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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Danchat
    This is an annual thing where we go "prospect XYZ should have a legitimate shot to start in the majors this year!"... and then they don't, no matter how good a camp they had. I remember people were claiming Austin Martin was going to make the Opening Day roster in 2022, and then again in 2023. Now he's finally gonna make the team Day 1 and it took until 2026!
  2. Danchat
    Pierre is a smart signing, PFF loved him when he did play for Pittsburgh. He's a career backup who is going to be 30 years old, but does have the backing of Flores (one year overlap with Steelers) and we hired the Steelers DB coach away. He should slot in as CB3 (30-50% of the snaps) with Rodgers and Murphy playing every-down roles. Much better than crossing our fingers on Okudah. Still a lot of work to do at several other positions and a lot of FAs are bolting for new teams. As usual, some big overpays and some sneaky deals - but the Vikings are missing out thanks to their irresponsible 2025 offseason. C, DL, RB, S stand out as needs among others.
  3. Danchat
    I was a bit confused with Outman's age - looked it up, he turns 29 in May, so realistically he's closer to 29 than 28. He ain't young, folks. I just have a hard time seeing him rebound from hitting .141 with a 39% K rate the past two years. Even a sizeable rebound would just get him to being replacement level.
  4. Danchat
    I actually like the move, $22M per year for Willis is a lot lower than the $30M+ figures I was seeing bandied about. He was a very talented prospect who needed several years of development after basically playing backyard football at Liberty. Now they have a guy with upside and if it goes poorly, they get a high pick in a super deep QB draft next year. The Tua deal was an unmitigated disaster and they're sinking way too much money into the QB position, but I'd take Willis at that price over most the other options. Outside of Murray for $1.3M. Much better than playing a placeholder like Kirk or Rodgers or reaching on a QB prospect in a bad class.
  5. Danchat
    Pierce for $29M a year and then basically handing Pittman over to the Steelers for free is certainly a choice...
  6. Danchat
    Varland doesn't hit arbitration until 2027, which means the Jays got a year and two months of pre-arb Varland... so to fix your statement, "the Twins gave up on Varland". I like Rojas a lot, but we know the odds of pitching prospects. I don't totally disagree with trading Varland while his value is high, but getting one pitching prospect and what feels like the 5th best LH OF prospect in the organization doesn't seem like a great return.
  7. Danchat
    So $7.5M per year to a 32 year old LB, and then bringing back Pace Jr for 1/$3.54M... not what I'd call a wise use of money. Wilson was a great blitzer, mixed run stopper, and very bad in coverage... wish this team could get younger. I guess Pace is back for special teams, but Flores showed no interest in playing him once Wilson took over and I wouldn't expect that to change in 2026. Sounds like the Greenard domino might fall pretty soon. Packers just shipped off Gary to the Cowboys for a 4th, and Hendrickson should be off the board later this afternoon. Eagles have an offer but clearly the Vikings are holding out for more.
  8. Danchat
    I would prefer that to be true, but he's probably going to be playing quite a bit at 2B with Keaschall getting play in the outfield.
  9. Danchat
    Abel should absolutely be in the starting rotation, certainly over Taj Bradley. He's dominated AAA and looks great in camp, compared to Bradley who has been a replacement level starter in the majors for 3 years now. Given the durability of starters Bradley will be starting in the majors sooner than later anyways. Abel needs to start building up major league experience as a starter, given the upside he has.
  10. Danchat
    The phrase goes "jack of all trades, master of none", and after years of following this mantra in the minors, now the Twins defensively have one, maybe two above average players defensively on the whole team. The philosophy can work with utility players, but not the whole team. Let Keaschall focus all his time at 2B, for goodness sakes!
  11. Danchat
    Redmond isn't taking a 3/$20M extension, I think talks would start at 3/$50M. He was one of the best iDL in the league last year and those guys get paid. Love the infusion of talent on defense in the draft. Not sure I love signing Logan Hall after he finally had one decent season after looking like a bust his first 3 years, but at least he is on the upswing so if he continues that path of progression he would end up a bargain.
  12. Danchat
    Would there have been a problem with starting Rojas in our AA system? I did not like the trade and am still very apprehensive about it, but it's definitely too early to call it a disaster. Roden gets a lot of flak here for looking bad in his first what, 40 PAs as a Twin? I do agree that some here discount Varland's importance for Toronto and pointing to his ERA wasn't great, but you are right to point out his critical role for them. He's gonna be a high leverage reliver for them with 5 years of cheap control, so Rojas and Roden have a lot to prove to be worth that.
  13. Danchat
    I am bullish on Rojas, though I am curious why they were so aggressive with him pitching in AAA last year when he probably wasn't ready for it. The kid's got the stuff, now he's got to put it together - I'd anticipate he spends the whole season in AAA outside of a September cameo. If he flames out as a starter, he should be able to transition to the bullpen well and I wouldn't be surprised if he winds up as a high leverage reliever for us. Feels like there was a major jump in quality from Rojas compared to the rest of the prospects ranked so far. Maybe that's just me.
