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ALessKosherScott

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Everything posted by ALessKosherScott

  1. ALessKosherScott
    One was a bad starter on a playoff team that couldn't afford holes. One was a decent bench player on a team with no expectations.
  2. ALessKosherScott
    No. Minor league closers have such a low success rate as prospects, so Rondon is a pretty big risk. You have to really believe in Castellanos' star potential to do it. You're better off getting Castellanos and two deeper prospects. But if the Tigers called, my initial offer would by Smyly and Castellanos.
  3. ALessKosherScott
    While I firmly agree that I'd trade any current Twins starter for Kevin Slowey, could we not dub Vance Worley a guy with good peripherals? And what does it say about our current system that Worley and Deduno (two guys who showed strikeout ability last year) are currently sitting at 4.6 and 4.5 K/9 respectively? Why couldn't the Twins fix Liriano? What was the bigger issue problem with Garza? Whose dog did Kyle Gibson kick? And why does it seem like we're going around in the same circles with finding a rotation over and over again?
  4. ALessKosherScott
    Whenever a guy tops out at 97, it usually means he sits 92-94 when starting and 95 or so in relief. IMO, the best thing you can say about Stewart is that he was in no way, shape or form cloned from Brad Radke. He may be our next ace. He may flame out horribly in a fire of walks from here on out. But you need pitchers in the minors whom you can at least dream about being great.
  5. ALessKosherScott
    1a) Bryant 1b) Gray 3) Appel 4) ??? Bryant seems the safest pick. Gray has the biggest upside. Appel should be solid. Stewart is the pick that scares the living bejeezus out of me. Especially for a $5 million price tag. I'd probably grab Shipley or Ball and try to grab someone spendy in the second.
  6. ALessKosherScott
    Someday, I'd like to reconfigure WAR as a measure for ranking WAR songs. My money is on Low Rider winning.
  7. ALessKosherScott
    As long as they stop taking college relievers with questionable deliveries in the 2nd and 3rd rounds, I'll be happy.
  8. ALessKosherScott
    I remember Nick taking me to task for saying Gomez's upside was Devo White at the time of the Santana trade, but in hindsight that's the player he's become. IMO, the biggest problem with the trade was people read the scouting reports and fell in love. But they didn't see the fatal flaw in his game was that he never hit for a high enough average to counteract how much of a free swinger he is. Even with his start to 2013, what happens when Gomez's batting average normalizes? You could almost say that's the most just way to sum up Bill Smith's reign as GM. He never really had the patience to succeed at the job. More fun question, are the Twins even playing a game 163 in 2008 with Santana, Garza and Bartlett?
  9. ALessKosherScott
    I don't think there's much doubt from his minor league line that Hicks is going to strike out some this year. His minor league peripherals and numbers scream more Mike Cameron or Chris Young than Carlos Beltran. But both of those first two have been All-Stars at some point. If you can't have patience with a kid like that, then it's 1997 all over again and things are going to get ugly real fast.
  10. ALessKosherScott
    [video=youtube;lSPNQ82Sq4E]
  11. ALessKosherScott
    <----shakes Magic 8 Ball. Answer is cloudy. Ask again later. IMO, people talk about his power breakout last year, but he hit for the same pop in Beloit in 2011. The difference last year was a 40 point jump in batting average, and that makes it hard to tell if his 2012 line was breakout or luck. At .250, he's going to be an OBP hole who's going to need to be an elite defender to counteract it. At .280, there's more leniency. We'll see what he does at New Britain.
  12. ALessKosherScott
    This blog is the closest thing to Trolpo that I've seen here, and that makes me happy.
  13. ALessKosherScott
    I don't think it necessarily depends on which pitch he's struggling to throw either. If his slider isn't working, odds are hitters will be sitting on a fastball. So to compensate, the pitcher will try to overthrow his fastball and lose control of it. It's kind of akin to a heroin bender that way. Once one thing is out-of-whack for a pitcher, things have a tendency to spin out of control. Gibson was probably going to need some time to right himself. It's fine that he's doing it in Rochester.
  14. ALessKosherScott
    I'd note that it's also harder for a guy who depends on his slider like Gibson to bounce back from TJ surgery than a guy who's all fastball like Pelfrey. It's not uncommon for a pitcher to come back from the surgery throwing harder than he did before because his arm is clean. But after a year off, having a feel for your secondary stuff--especially breaking pitches-- is another story. Give him some time to get his feel back in the minors. If the Twins handle him smartly, they'll make him work on his change-up first, then slowly work more sliders back into the mix.
