agree. It will be interesting to see how this plays out as we approach the All-Star break and beyond. Dozier is signed through 2018. I hope Dozier mashes, and the Polanco-Dozier middle infield helps keep the Twins competitive past the trade deadline. Vielma and Gordon continue to swap time at 2b and SS, move up to AAA and are September call-ups. Dozier is traded in the offseason for a #2 starter and a quality prospect. Polanco, Vielma, and Gordon shore up the middle for years to come? What if Vielma and Gordon become the Twins version of Lou Whitaker and Alan Trammell until, oh, about 2035? http://bleacherreport.com/articles/237133-why-alan-trammel-and-lou-whitaker-deserve-to-be-in-the-hall-of-fame
  17. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Yes, Granite is still injured. That's why he is only an option in a few weeks, or more likely in June or July, if he gets healthy and puts up the same kind of numbers that he did in AA last year. He could be a quality centerfielder, and lead off. He may not have the same ceiling as Buxton, but we don't know that, do we? Palka is like having a Willingham or an Arcia in the outfield, a HUGE step down from Buxton, for sure. But if the offensive upgrade offsets the downgrade with a greater WAR, then the Twins should do it. AAA is for developing quality prospects who can contribute in the Major Leagues. If Buxton isn't ready to face MLB arms, then get this 23 yr-old prospect the work he needs OFF the Twins roster. I'm patient. I can wait for Buxton to click. I want him to succeed so that the Twins win more ballgames and can be competitive in 2017. But that's goal--to win games--and on a business level--to sell tickets. Buck can still help this team in the years to come. So, back to my question, if there is NO improvement, how much longer is the leash?
  18. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    And what if he doesn't make the necessary adjustments? How long can this go on IF there is no improvement? That's my basic question.
  19. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    28 k's in 57 at-bats. If that near 50% k-rate continues, and the batting average stays below .150, how long until he's sent down to AAA? Mid-May? June 1st? All-Star break? The Twins are only 1.5 games out of first place in the AL Central, and need MLB-caliber at-bats in order to stay in contention. I don't want to see a team that could play meaningful games in June or July throw away at-bats in April and May. Daniel Palka (.935 OPS in AAA) could make a difference now, or a healthy Zach Granite (CF, on the 7-day DL, and 2016 Minor League Player of the Year) could if he's clicking in a few weeks. How long can this go on?
  20. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    I looked up this article after visiting with Brian at Spring Training a few weeks ago. My 11 yr old son was attracted to "Olson" on the back of Brian's jersey. He brought a ball with him to the minor league fields. Our boy asked Brian to sign, and I mentioned over his shoulder, "He's an Olson too." That brought out even more character in Brian. He asked our boy if he plays baseball too. What position? Favorite player? I don't know much about character from eavesdropping on a two-minute conversation with a ballplayer at the back end of a dugout. But what I saw was class. Brian signed the ball for my boy, and in small letters wrote John 3:16 below his signature. The ball went into my boy's backpack, and didn't come out the rest of the day. That's the only signature he wanted on his ball.
  21. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    It's early, but any sense of a trend forming here?
  22. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Yep, Luke 15:8. the original happy-happy sweep dance.
  23. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Gordon at SS. Vielma at 2b. It will be interesting how these two share the middle of the infield over the balance of 2017.
  24. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Any thoughts on Gonsalves moving up to AAA? After going 8-1 with a 1.82 ERA with Chattanooga, how much more does he have to prove?
  25. Don't Feed the Greed Guy
    Baseball's equivalent of punting on first down.
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