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PseudoSABR

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Everything posted by PseudoSABR

  1. PseudoSABR
    You can have Avila for a second round Milb pick.
  2. PseudoSABR
    Let's make it clear, if the Twins win, it won't be because they relied on their clubhouse culture or because they signed a 30-year old 2-3WAR player for ten million bucks a year, it will be because Buxton and Sano (along with Berrios, Meyers, and Stewart) have emerged as stars. The Pirates lost for 30 years, and McCutchen arrived in 2009. The Pirates last year filled there roster out on a few FA veterans they expected to rebound Liriano, Martin, Grilli; and they're payroll is still paltry and they probably won't make the playoffs this year. The Royals know well what it means to depend only on their prospects, though they overreached when trading Meyers for Shield. Do we really want to see 2015-2019 be like the Royals from 2008 to 2012? I'm not sure how you can suggest that the culture doesn't impact the success of young players. Having veteran, productive players as mentors, when the team isn't cap stashed, seems smart.
  3. PseudoSABR
    I think this is probably a bit unfair to the likes of Morales, Willingham; not everyone wishes to maximize they're pay through employment, it's pretty common for workplace conditions to factor in to any decision of whom to work for. That said, thanks for the willingness to go back-and-forth with humor and flexibility.:th_alc:Cheers.
  4. PseudoSABR
    Teams that give unproven players 1000 of at bats to prove themselves lose. There seems to be an assumption that players like Vargas and Pinto will prove themselves, and will be equal or better than Morales in the near future. If that assumption were a guarantee, we'd all agree with you. Morales on a short deal only hurts the Twins if Vargas and Pinto will out-produce Morales over the next two years; we've seen how long it takes hitters to develop, from Parm to Plouffe, to Cuddy, to Hicks, etc. Mere repetition doesn't create major league hitters, it's making adjustments, and sometimes that needs to happen in the minors. I just think they'll be plenty of at bats to go around given injury, developmental set backs, an ever evolving roster.
  5. PseudoSABR
    Even though we're not winning, per se, the team is doing better. That a veteran in Morales, and frankly lots of others, expresses such adoration for the club suggests something about our culture (even in spite of winning). So Morales helps maintain that culture and pass it on; that he's Hispanic, I think, also matters. Again, this is a fungible concept. I see it this way. 1) We have the cash. 2) We do not have enough ML hitters to fill DH (Vargas and others are yet unproven). 3) Any redundant assets can be dealt to help the club. 4) Depth isn't sexy, but it really does matter.
  6. PseudoSABR
    Thanks for the correction and the story. I kept thinking that I've always gotten the spelling of the A's GM's name wrong. Mea Culpa/My Bad (It's a good story, and I was too excited to post it). In Bean's press address*, it's hard not to see his sense of gratefulness at such an opportunity. *His words appear in the video at the top of this article.
  7. PseudoSABR
    On paper, it's a good call. Culture actually matters in sports (and I believe in all organizational structures). We can't put it on paper (sorry positivists), but keeping the fans semi-interested, keeping guys around to semi-coach younger players (ala Morales coaching up Arcia on playing through and hard (via another poster via the radio)), not selling low on a paid-for commodity, that Parm, Vargas and other DH options are yet totally unproven. I think the best bet for success is to have our best prospects arrive in a winning culture or rather not the vacuum of losing you would have.
  8. PseudoSABR
    Major League Baseball* announced, using the All-star stage (or shade?), that they have designated Billy Bean to prepare the sport for LGBT athletes and employees. Bean sounds like a class act. *Unlike the NFL (here's some further discussion).
  9. PseudoSABR
    Who the heck said that? But he'll probably improve his stats this year over the next year or two, not because he's getting older (or fatter), but because he'll go through a normal offseason and preseason.
  10. PseudoSABR
    How would you spend the money to make a better than 80-win team? If we were inclined to overpay, does that mean we want more wins?
  11. PseudoSABR
    I, for one, felt very rewarded by Justin's return to Target Field. Justin had the opportunity to explain his mutual respect for Twins fans; he describes his reception from the crowd as moment he'll never forget. Speaking about it, Morneau struggled to contain his emotion. He misses us.
