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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Here: No Nolasco (5.13 ERA) plus Santiago (6.20 ERA) no Milone (5.51 ERA) and no Duffey (6.39 ERA) plus Berrios (8.88 ERA) Methinks that the ERA with the replacements is worse...
  2. Indeed, that's why, since the Twins will not be seriously competing in the remaining period of the contracts of Santana and Dozier (and likely before Gibson, but for sure before Santiago becomes a free agent,) makes no sense keeping the above
  3. I think that if we should be able to even pencil in names for the rotation right now, that means that the new head of baseball will not be doing his job... This is a team that is projected to lose 103 games, and primarily because of its pitching. The 2017 rotation should look totally different and this team should rebuild. The core of this team is at about 23-24, so everyone over 27 should go. This includes Santana, Gibson, and Santiago. The last 2 are at their prime and the first one past his and coming from a season that screams "sell high" as much as Dozier's does. You cannot do much about Hughes, but you cannot count on him. If he does not come back, insurance will mitigate the loss, if he does, he will be a gift (hopefully wrapped for another team or anchoring the pen...) Duffey has done everything he can to show that he does not belong in a major league rotation, but he could be good out of the pen, where he should be in 2017 Who would I pencil in? Nobody. I'd acquire 2 arms at least at the projected Berrios level who are at the AA/AAA level for Dozier, Santana, Gibson, Stewart, Gordon or whomever below A+ and/or over 27 will make it happen, and would let: those 2, Berrios, Mejia, May, Gonsalves, Jay, Romero, Jorge and (Randy) Rosario fight it out in Spring Training. The rest (other than May (*) who has no options) can start in Rochester. That's 10 arms. (*) this might sound that I am penciling in May, but if he does not work, he can go to the pen... That's how teams rebuild
  4. Great stuff! Here is who I would have had: I'd go with Lewin Diaz at 1B. His .928 OPS vs .792 for Weil is too much to ignore, esp since Diaz is 1.5 years younger than his league average while Weil is 1.5 years older than his. Third base, I'd have Niko Goodrum who with a .816 OPS (vs .755 for Molina) had the season of his life. At SS, I might consider the 9 games that Javier played a SSS for his 1.054 OPS, but Brandon Lopez' .814 OPS looks better than Gordon's .721, bloodlines, first round pick or not. So Lopez would be it for me. At OF, Palka and Wade are fine, but Granite and his .729 OPS is not. As a matter of fact, there are (in addition to Palka and Wade) 10 more OFs who did not make the majors with better OPS than Granite and none more deserving than Jaylin Davis (.864). DH, yes Walker would work, but Travis Blackenhorn (.850 OPS vs. .784) had a better season. Cannot argue against Romero, Gonsalves or Hildenberger. However, Andrew Vasquez (1.41 ERA, 0.913 WHIP, 11.97 K/9) had a better season than Theophanopoulos (2.20 ERA, 1.163 WHIP, 11.57 K/9) Very close, but still better.
  5. That 1997 team needs an asterisk because it was a World Champion team. After winning, the Marlins decided to have a full rebuild and dismantle that team. The average age of the 1997 team was 28.5 for hitters and 27.5 for pitchers and dropped to 25.4 and 24.5 for 1998. And a rebuilding team needs few years to stabilize. There is the progression of the Marlins (in Wins) 1998 - 54 1999 - 64 2000 - 79 2001 - 76 2002 - 79 2003 - 91 World Champions I'd take 5 years from 100 L to a World Championship any day. If the Twins did the right thing and rebuilt in 2012, that could had been next season for the Twins... Unlike that young Marlins' team that lost 108, the 2016 average ages for the Twins is 27.1 for hitters and 28.4 for pitchers. That is the problem there... If you go back to the last 100+ L Twins' team, the 1982, you will see that it was the only time the Twins have rebuilt seriously. The average ages for that team were 25.3 for hitters and 25.5 for pitchers. And like the Marlins, we all know what they did in 5 seasons...
  6. AL fWAR: Trout 8.6 Betts 7.1 Donaldson 6.8 Altuve 6.6 Machado 6.3 Dozier 6.1 This is Trout's to lose, unless the majority of the voters would be of the opinion that an MVP should have helped lead his team to the post-season or at least be in a competitive team. If that is the case it is Bett's award.
  7. Don't be so sure about that... Vielma cannot hit a volleyball with a bat and Gordon's OPS in the same stop at the same age is 60 (A+), 120 (A), and 201 (Rk+) points lower than Polanco's, plus his fielding percentage this season (.952) is worse than Polanco's (and so is Vielma's, .954) I see no reason that Gordon will be a better player than Polanco, if he makes it to the majors, and Vielma's ceiling is Florimon.
  8. SSS. Give the kid the off-season and the entire Spring Training to play and prep as a shortstop and I suspect that he will be much better next season. Kepler has a .971 fielding percentage, which is worse for a RF than Polanco's .959 is for a SS. He also has a negative UZR (even though UZR is useless in both sample sizes.) Any concerns there? The bottom line is that both players are young enough to improve and unless you play them there, they will not improve.
  9. Hope that 2 off that list, but for sure one, is not a Twins' player next year...
  10. Certainly, but Buxton will be to Sano and Polanco what Gaetti was to Puckett and Hrbek. Thus term "Buxton era" is equivalent to that of "Gaetti era".
