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PseudoSABR

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Everything posted by PseudoSABR

  1. PseudoSABR
    I can see Mauer's life story some day becoming a move titled, The Naturalist.
  2. PseudoSABR
    And if you're right, the whole QO market suddenly shifts to sensibility, for a single off season.
  3. PseudoSABR
    The problem wasn't the compensation, per se, it was the forfeiture of a draft pick; there'd be nothing prohibitive (in signing such a player) about compensating the former team as long as the signing team gives up no draft-pick. I don't see lowering the qualifying offer as realistic either; but certainly the way the market played out last winter indicates it probably should be, if such a system is going to work. And I agree, the system isn't working if it leaves marketable, good players unemployed.
  4. PseudoSABR
    Right. I think it's interesting to note that both Drew and Morales are getting paid more for their shorten seasons than Cruz is for his entire one. Cruz may have taken a short term loss, but he'll likely receive a much more significant return. What's so surprising is that Boras not only mismanaged the market he undervalued the worth of team's offseason programs for players including spring training; seemingly he believed his own facilities and people could replace such programs.
  5. PseudoSABR
    The problem is punishing teams (even bad ones) for trying to get better. The compensation part of the qualifying offer I see as a positive. It allows for teams to retain star players without the future commitment, and be compensated if they leave. That the QO was set too high (at 14) was also a problem, and I wonder if we'll see that number go down this year.
  6. PseudoSABR
    I tend to agree, and we'll have a better idea at the end of your given his production. While Vargas may turn out to be a competent player, the Twins can't wait on every prospect; he'd be a valuable trade chit in any case.
  7. PseudoSABR
    My point, nor I think Cameron's, was to cast judgment on Morales. But as little as 84 at bats are, they have added weight when Morales, if healthy, may only have an additional 300; his season is already one-forth over. Morales', and Drew's, value heading into the next offseason will be depreciated as a result. I think this may work in the Twins favor, as they may be able to resign him cheaply (though that would block Vargas).
  8. PseudoSABR
    I think you have a point. But one year deals aren't awful in general, and in particular, I'm not sure it holds true to these specific players and teams. Texas, Mariners, and Boston probably would have been fine with keeping Cruz, Morales, and Drew.
  9. PseudoSABR
    Dave Cameron (of fangraphs fame) explores just how poorly Morales and Drew have played and further its possible ramifications on free agency. We all know how bad Morales has been, but Cameron really rubs it in: Yeah, that lack of defensive flexibility really hurts; especially now, given the Mauer injury. But what I find interesting is Cameron's point about the impending market next winter, a winter the Twins should have money to spend. Indeed, we might see fewer top-tier free agents next year as a result of what happened to Drew, Morales, and Cruz (though the latter stands do much better than the formers next year, even if he took short term losses). It's too bad for the Twins, who will have money to spend. The players who will decline arbitration are likely players out of the Twins price range, and the remaining free agents for one reason or another weren't even offered arbitration. (Conversely, I think it could make for a sellers market during the trade deadline). In any case, the Twins might have positioned themselves to resign on Morales on the cheap if he can't turn it around.
  10. PseudoSABR
    I'd guess that the other teams that were exploiting the weakness paved the way for Smalley and Bruno to notice it (perhaps independently).
  11. PseudoSABR
    Normally, I'd agree with you, but in the international market, quality is pretty fungible--the distance for these guys from the major is immense, and rarely do prospects like Sano emerge as such obvious quality investments. Given the higher risk, it does make more sense to spread out that risk over many players rather than a few.
  12. PseudoSABR
    Vargas would only come up in a similar emergency situation as Polanco did; if he keeps hitting, we might see him in September. Vargas lack of position flexible certainly hurts his ability to be a early call up, as he has literally no defensive value.
