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Willihammer

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Everything posted by Willihammer

  1. I doubt any diet with the word "cleanse" in it can be a healthy, sustainable way to stay in shape. JMO
  2. .275/.340/.480, 25+ bombs. The undisputed best DH in the division by year's end.
  3. Yeah, wanna laugh? Go back and look at the opening day DH / starter for that 2008 team. Maybe a winning season for the 2015 club isn't that far fetched after all.
  4. I think the Hunter signing was a little bit of all things for everyone. He could sell tickets, still swing a bat, and maybe help out the new manager. Defense, well... Torii Hunter!
  5. I went to as many Wild games this year as I did Twins games last year, which is the first time that's happened for me. I plan to go to more, so yeah, Wild are the more intriguing team by far right now.
  6. Slow-Bake-Burn! All three are toast eh?
  7. The good thing is that every team has some warts. Tigers are old. Detroit's bullpen might actually be less interesting than ours. Royals are trading down in a few spots. Whities are top heavy. Cleveland is pretty balanced and deep although a few of their guys have some pretty short track records. I think Cleveland will win it, possibly by a landslide, with everyone else jumbled together within about 12 games of each other.
  8. His lousy spring training aside, I am hopeful for a breakout year for Arcia. .240/.290/.510 and 30+ bombs.
  9. Arcia did have the 3rd highest ISO in the 2nd half last year (.278), trailing only Stanton and Kemp.
  10. I think so too, if he falls that far. http://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/nationals/fear-of-second-elbow-surgery-may-lead-to-zimmerman-strasburg-departures/2015/03/29/80367f62-d646-11e4-8103-fa84725dbf9d_story.html
  11. I agree we should let the results dictate. Part of that is getting over the expectations that: if you pay Mauer 23m he will be worth 23m if you put Mauer at 1B he will have 100+ RBI if you bat Mauer 3rd he will be your best hitter Mauer lead the team in OBP but there were 4 others within 25 points of him. He finished 5th in OPS. I'd probably keep him in the top half for now but by no means consider him a lock there.
  12. I don't know what it is about Mauer that everyone judges him differently than other ballplayers. Is it the contract? That is what it is. He got paid at the absolute best possible moment. Good for him. You can't make a player in to superman just by paying him a bunch of money. I usually find myself defending Mauer by default but we've reached a point where we have to be realistic about the mileage on his body, changes in the game, the strikezone, outfield defense, and Mauer's own limitations. I'm not even sure he belongs in the top half of the lineup at this point.
  13. I don't think there's much question that the combo of Santana-Escobar is best for the lineup. Defensively, its debatable. Personally I thought Santana looked just fine in CF last year. If the Twins found themselves in the lucky position of having too many CFers, well they could 1. move Santana back to his original position (SS), where he has logged almost 4000 innings between the minors and majors. Or 2. trade one of them. It would be a great problem to have.
  14. I am fearful that Mauer will continue to suffer from: age/health, better outfield shifting, a bigger strikezone, and adjusting his approach at this point in his career. .265/.345/.395 in 425 PAs.
  15. If you buy into the Vegas over/under projections, the Cubs are projected to win 82.5 games. That seems like a pretty critical spot in the win curve to not bring your best 25 north.
  16. I don't feel for Bryant, I feel for Cubs fans!
  17. So when Pelfrey came in to relieve Nolasco yesterday, what did the gun say? Halsey? edit: Just read in the Sunday Notes thread he was sitting 92. Maybe he needs more time for the Wade Davis effect to kick in.
  18. Mr. Ice Cream Man!!!!!! http://images1.laweekly.com/imager/i-gave-my-grandma-master-ps-1995-album-e/u/original/2466357/master_p_ice_cream_man.jpg
  19. Honestly, I kinda hope the Cubs miss a playoff spot by one game.
  20. I'd like to point out that if the government were held to breaking even on its student loans, or even just to any standard at all, some point below break-even, the interest rate would have default risk priced in. Unfortunately this would also expose it to charges of racism, sexism, etc. from the left. The authors of this paper seem to prefer that the government view itself not as a lender, but as a "diversified investor in the US labor force," that implements a more complex model than they're willing to describe. Bottom line is that the supply side has gotten all out of whack from the demand side. It has to be put back in balance one way or another.
  21. The thing about being lefthanded, it doesn't automatically mean you are tough on lefties. The toughest pitch for a lefthander to hit is a good lefthanded slider. But Milone's best pitch is a changeup. And so for his career he's actually tougher on RHBs. I know Allen's big hook is that he likes the same sided changeup. And that might help Milone against LHPs, but it'll never match a good LH slider.
  22. The 14th citation has it nailed down. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1941070
  23. I pulled the inside edge fielding data from fangraphs for all players (no min) in 2014, and compared the Twins totals to the averages. Excel sheet here If my math is right, the Twins defense missed 40 plays that an average team would have made.
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