  15. ALessKosherScott
    I think the problem for using WAR with a player like Gagne is that the play-by-play data to create an acurate UZR didn't exist until 2002. Since so much of Gagne's value is in his glove and that's where his WAR value lies. But it 's an interesting read and the point is clear that developing a good shortstop is hard to do.
  16. ALessKosherScott
    It wouldn't surprise me if Pelfrey bounced back to 2010 form this year. Granted, the 2010 version of Pelfrey wasn't very good at throwing any pitch besides a fastball, so the time it will take to get comfortable with his breaking pitches and splitter will affect him less. Good news? Bad news? Who knows.
  17. ALessKosherScott
    I feel like you need to watch this for sensitivity training, Legs.
  18. ALessKosherScott
    He just brings different flaws to the equation than Dozier, Carroll or Florimon. We know Dozier and Carroll don't have the defensive tools to be anything more than a stopgap at shortstop. We know Florimon is a threat to be not quite as good as Rey Ordonez with the stick. If things go right, Brignac could do both of these things. Or neither of them. But it wouldn't cost too much to give him a utility gig or the starting shortstop job in Rochester and find out.
  19. ALessKosherScott
    IMO, it's less the number arms that scares me and more the number of players on the top ten list who haven't hit New Britain yet. There's a lot of upside in the system, but we're probably two years away from knowing how it's all going to play out.
  20. ALessKosherScott
    Aaah, Xerox Houston Jimenez. You're just a copy of every other Houston Jimenez I've ever booed.
  21. ALessKosherScott
    You could shave 100 runs allowed off last year's staff and still have a mediocre team. And the amount of attendance you get if you're in third place isn't really that much greater than what you get in fifth, just ask the mid-90s Twins. It's going to take more than Marcum to turn around the apathy the Twins are getting. And I believe the "strawman" point is that it's going to take more than even Shields.
  22. ALessKosherScott
    Like I said, Worley, Meyer and May are a start in the right direction. I just don't buy that shooting for 76 wins instead of 73 is going to have that big an affect on attendance one way or the other. Even if we gutted the farm system to get Shields, it wouldn't have made that big a difference.
  23. ALessKosherScott
    Right but let's be honest. Even with the aggressive approach to rebuilding a rotation, Kansas City is still behind the Tigers and White Sox in terms of pitching. What the Twins needed to do wasn't going to be done in one year unless Ryan developed a Flex Capacitor and brought back Johan Santana v.2004. I would've liked the Twins to have made a move for Bauer. But I like Worley's chances to be a Doug Fister type, and Meyer and May are both steps in the right direction giving us a glimmer of hope. The next step is to stop grabbing college relievers with mechanical issues in the early rounds of the draft, have some patience with Hendriks and Gibson when they have their growing pains, and to sell high on Scott Diamond if he has another good year instead of giving him a Blackburn deal. I wouldn't mind it if they signed Shaun Marcum. But that isn't going to make or break the offseason. What needs to happen is for the front office to bring more Meyers and Mays into the system for things to be a success.
  24. ALessKosherScott
    IMO, there are probably a half-dozen guys you could make a case for being the #2 prospect in the system (behind Sano), and Meyer is one of them. So I don't really have a problem with anyone placing him anywhere between second and seventh. He's definitely the pitching prospect the organization needs--the type who guys like Verve can put in their spank bank and fantasize about a true ace in 2017. You've got to love the size, the fastball and the breaking pitch. But like most 6'9" pitchers he has problems with his mechanics and fixing those hasn't exactly been the Twins' strong suit in the last decade. Sickels has him as a B+ prospect, which is what Arcia and Buxton are and is a stone's throw away from Hicks, Gibson, Rosario and Berrios who are Bs. If you take the three pitchers in that group and set a bar, I'd guess Meyer is the most likely of the three to post a 150+ ERA+ season in the next decade. If you lowered the ERA+ to 125, I'd probably pick Berrios over the other two. If you lowered it to a league average 100, I'd take Gibson over the other two. Hitter wise, you could set the same bar with OPS+ and Buxton, Arcia and Hicks/Rosario. The question becomes do you play it safe, go for the gold or take a mixture of the two? With that said, the farm system is definitely getting better.
  25. ALessKosherScott
    They did about five years ago, but sadly it only works with Carlos Silva.
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