TheLeviathan
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Everything posted by TheLeviathan
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I think the Wall falls in the first few episodes next season. I think they evacuate the Wall snd the real battle happens at Winterfell. I think Sam has two roles - 1) He has one of the rare Valerian swords along with Brienne, Jamie, and Jon and 2) He finds something long forgotten about either the doom of Valyria, the children of the forest, the magic embed in the wall, or the dragons that turns the tide. I lean to the last one, with a fun encounter between Sam and Tyrion about "knowing things".
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Hmmm, that's a fair point, the Northern lords certainly knew. I can't recall if anyone in the south had talked about it though.
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But remember Mike, the Wall is largely forgotten in general. They rarely get men sent their way and have to troll dungeons for recruits. It's basically seen as nothing more than a glorified version of parole. So it's entirely plausible for the Citadel to just not give a rip about the Wall unless they receive communication.
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Yup, I'd suggest that after the scene with Melisandre you consider weeks or months passed for exactly the reason that Brock laid out. The only thing that might negate that is the scene Jamie sees when he returns, but I imagine something like Wyldfire has a long burn rate and it's not like anyone is going in there to put it out. So if you imagine a break there, the rest of it makes sense.
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They know what they know based on information and communication, the Wall was in total disarray so they had no communication. They rely on other Maesters for knowledge after al.
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What Would Happen If MLB Held An Expansion Draft?
TheLeviathan replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't blame you Seth, I might suggest we bump talk of the Rochester Red Wings to the front page..... -
What Would Happen If MLB Held An Expansion Draft?
TheLeviathan replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
So, we're down to talking about fictional expansion drafts in June? Season must be going well.....- 52 replies
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- brian dozier
- joe mauer
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What's hyperbole? We have 13 pitchers on the roster. That means we have a 3 man bench pretty much every night. That's terrible strategy for one, but beyond that, a handful of those guys in that 13 man staff are not worth risking anyone to waivers for. Certainly not someone who hit like Arcia did his first two years. We're talking about a guy who had an OPS 200 points higher than our current top prospect in CF and just turned 25. And we let him go rather than Neil Ramirez. Or using an option.
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So far the defenses you've mounted are rather irrelevant. First it's Santana vs. Arcia - not a valid defense. No such Mad Max scenario existed. Then it's about playing time, which isn't the issue (it's separate), the issue is giving away a young player with a pretty decent string of early success when you had many other options. Again - options that exposed you to losing NO ONE. Don't lose a lottery ticket for nothing. We can argue playing time later, don't hand away lottery tickets when you don't have to. That's what is indefensible. They chose to give away Arcia over a host of options that didn't require that to happen. That's the issue.
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Send down Park, play Arcia. Or platoon them more regularly. You are not giving up any lottery ticket for cash in that case. You get rid of Neil Ramriez, Buddy Boshers, or any of the other schmoes in a 13 man bullpen. It's not complex. The team had a host of other options that didn't include waiving him off the 40 man. Options in which they didn't have to risk losing anyone.
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The problem is, we aren't having that discussion. The pro-Arcia people are declaring him Ortiz and the people wanting to shelter the FO are basically dismissing his future. And it misses what matters. His playing time, his roster spot, his place on the roster, his value within the organization, their self-awareness of their situation (seriously, Buddy Boshers or Arcia is not a "choice" one should even be considering. It's a no brainer), and their inability to gauge upside is the problem. So while I don't find the posting of box scores helpful, I find the idea that this was Santana vs. Arcia far more obnoxious. Or excusing the playing time ceded to Robinson over Arcia. Or anything else that distracts this from the real problem. The real problem is this team prizes 27 year old nobody bullpen guys and a handful of cash more than a lottery ticket while they're on their way to 100+ losses. Let's accept, that regardless of what you feel about Arcia, that's just not wise. There's no good reason for it.
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Sorry, not all opinions are worth granting credit too. I don't care what every other team does, I care what this team does. We could've sent down Park. We could've sent down one of the 8 relievers we have. We had quite a few options. We weren't choosing between lottery tickets either. We chose to give up a pretty nice lottery ticket. In a season when we're on pace for over 100 losses. It's not defensible. Sorry, if you're on the other side of it, you're missing just how out of whack that thinking is. The process, the thinking, has to change. Regardless of how Arcia turns out.