  12. PseudoSABR
    My view: one in hand (Morales) is worth two in the bush (Vargas, Pinto). The truth is you can have all three, and they'll be need for each. I'd extend Morales on two notions: 1) that he can contribute 2) that he'll better optimize his trade value after this season. Saving cost with Vargas, leaves the Twins lots of money to spend on... evidently no one, as we should be promoting more prospects sooner.
  13. PseudoSABR
    Darren WolfsonVerified account‏@DarrenWolfson Talked w/ Scott Boras. Gushed about how much Morales likes it here. Said a long-term marriage is certainly in play. #mntwins Mlbtraderumors link.
  14. PseudoSABR
    Broken clocks, blind squirrels, VodkaDave.
  15. PseudoSABR
    Well, it's the Allstar break, and my team had it's best week, but is only back at .500. I imagine I'll do alot of standing pat this year, unless I can get good value for a guy like Hamilton or Gallardo; but my roster is can probably hold onto both those guys as it is so young. I've gotten a lot of minor league depth on the waiver wire. While I cringe that I gave up Berrios for Bucholz, it's far easier to replenish prospects than star players. How do you the rest of you feel about your teams?
  16. PseudoSABR
    http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=espn:11187969 Is it a why-haven't-we-already-done-this or do-we-want-the-drunks-to-serve themselves moment? Well, Self-serve beer stations will be available for All-star goers at Target field. I think some field research is needed. Any volunteers? I guess the All star game demands heavy drinking.
  17. PseudoSABR
    Here's an ESPN chat log with lots of interesting tidbits, though Eric Karabell is a fantasy guy more than a prospect guru, but Chris Crawford seems to know his stuff, though most his work is behind the paywall.
  18. PseudoSABR
    So you're point is that a year from now you'll have a point? It seems extreme to press that issue. While someone like May may have shown success this year (or ended up like Gibson last year), the Berrios promotion seems totally appropriate given his age, prior season success, current success, and workload. Why press the issue of slow promotion here? Right. The Twins would have been better off if these guys were getting playing time before they actually had established themselves in the upper minors! That the Twins try to obtain value from devalued older players is somehow a fault to be used against them.
  19. PseudoSABR
    What's extreme is using aggregate notions about peak years to any one case. What's extreme is assuming the best data (whether it's minor league numbers or aggregate studies) available overrides unquantifiable issues like maturity, injury history, fit, ability to handle missteps, coachability, etc. What's extreme is bolding key words for emphasis. What's extreme is suggesting the Twins actually promote people after their peak years.
  20. PseudoSABR
    Right. The choice doesn't really make sense. So there must have been some sort of impasse. If we accept that not all coaches can work with all players, and we realize Worley isn't going to figure it out under Anderson, do we still simply hold onto Worley so other teams can't have him? Maybe Anderson is part of the problem, but the Worley situation is a murky indictment of his coaching prowess. Look, I get that it kind of sucks that Worley goes on to be successful; it's bittersweet. For every Worley who goes onto succeed (after four games), there's a Slowey who is exactly what the Twins thought he was, and utilized his best years. In fact, I remember similar arguments about Anderson and the Twins giving up on players emerging when Slowey had a short run of success a couple years ago.
  21. PseudoSABR
    Here's some reports from that BP chat, gunnarthor pointed to. Can anyone confirm that Berrios is going to AA today?
  22. PseudoSABR
    In my opinion, successful coaching (or teaching) needs to be process-based; if a specific coach has a philosophy, a strategy to carry that out, and a method of communication, you have a good coach if you believe in the philosophy. (I know some don't believe in Andy's/the Twins philosophy, but that's not poor coaching per se). Not all players are going to blossom under any one system or coach; so evaluation needs to be case by case. For instance, to whom do we credit for the improved starting pitching across the board (save Nolasco) from April until now? Should we Anderson get credit for that drop in ERA or do we give it to the pitchers? You can't just make sweeping judgments of blame and credit.
  23. PseudoSABR
    That's without May, Vargas, Polanco, Rosario, Santana or Pinto. Our upper minors are downright scary. Add Thorpe, