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Linus

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Everything posted by Linus

  1. Linus
    I like this analysis, especially the idea of Pelfrey and May to the pen. Its a little disappointing to have Molitor dismiss this idea already as I do not see the variety of pitches necessary for Pelfrey to be a successful starter. I like May in the pen because I hope to see Meyer get the 5th rotation spot and May has some upside that we need to start seeing.
  2. Linus
    This. Body fat percentage is what we should be discussing, not weight. I have no idea what it is but just looking at him you can tell he is and Sandoval shouldn't even be compared; same thing with Cabrera who looks kind of soft. The NFL and NBA are filled with athletes that are his size, lean and are amazingly athletic. He can be the same at third, as long as he is not over-fat, which is different than an arbitrary number of pounds. As far as what to do about the others. I wouldn't worry just yet about having too many talented players. If all of them turn into productive big league players, then we have something to worry about but that is far from guaranteed. If it happens, simply trade Plouffe for whatever our greatest need is and move on. Mostly, let the kid play before we worry about moving him.
  3. Linus
    Shane, thanks for writing these articles - very interesting. I was with you on the first two, this one not so much. I tend to lean towards letting him have a little more success with the bat before moving him a level. Kind of nice to see some good catching prospects in the system....
  4. Linus
    I remember him well so I must be really old. It does remind a person of how many players come and go if you follow a team long enough. Or, even all the minor league affiliates over the years.
  5. Linus
    Since Milone is so terrible, I'm sure Meyer, May et al will have no problem beating him out, so everyone can relax.
  6. Linus
    I will preface my comments by saying that I am not dismissing Rosario as a prospect with potential. I do have two major concerns: his swing is somewhat suspect, and some would say unsound. There have been successful MLB hitters without classic swings but it certainly isn't desirable. Who knows if his quick hands can make up for it at the major league level. I also still have a concern about the drug suspensions. When it happens more than once, that indicates either an attitude of "I'm going to do what I want" or an addiction problem. This will be a very interesting year to watch him.
  7. Linus
    Perhaps this is a self fulfilling question. These guys reduced their BB rates and, hence were successful and stayed in the big leagues. I am betting there are a bunch of guys that were not able to reduce their BB rates and ended up struggling or back in the minors. I get that if he limits hits and strikes a bunch of guys out it helps mitigate his lack of control but I think that there is no getting around the fact that not being able to throw it over is a problem.
  8. Linus
    Don't extend. The Twins are in a perfect position with him - they have him cost controlled through his prime and then can deal him or let him walk and get a draft pick, precisely at the time they don't want him anymore. I'm curious who the source is on this. I really hope the Twins don't do this......
  9. Linus
    It really is a borderline bizarre situation. I've been following Minnesota sports for most of my 53 years and cannot recall somebody being so clueless from a PR standpoint. Tommy Herr hated it here but had the good sense to keep his mouth shut about it with the media. The thing that is most amazing is this: it started almost immediately after signing the contract. I might get it if you were 3 years into a 4 year deal and hated your manager. But how you do this from practically day one is just inexplicable. One thing about TR, he is loathe to eat the money on a contract due to subpar performance but he definitely values "make up" and tends to get rid of anybody that he views as a clubhouse problem. That could make this situation very interesting.
  10. Linus
    I'm not worried about Pelfrey. If he can beat out all the other candidates then more power to him. I think the chance of that is minimal at best but I just think people should be comfortable with the idea that we have several viable candidates to fill the 5th spot and to fill in for injury.
  11. Linus
    While I don't want Pelfrey to be the 5th starter (mainly because he has one year left on his contract and won't be resigned) I think the whole purpose behind having a bunch of guys to choose from is so one of them steps up takes the job, and you don't have Cole DeVries taking starts when somebody gets hurt. The idea that we should pre-ordain who that starter should be somewhat defeats the purpose behind having a bunch of guys to choose from.
  12. Linus
    Seems like most people favor May over Meyer, which I understand (even though I would prefer Meyer). One thing I strongly disagree with is having Meyer go to the pen if he is not the 5th starter. His innings in the pen will be inconsistent and not like the routine of a starting pitcher. He needs to take the mound every 5th day and throw a hundred pitches - that is the best training for his future. So, if he is not starting for the Twins, let him start in Rochester and be first man up (assuming he is throwing it over the plate).