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No, I won't grant it. I don't think there is a defense for this. People are getting caught up in what they believe Arcia will or won't do. I don't care. It doesn't change the real problem. And that problem gets ignored as we battle about him being Benson vs. Ortiz. It doesn't matter. We gave up an interesting lottery ticket for pocket change. That's indefensible.
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No, I'm annoyed you are trying to separate the last 5 minutes of Arcia as a Twin from the larger context. Lottery tickets are still assets - long shots - but assets. When you're as poor off as the Twins, you should be hording lottery tickets and hoping whenever you can. Not giving them away for something you have in abundance. (Likely, cash) Or prefer to keep you completely worthless and utterly replaceable 27 year old bullpen arms over the lottery ticket. It's indefensible. Regardless of what Arcia does.
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Well, I'm ensnared. Have you heard of Buddy Boshers? He's one of those faceless late 20s guys in our bullpen. There are like 4-5 more guys like that. We chose to keep them. All 8 of them in the bullpen. We also chose not to use these things called "options" on a number of deserving players. So, please, if you're going to start preaching about absolutists posts, at least come at it better than this was some sort of "2 men enter, one man leaves" thing with Santana and Arcia. It wasn't. I'm past the point of hammering the poor decisions with Arcia. I think we're well past the point when we need any more moves to criticize the FO. We're saturated, so I'm not going to be posting box scores. But then, I'm barely building up the will to check Twins box scores.
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We're not arguing semantics. We don't need a crystal ball about Arcia's future to judge asset management. We also don't need positive or negative box scores for it. A young player struggling does not immediately turn them into a dud The team buried him in favor of Hunter and Robinson and a host of other people last year and years before. Some of his lack of value is in how he was used. Either way, this team chose to keep a pile of faceless relievers over him. Or refused to option a wide range of people who deserve it to keep him. They put themselves in this position of their own choosing.
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The fact that it was unnecessary is precisely why it's bad management. The outcome need not confirm it for the process to be flawed. To go a bit further,if you make bad roster decisions to cut players, we need not look things up a decade later to decide if it was a mistake or not. The factors here and now are more important than whatever happens going forward. Whether Arcia becomes the next Benson, the next Ortiz, or something in the vast middle of that is irrelevant really. This is about value and how you manage assets on the roster and we don't need the benefit of hindsight in 5 years to judge it now.
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To be fair, some of that desire to post box scores comes out of frustration with people writing him off (and thus, writing off how much of a bungled bit of asset management this is) before we know the final story. Regardless of the outcome with Arcia, the Twins decision was indefensible. And their decisions surrounding Arcia started being indefensible last year. I'd say I want the Twins to learn from this, but that implies the people who need to learn will still be here. And I sincerely hope that isn't the case.
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The Targs often inter-bred, but I don't think that's the future for Jon and Dany. In fact, if I had to predict things, I'm guessing one of them is dead in the end. And I mean dead for realsies.
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I totally missed this. Very interesting.....
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Sure, I just think the book Dorne would've made for terrible TV plotting.
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The Dornish plot-lines in the book were largely non-sensical too. Princes and Princesses trying desperately to marry someone so Doran had allies rather than just letting natural alliances happen as they would. Not to mention most of those plotlines revolve around a character cut out of the show that will probably ruin the narrative's impact and drama to begin with. (Fake Aegon)
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There were Tyrell ships (rose), Martill ships (sun spear), Greyjoy flags, and Targ flags. It was the full armada of the alliance.
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I think, unfortunately, Cersei is sort of the end-game of both characters. Killing Walder Frey doesn't complete Arya's mission, but I see your point about Jamie too. Maybe Jamie decides not to save her when he knows she is done for and Arya levels the killing blow? I'm not sure, it's an interesting predicament. Dorne is a cool story and Oberyn was a necessary piece to it. Their involvement from this point I think has more to do with Westeros unifying behind Dany.
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You're right that it feels off. And it feels that way because the first four seasons (I think, at least the first three) were happening on a relatively equivalent frame of time. At least it felt that way. It seems like this season they didn't do that. And that's fine, they sacrificed time continuity for story continuity. I accept that as the better choice, just takes a little getting used to. I'm guessing next season we go back to things in the north and south being parallel. It was tying up all these floating threads that forced the "teleporty" feel.
