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Willihammer

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Everything posted by Willihammer

  1. Willihammer
    Santana has had ~100 more PAs than Grossman too. I agree he'd be an upgrade over Grossman but if 2017 is any kind of indicator then it still looks pretty marginal to me for the likely $$ involved.
  2. Willihammer
    JP is on record saying 50-55% of prior year revenues will be used on payroll, right? The TV deal hasn't changed (I don't think). Attendance has gone up a tick over 2016. Will they gain/lose in revenue sharing?
  3. Willihammer
    Not sure this insurance sidebar is relevant. Is ~20% of payroll on injured players out of the norm? Every team has injuries to deal with.
  4. Willihammer
    Santana makes some sense. Would he be much of an upgrade over Grossman tho? Smith being a lefty corner OF would make Rosario or Kepler redundant. What do you do with them?
  5. Willihammer
    Fair. Both players certainly have warts. How would you upgrade the hitting?
  6. Willihammer
    I do agree the Twins should look to upgrade at first base but Sano probably is that guy after 2018. Personally I'd love to see them make a run at Moustakas this winter. -He's young and still seems to be getting better. -He'd be an upgrade defensively. -After Sano, 3B is a black hole For 2018 they could roll with Sano at DH half the time and subbing at 1B or 3B the other half to juggle Mauer/Sano/Moustakas. And I would test the trade market for Buxton. CF is a black hole offensively. If they could get pitching in trade for Buxton then backfill CF with Cain or another vet I think that might be a good route.
  7. Willihammer
    Helluva catch by Mauer.
  8. Willihammer
    Ignore the pitching, yes. That's exactly what I said. This is a thread about hitting. Don't troll.
  9. Willihammer
    Mauer's fine. He'll make contact with an off speed pitch on occasion and isn't the automatic rally killer like half the lineup right now. Obviously would like Vargas or Park to take the job from him but they simply haven't.
  10. Willihammer
    From where I'm sitting, the league has figured out Kepler. He's a very good fastball hitter but can't hit a breaking ball to save his life, just like Buxton (although he can't hit fastballs either). Ditto Sano. If these are going to be "core" players for the next 5 years, they need to figure that out. Maybe they need to replace Rowson. Its pretty clear through 69 PAs that Granite's a Revere type 4th outfielder. No XBH power at all, Vargas turned 27 yesterday. The guy has the most awkward over-his-front-foot downward tomahawk swing I think I've ever seen from a MLB player. Cut him. Park is a bust. Castro's shouldn't be hitting any higher than 9. Grossman doesn't have enough power or defense to start regularly. Man without a position, but maybe enough to stick around as a 5th OFer. Polanco & Adrianza- someone please tell the Twins that all switch hitting middle infielder with a last name that ends in a vowel aren't automatically MLB calibre players. No punch at all. Escobar- seems to have proven himself average across the board. Good enough for now. Gimenez- no
  11. Willihammer
    Yeah the offense is still a ways off. By OPS, our best regular (Sano) would be -best on BOS -2nd best on KC -3rd best on: NYY, CLE, MIL, ARI -4th best on LAD, WAS, HOU, TBR Realistically the Twins need to find ~2 more bats who produce at a ~.900 OPS level, without sacrificing too much defensively.
  12. Willihammer
    Perkins blew a save in Ft Myers yesterday. Gave up a HR. ERA over 16 after 4 appearances.
  13. Willihammer
    Welp, after all my skeptcism and trashing of AAPL, it just continues to roll. I did a little research on cash flows and unsurprisingly its still a strong value. AAPL is valued at 15x FCF over the TTM. For reference SSNLF (Samsung) is at 17x, MSFT is at 18x, GOOGLE: 24x, FB: 35x, AMZN: 54x (some of these are better comps than others obviously). So yeah, lesson learned. I'm back in at $148.91.
  14. Willihammer
    What's next? Football season. Same as any other August.
  15. Willihammer
    Yeah I think 3000 hits pretty much seals his HOF case.
  16. Willihammer
    I think Twins fans need to get comfortable with the idea that Dozier might be a Twin for the next 4+ years. 1. nobody's going to pay for Dozier more than he's worth to the Twins. There are too few teams without a good/great 2nd baseman. 2. his presumed successor, Polanco, hasn't hit. With Dozier gone we could easily be talking about .100 points of OPS dropoff from the position. Maybe more. 3. the Twins are identified with Dozier. He attracts a decent amount of fans and checks a lot of the intangible boxes, clubhouse guy, veteran, etc. 4. I think there is a potential hometown discount Dozier would agree to following the 2018 season. One reason- he's an avid hunter and fisherman. For example over the ASG break he was fishing on Gull Lake. He'll have a strong preference to re-sign with MN I think.
  17. Willihammer
    I think Garcia plugs in as their #5 so they're okay but no room for an injury. If they got Gray they could bump Montgomery to the pen in Phil Hughes type fashion. I think that's the thinking.
  18. Willihammer
    I'd say it really depends on your projection of Ynoa. Some people see a Fernando Rodney ceiling whereas Littell seems to have #4 starter ceiling with a better chance to reach it.
  19. Willihammer
    Don't think there's anything wrong with Rogers. I like him, he's a MLB pitcher IMO, but he's got a 3.82 FIP, maybe just falling back to earth. For sure he's miscast as a #2 bullpen guy. Should be more like #6.
  20. Willihammer
    From Riveraveblues.com: http://riveraveblues.com/2017/07/heyman-yankees-twins-agree-to-jaime-garcia-trade-158302/
  21. Willihammer
    Sounds like a decent return. ETA 2019, along with Gonsalves, no?
  22. Willihammer
    I'm impressed so far too. Fingers crossed.
  23. Willihammer
    Buxton should absolutely be on the table for trade.
  24. Willihammer
    How man R's were right there with Graham? Could be all of them. But they let McCain take the spotlight because he's already a "maverick." Even re-ordered the vote to climax with McCain's deciding vote. McConnell etc planned out well in advance in caucus.
  25. Willihammer
    Meh, don't be fooled, this is just politics. McCain had no problem voting to repeal when Obama was prez, now he's talking about bipartisanship. In both cases, there were political points to score without actually risking anything. This is a little gossipy, but kinda interesting viewpoint from a former Senate staffer on McCain. https://www.theatlantic.com/notes/2017/07/a-long-time-senate-staffer-on-john-mccain/535050/
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