  13. PseudoSABR
    I love that episode where she loses her ability and Riker tells her off. I think it's called the Loss, but it's worth watching just because of how much the Jonathan Frazen (as Riker) seems to enjoy putting Troy in her place. For such a supposedly progressive show, TNG had unforgivably dated women characters and plotlines. All the Geordi-centric episodes were god awful too.
  14. PseudoSABR
    Enterprise is good. It took me a while to get over the fact that it wasn't continuing into the future. But the characters and writing are probably more authentic than any other Trek show, though still very much trekkie.
  15. PseudoSABR
    DS9 really made use of narrative arcs spanning episodes and even seasons at the very end. While nearly all of TNG is stand alone episodes, DS9 moved towards a narrative structure that popularizes nearly all the successful shows. You can really see Ronald D. Moore's (Battle Star Gallatica producer/writer) influence as DS9 grows up.
  16. PseudoSABR
    Hey, as a kid I was a totally into TNG, but I have trouble wrapping my mind around how Wil Wheaton has any cache even among sci-fi circles; his character was a spoiled douche, and I hated him as a kid. Though Wil, seems like a amiable adult that hardly forgives his TNG performance.
  17. PseudoSABR
    There's the attitude that suggests that "it can't hurt to ask." But, imo, that just sours business relationships, because it shows not only a lack of respect but also seriousness. The Astros will be interesting to watch in the following years.
  18. PseudoSABR
    I was going to post this too, Levi. Here's the mlbtraderumors link which consolidates some other sources.
  19. PseudoSABR
    Because he can be a valuable asset going forward, even if less valuable than May. You don't pass up assessing what could be an asset, just because you have another supposedly better long-term asset who is also seems ready. Pino's development wouldn't be hindered by being jerked up and down in the rotation, as much as a younger player. Sure, Pino, could turn into Albers, which could turn into a million bucks, which could turn into an international signing. These are small transactions that help build the depth of club.
  20. PseudoSABR
    I don't know, honestly. Just because the answer isn't obvious or readily available doesn't mean it doesn't exist. Player development isn't as simple as pointing to quantifiable evidence as the only measure with which to base a promotion. I won't speculate over the human element, but I imagine the Twins have their specific reasons (right or wrong). Again, if the Twins have NO reasons to hold May back, why are they doing it? The answer to the question is too absurd to me (because they are stupid or cheap or not really trying to win), so I believe they do have legitimate reasons to hold May back (rightly or wrongly).
  21. PseudoSABR
    Honestly, this debate is like the Kyle Gibson paradox from last year. Premise (1):Kyle Gibson succeeds at the ML level immediately Conclusion: The Twins waited to long to promote him. Premise (2): Kyle Gibson fails at the ML level initially. Conclusion: The Twins waited to long to promote him. I question really how much of debate is happening in this thread. There's a lot of puffy rhetoric, but if the conclusions being drawn are inflexible, there's no room for debate.
  22. PseudoSABR
    Rosario's not on the roster, but I can see him being part of the CF plan by the end of the month.
  23. PseudoSABR
    CF depth!
  24. PseudoSABR
    Either: 1) We accept that the Twins are earnestly trying to win now while balancing that with player development, especially being conservative with pitching talent. The Twins may have specific plan for May that they believe is in his and the team's best interest. Or: 2) The Twins are secretly rebuilding and saving as much as they can, and the win-now mantra is a bit of hegemony for the fanbase. While they know May will succeed, they hold him back because it benfits their longterm cause (continued bamboozling the public with the mere specter of winning). The Twins, rather than winning, want to reward journeyman players because it gives them warm fuzzies (they got a really nice greeting card from grammy Pino). While the Twins may be wrong about their evaluation of May's future success, their delicate touch with pitching prospects is hardly head-scratching. And in my mind it's prudent, as May's success (and capacity to help the team win now) is hardly a forgone conclusion, much less at the start.
  25. PseudoSABR
    You're not seriously blaming the coaches are you? Why must the Twins management/front office be held accountable for every player mistake, injury, and slowed player development?
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