  13. Linus
    Meyer is my choice as well even though May is probably more ready. I say that because Meyer fulfilling his potential is more important to the Twins over the next 6 years than any other player not named Buxton or Sano (and maybe even more than those guys). He's the only chance we have of having a dominant front of the line starter which would be a huge step forward for this club. For that reason, I want to see him get his shot. Having said that, I agree that May doesn't have any more to prove in AAA and should go to the pen. He can then move into the rotation when Santana's UCL gives way. Pelfrey to the pen or traded. Milone optioned to AAA for insurance or the pen if they move a pitcher. He will get a chance to start before the season is over as well. Everyone will get a chance to show they deserve a spot. I like the fact that whoever ends up with that spot will earn it, not have it handed to them.
  14. Linus
    Assuming you were going to be able to turn around and sign him in the off season is a big leap of faith. The market for catchers was horrendous and he would have had several teams after him. I think the Twins made their assessment of Pinto, at least for last year, and decided they needed a proven catcher. I hope Pinto plays so well that Suzuki ends up being the backup but to not have anybody would end up looking like CF that we are all so critical of. At $6 mil, they can do whatever they want with him - start him, sit him, trade him.
  15. Linus
    And your catcher last year (and this year) would have been?????
  16. Linus
    Except that the contract is not big. At 6 mil they can easily make him the backup. TR was ready to deal him last year until he agreed to an affordable deal turns out he is cheap insurance
  17. Linus
    There is no way Plouffe is one of the top 4 defensive 3rd basemen. This is an example where defensive metrics are still evolving. He has improved markedly and deserves credit for doing the required work to get better at his craft. His throwing is noticeably improved and his ability to make the plays that he should has gone up as well. When / if Sano takes over 3rd he could be a nice trade chip (much better than moving him to another position).
  18. Linus
    I almost included a Gardy reference in my post. I was hearing him when I was typing it.
  19. Linus
    Its OK - I'm not dissing metrics; I think they are useful and interesting.
  20. Linus
    Gives Chance To Win The Game. Regardless of stats, when he took the mound last year we had a really good chance to win the game. I expect that to be roughly the same next year regardless of the metrics. Not to be simple about it but, he has good stuff, throws strikes and attacks enough that he will always strike out a decent number of hitters (hopefully when there is a man on third). I also think that regression won't be caused by him slipping into old habits. The changes he made were in spring training and he was pretty consistent over 200 innings - that's no flash in the pan. Oh, by the way.....thanks for asking Ash.
  21. Linus
    I would guess his job is very secure. He's an experienced guy that the pitcher really like and he was / is not completely lost at the plate. Given what is available in the marketplace for catching, the Twins are just fine with Suzuki at $6mil a year for two more years. The great thing is that if Pinto blossoms or they make a trade, Kurt can easily adopt a back up role and still not be a huge salary anchor.
  22. Linus
    His GCTWTG percentage last year was 75%. The last projection I saw for this was the same so I am not looking for a huge regression. This is much more accurate than FIP, Zips or Steamer.
  23. Linus
    Advanced stats have provided so much useful information over the last 20 years that I am shocked that the role of the closer hasn't been exposed. This theory just seems to still be in the dark ages when you compare it to other aspects / theories of baseball. I strongly advocate that your best relief pitcher should be used in your most important situations, regardless of the inning. How great would it be to have 3-4 (especially if one or two were lefties) guys who throw gas and you could bring them in mixed and matched with the situation.
  24. Linus
    I think your projection is spot on. I hope that Meyer wins the 5th spot as his ability to fulfill his ace potential is very important for the Twin's future. I have no problem with the "logjam" of pitchers, young and old. When your rotation is as bad as ours has been the last several years you want plenty of competition so nobody is given a spot. It will work itself out as Milone has an option, Pelfrey can be released if need be and I think people are making a big leap of faith with May. He may make it, but there is an equal chance that he goes back to AAA one more time.
  25. Linus
    OK - am I the only one who is starting to get a little worried that there is an injury history developing here? I realize he is still young and I don't know what his minor league health history was but since he has been in the big leagues he has frequently been injured. And this is at an age where you would think he would be resilient.....
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