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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. drjim
    In addition to the accurate point made by Brock, I would even add the Twins should care what people think. Namely the fans who buy tickets and sponsors who shell out the big money. A universally panned deal of their best player would be a big problem.
  2. drjim
    Not a believer in pythag or base runs I take it. If they keep Dozier statistical projections will have them at 74ish to start the season. Doesn't matter what the record was last year. And at least 3 of the other teams in the division will be worse.
  3. drjim
    Probably more worried about making a clearly bad trade than being reminded about it. Trading their best player for a clearly poor return would further demoralize a beaten down fanbase and lead to more criticism of ownership (cheap Pohlads!). The honeymoon would be over quickly.
  4. drjim
    I'm not sure it's that dire. I expect them to add a flyer arm and a legit RP and possibly a representative 4th OF. They are probably a 74-75ish true talent team with a unusally large beta. Probably makes them about a 20-25% chance to be in the playoff hunt.
  5. drjim
    I would bet on the under of De Leon over 6 years vs Dozier next 2. I like De Leon as a prospect and he's a worthy centerpiece in return, but there's so much more risk with pitchers. Has to mitigated to move Dozier
  6. drjim
    If it's just De Leon I don't agree. There is probably a 70-80% chance that you get nothing better than a 3, with a significant part of that representing getting nothing. Missing out on that type of asset isn't going to kill a franchise. There is some positive value in seeing more wins with Dozier on the team, in helping recreate a winning culture for young guys on the come, and there is still a nonzero chance that the team can compete in the next two years.
  7. drjim
    Ideally they trade him but they really can't force it if the offer is not there. Keeping him into the season is not a disaster.
  8. drjim
    I think the EOAA wanted to humiliate the football team and the school leadership went along because they want to dump Claeys. It was an awful situation turned into a farce, the theme of Gopher athletics.
  9. drjim
    And it's really not *that* far fetched that Buxton could be better than every Cub and Indian OF as soon as this year.
  10. drjim
    The Cardinal interest seems legit to me. Not just because of the report, but because of the fit. They had been speculated on before, but it certainly makes sense that the Cards would want to upgrade at 2b and they have some pitching depth and the price might not be as high right now as they originally were led to believe.
  11. drjim
    I think it makes him a good reporter. There had been multiple reports of other teams interested earlier in the offseason and he put some actual teams out there. Not signing a Cuban FA seems a bizarre thing to hold against a reporter.
  12. drjim
    That list reminds of the collective freak out after the Bill Smith Bullock for Diamond master stroke.
  13. drjim
    Similar to approximately 99% of his baseball observations. Only took the first two days of spring training.
  14. drjim
    I like the Joe Souchery joke. He assumed we signed the wrong Nishioka. The other great story is from Tom Kelly that first spring training. Two days in, in a casual conversation with Dark Star, he says "Well, the new Japanese guy can't play."
  15. drjim
    Maybe 50%
  16. drjim
    Not trading Perkins in 13 or especially 14 was by far the worst example of trade mismanagement. They shouldn't have extended Hughes, but people vastly overrate the return they could have gotten for Suzuki and especially Willingham.
  17. drjim
    I respect this response and thought process and agree our goal should be 0 sexual assaults. The problem, though, and the crux of this specific debate, is that there is a significant part of the population that doesn't think what happened that night IS sexual assault or rape. It is especially dicey when the established legal system says it is not (or at least there is no way to prove that it is) but the school review says that it is and enacts harsh punishments, including on some who very likely did not take part. Sadly, perhaps tragically, there is a lot of gray in encounters like this. I had to work professionally for several years working through sexual assaults and despite lots of training I don't feel any better equipped now than I did before. I do think that if we want to stop sexual assault we have to be willing to explore all things that contribute.
  18. drjim
    No one is against adding as many prospects as possible, but I wouldn't trade Santana at this point for only the return suggested in that other post. This might be incorrect, but I am a believer that you don't get better on the mlb level by hoarding prospects at the lower level at the expense of mlb talent. I think there is talent on this team that needs to be nurtured a little this year, and having some success would be beneficial for the overall good of the franchise going forward. There is a lot of uncertainty in the rotation right now, so there is benefit in having a stabalizing force as other roles are filled in behind. If it sorts itself out at the deadline and the Twins are (as to be expected) not going to make the playoffs, then revisit a trade then. Moving Santana right now for fair-ish value doesn't do much for me.
  19. drjim
    Defense?
  20. drjim
    Yes, along with other sources. Mix youthful idiocy, alcohol, raging hormones, general depravity, and an inflated status in an enclosed community, and bad things happen. There is a long, all-encompassing strategy to combat this, and I really, truly believe that good progress has been made on many fronts, but sometimes people are just awful.
  21. drjim
    That would be good too.
  22. drjim
    I don't think anyone finds a number above 0 acceptable. But addressing the crisis, in my mind, requires an accurate understanding of what is happening. The CDC numbers also include attempts, plus they have been challenged in their own right and use shoddy methodology. Digging deeper into the study, the earlier suggestion of banning alcohol would do more to reduce rape and sexual assault than anything else by a significant margin.
  23. drjim
    40%?
  24. drjim
    And who said anything about being satisfied? Some context is important. Failure to develop pitching is obviously the biggest failure of this franchise the past decade and the number one reason by far for sustained sucking. I generally think this is cyclical more than anything. A decade ago the Twins developed the best pitcher in baseball and backed him up with some decent guys. Been a disaster since.
  25. drjim
    I figured that definition covers an ace. Multiple years of high performance and 3.5 WAR is a good cutoff of slightly better than good Scott Baker. Yes on Cueto, scratch Cincinnati from the list. Might be one or two others, it was a quick thought experiment.
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