  14. Danchat
    Yup, it was a really deep RB (especially compared to the 2026 class), Skattebo, Tuten, and Marks in the 4th along with Monangai and JCM in the 7th. So much so that I created this right after Day 3 wrapped up:
  15. Danchat
    Allgeier might not be a perfect fit, but one of the reasons why I moved Mason was because he's a horrid pass protector and can't be out there on passing downs, whereas Allgeier had a very good season there. He's a downgrade from Mason as a pure runner, but KOC was only using Mason something like 30% of the snaps when Jones was healthy. Speaking of Greenard... Yeah, in this mock I didn't land a future TE to pair with Higbee but there are quite a few options in the draft. I don't get the fascination with post ACL Hock, 2026 is probably going to be his last year as a Viking anyways. He wasn't productive with Darnold, JJM, Wentz, or Brosmer. I threw around the idea of giving a 3 year deal to Otton or Okonkwo on the open market, but I opted for the placeholder in Higbee. I did pick up 3 picks in 27 - 2 4ths and a 5th. Nothing crazy, but it's at least something as I figure we might be trading up for a QB in next year's draft.
  16. Danchat
    I don't like Murray all that much either (Jacoby Brissett had the Cardinals' passing game running better!), but there is upside to tap into unlike most other options. I think KOC was really taken aback with how much JJM struggled and had no answers until he simplified the offense, which took way too long. He just assumed he could smooth out JJM's rough spots and get him to play at a Darnold-like level by the end of the season. He's never coached up a young QB before, not with any prior coaching stops or here... looks like he needs a veteran to run his system. Speaking of which... Given how many QBs are likely to be in the 2027 class, I think we take another shot then. Just depends where we are picking... but I have almost zero faith in KOC to choose the right guy and coach him up.
  17. Danchat
    The beatwriters have linked the Vikings to every single QB that's available which is absurd, it's not as if they're going to sign 3 of them. What is clear to me is that they want nothing to do with starting JJM in any 2026 games, as for the particular QB who will be the Week 1 starter... I think it's going to be one of the QBs that get cut and we pick them up for the vet minimum (with offsetting language making it nearly free). Kyler Murray or Geno Smith make the most sense to me, I think Mac Jones is out of the running due to his price. Kirk maybe, Rodgers is going back to Pittsburgh, Colts aren't letting Jones leave. The reports from the Saints are that no team has called them about Carr, so I don't think we are going after him. They just don't have the money to do something like outbid the Colts for Jones, they also need money to spend on other positions. It makes sense to take advantage of the discount QBs thanks to the ridiculous deals they previously signed and spend what (relative to the rest of the league) little money we have on other positions of need.
  18. Danchat
    Here is a summary of my blueprint, there is an extended addition for anyone who wants it. The idea is to placate the Wilfs mandate to strive for contention and satisfy Kevin O'Connell's clear desire for a new QB to start the 2026 season. My goal will also be to get the roster younger where possible. Cuts TE Hockenson, RB Jones, C Kelly Re-signing P Wright 3/12.3M, LS DePaola and CB Moreau on vet minimum Restructures/Ext RT O'Neill - 3 year, $63M extension DT Hargrave - paycut/bonus to save $6M WR Jefferson - save around $11M via a bonus Trades ED Greenard to Bucs for their 2nd rounder RB Mason + future 7th to Chargers for their 6th rounder DL Allen (plus eating $4M of salary) to the Bears for their 7th rounder Free Agents QB Kyler Murray - vet minimum (assuming offsetting salary) S Alohi Gilman - 3/$27M ILB Leo Chenal - 3/$24M RB Tyler Allgeier - 3/$18M TE Tyler Higbee - 1/$5M ED Joshua Uche - 1/$5M Draft (still early in my draft process, the positions are more important than the actual players) Minor signings WR Tutu Atwell - 1/$2.5M ILB Willie Gay - 1/$2M OT Josh Jones - 2/$6M C Andre James, DL Jonathan Bullard, CB Darrell Baker Jr, QB Skylar Thompson - vet minimum I can post the contracts spreadsheet, but I think this is getting a little long. Let me know what you think!
  19. Danchat
    He's a 35 year old reliever who has topped out as a middle innings reliever and has considerable durability problems... and I would think he'd be at the end of most teams' bullpens. They shouldn't give him a long leash.
  20. Danchat
    The testing has been crazy at every position, tons of guys are routinely landing in the top 1% of athleticism and now 4.4 speed seems like it's average. It's hard to say xyz player has flown up the draft board because so many had good combines that they can't all rise. He's not even the second most notable QB today, I was watching the drills and some Day 3/UDFA QBs in Taylen Green and Haynes King ran 4.37 and 4.47 40s. Oh, and Green is 6'6" and set the record for vertical leap for a QB. That's like multiple Taysom Hills in one draft class.
  21. Danchat
    There's no need to keep a third catcher, and I think he can get through waivers with other teams not wanting to pay him that salary. He should be our top catcher in AAA.
  22. Danchat
    Not surprising to see Rojas struggling... not good seeing Bradley had a horrid outing.
  23. Danchat
    15 to 1, woof! It's not often you see a team score 15 runs on only 11 hits.
  24. Danchat
    Methinks it is far to early to write any conclusions about the differences between Falvey and Zoll... not that I expect there to be many since Zoll replaced Levine and not a whole lot changed, but still. Falvey's only been gone a month.
  25. Danchat
    I like Mendez, but the others aren't inspiring. The two pitchers look like their ceiling are as MLB relievers.
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