  11. Family, location, location, location, family Frankly, I don't know many non-natives who are not dreading Minnesota winters. And if someone has Junior High/High School age kids, a job in Toronto (less than 1hr flight from Boston where the family is,) is much more appealing that a job in Minneapolis, esp. if one does not have any emotional ties with the team...
  12. I am not convinced that Gordon is better than Polanco at SS at this point. Definitely Polanco's bat has been better at the same stops at the same age...
  13. Jeff Kent (traded for David Cone) begs to differ. And the Twins have traded a couple of different second basemen for a good haul. Heck, Nunez brought back a possible #4 starter, shouldn't Dozier bring more? And they can always package someone like Stewart to sweeten the deal.
  14. I hope they rebuild. A veteran FA SS will not allow Polanco to get enough reps at SS and see whether he can play that position long term. Also rebuilding teams need veteran SSs as much as they need proven closers... They don't. The whole idea of rebuilding is to create a core of players that will reach their primes together so the team will be competitive until the next rebuild. The Twins' current/future core is at ages 22-25. So much outside that age range does not make sense. Figure out what you have and when they get closer to contending, you then can close holes with veterans (like MacPhail did in '87 for example,) but getting players at or past their primes makes zero sense at this point
  15. Plouffe is the poster boy of non-tendering (along with Milone and Santiago...)
  16. How about just a sentence (and a bit) : These are the same people who have been making personnel decisions the last 20-some years around here; do you really think that there is a reason or a rhyme in those decisions? (see: Sano, Miguel, rightfielder)
  17. 1B Vargas 2B Dozier/Beresford/Escobar SS Polanco 3B Sano
  18. Anesthesia was ok at that time period. The principles of infection (and cleanliness) were not. And pain management was ok too.
  19. Agreed, but just a technicality: Gettysburg was a 3 day battle. Technically the singular most devastating day in American history was Antietam with 22,720 casualties. But that was before US Major General Abner Doubleday, who commanded the First Corps in the aforementioned Gettysburg, supposedly invented baseball But, yes, it was amazing to watch the first baseball game after 9/11, just as it was to watch the jet lines of clouds on the sky again...
  20. Resurrected? I guess that was from Death by small sample size... Right now (and he still is not on his prime,) Rosario is a very small IsoD guy. Which means that his OBP is close to his BA. And if that BA for whatever reason does not approach .270-.280, that OBP will not approach .300. Maybe he will have a hitting coach who will help him take a ball here and there in the future. He is still 24. On the other hand the Twins OF is getting crowded, and he fell in the depth chart behind Kepler and Buxton. Give Palka a good ST or two, and Rosario is a fourth OF. On the other hand, the Twins should go back and re-switch his positions, strong arm on not. They'd need someone to replace Dozier at 2B, and likely he can do it better than (let's say) Walker (another OF candidate for position change).
  21. According to a bunch of metrics here, he is better than Escobar, in a season that, like Sano, prepared for and played out of position until recently...
  22. I think that there is a larger fundamental question they have to answer before they answer any of these: Will the Twins actually rebuild in 2017? If they do, a lot of those are easier to answer. Btw, here is data comparing Plouffe's and Sano's defense at third. Sano makes more errors (and expected, since he did not see many balls at third base while he was preparing as a right fielder), but he is a better overall third baseman, and will only improve. At this point Sano is better than Plouffe and better than what Koskie was in his first full season in the position. Polanco should be their shortstop, no discussion. There is zero reason that he should not be. If the Twins flip May and Duffey, they will make both their rotation and their pen better, and keep May healthy. I think that Perkins has pitched his last pitch in the majors. If his velocity does not come up to the mid 90s, he should not come up either, and a rational front office would have not counted on him in 2016. Hughes is a wild-card, but they should plan like they cannot count on him, because they cannot. Enough for the Twins' planning being living on a prayer... As I said is the Twins decide to rebuild and trade Santana and Dozier et al, holes at the rotation and catcher can potentially be filled, even though letting Murphy and Garver battle for the starter role in ST and come up, might be a decent option. A rotation of some of Berrios, Gonsalves, Mejia, Jay, May and a new good arm for 2017 does not look too bad for me if they are rebuilding, neither a pen of some of Rogers, Melotakis, Duffey, Chargois, Reed, Light, Burdi, Jones, Peterson, Anderson, does not look awful for a rebuilding team, neither does a lineup of Garver, Vargas, Rosario, Polanco, Sano, Palka, Buxton, Kepler, Mauer/Park... But they got to decide what they want to do, and don't do it half-whatevered again...
  23. re: Trading Buxton: Anyone here who would not trade him for Trout or Harper or Syndergaard or Jose Fernandez? just sayin' there are trades and there are trades
  24. A couple more tidbits on Anthopoulos you might find interesting: - He is Canadian, born in Montreal - Got his first job out of college in 2000 as a mailroom intern for the Expos, then moved into a scouting intern and then as an assistant scouting director - In 2003 he moved to the Jays as their scouting coordinator and promoted to AGM in 2005, 5 years before he became GM. So he has a long history with Toronto, on the scouting side of the business. Aaron Sanchez, probably Toronto's best pitcher this season, was another one he drafted and developed, after every team passed on him.
  25. Have you checked the Tigers' payroll and/or moves the past decade?
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