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TheLeviathan

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Everything posted by TheLeviathan

  1. It's fair to point that out, but Parker's approach normalizes some of that better than just a random pick of how many guys behind them were also busts. Many of these drafts look to have been poor in talent in general, but that's why a comparison relative to other teams is still fairly reliable. So, yes, the Twins made bad choices in some thin drafts that many other teams struggled with as well. Parker's analysis just shows that even in a field of bad choices, the Twins were subpar.
  2. I am baffled that the Twins can look at this list of options they've given themselves in CF and feel comfortable.
  3. Sometimes you have to identify the problem before you can examine how it happened. At this point we're still having trouble acknowledging something went wrong for that stretch. I wonder if a lot of it was just a new regime moving in to the scouting department and the difficulty with that transition.
  4. I'm not sure why we keep calling this sample "arbitrary". I would imagine these years were chosen because they are the most relevant to our recent struggles. Either way, we shouldn't be attacking this as some kind of negative propaganda. Any six year stretch of draft failures, no matter when they happen, is going to be problematic for your organization. It's useful to examine why you hit a drought like that, especially when the farm system is so vital to your success.
  5. I think that fast start for confidence on a young team is critical. At the same time, I think the best teams do things consistently and that's where I struggle with this team. The two constants that can best drive your team to success are good pitching and good defense. I'm pretty sure one of those is already a mess waiting to happen and it could negatively impact the other. One thing that 2001 team did well was play defense. They didn't make a lot of mistakes, played good ball, and gave themselves a chance to win a lot of games. All the talking points Gardy is known for that have actual value to winning baseball. The last few years this team has rolled over bad pitching and bad defense and it has taken them completely out of far too many games. (And often shattered their confidence and optimism) If the winning is going to start, we have to stop taking ourselves out of games so quickly and emphatically.
  6. It's not even a clear three months, it's like mid-June to mid-August and that's only if you don't coach or do other things. It's not like it's three scot-free months. So yeah, you basically have to be a mercenary for construction crews or Green Giant or something to find summer work. That's something you do when you're 16, not 36.
  7. In addition to being unfair that they can't negotiate a larger piece of the pie, giving MiLB is an investment in the game. If you're an athlete, do you really want to sit around making peanuts for five years when the other leagues offer substantially more? Baseball has a massive pie to divide, it's ridiculous in every possible way and for all parties, to keep giving such a tiny slice to a vital component of the games health. Also, as a teacher, the myth about getting a summer job is way overplayed. That doesn't happen because it's almost impossible to arrange for the vast majority.
  8. Thrylos is right - the minor league fix has to be from both the union and the league as both have worked actively to create the abysmal situation we know today. That, to me, should be the top priority of anyone in charge of baseball.
  9. I'm confused by how people are supposed to earn or lose their spot. Are people seriously suggesting we take ST results seriously? The point is that May should be first in line barring injury or opposing teams batting 1.000 off of him.
  10. Yeah, we don't have to tar and feather Terry Ryan and the other decision makers. Just, you know, make them eat Lutefisk until they agree to reverse their decision.
  11. Can we all agree to peacefully riot if it's Pelfrey?
  12. Great article. It amazes how many people stilly underplay the impact a bad defense can have on a pitcher.
  13. I do think this has to be part of the conversation too. But there is no question he has transformed himself beyond most expectations.
  14. Finally! A metric Gardy can get behind!
  15. I worry he'll regress because the part of the defense he still needs most is awful. I know it hurt him last year, but I worry he'll have some particularly bad luck from it with this group.
  16. The numbers are better for Mussina than my perception of him. I always thought of him in the "very good" but not "elite" category. David Cone is a guy that comes to mind as a similar level of pitcher to me.
  17. If the Twins go with Schafer and Hicks it is all but formal acknowledgement that Hicks has busted out. I really hope the Twins haven't given up on him yet. Send him to AAA and hope that ship hasn't sailed just yet.
  18. I'm glad we all agree that the only thing that makes sense (something like 4/18) would require Brian Dozier to have a lobotomy before agreeing. So, basically, an extension isn't going to happen yet. (As it should be)
  19. I too think it'd be nice to see someone with the guts to dive both feet in for a few seasons to see how it works. It's just going to take a lot of determination to stick with it if things go awry.
  20. Crain got 3 years and 13M, that is a far cry from 4/36. I just wouldn't use 4/36 as a good example. I've always been torn on this subject. In theory I agree with the idea of not limiting yourself by the roles you assign to players. At the same time, I also know as a human being that I like having some routine and my job to contain relatively predictable situations and circumstances. (And that this helps me do my job) I think this may be one of those times where theory doesn't work when the rubber hits the road, no matter how well-intentioned and argued the theory is.
  21. I'd suggest this is a very new phenomenon. His deal doesn't have a lot of precedent.
  22. The protection in an extension for Dozier is largely for him. The Twins lose their protection against him falling apart or getting hurt. Cost certainty is being talked about in these threads as if it is always a good thing. It's only a good thing in the situation of highly likely escalating cost. It can be a terrible thing when those costs stop escalating and/or decline. The Twins have time to see how likely it is Dozier is going to keep escalating and jorgen does an excellent job suggesting here that the comparable players to Brian Dozier indicate he's a player NOT likely to do so.
  23. I'm confused why you would have to do that?
  24. I would argue that there is not a "good chance" of that at all for precisely the reasons laid out. The Hughes extension made total sense because in the best case scenario you save tens of millions on a pitcher and worst case scenario you paid him roughly market value if he becomes average. He'd have to have a career ending injury for it to be bad. Dozier? Arbitration and team control protect you from the worst case scenario and you risk getting rid of that protection in the name of buying out years when he is 33 and 34 years old for the benefit of saving a few million. That's a terrible guiding principle for extensions and I sincerely hope the Twins realize that.
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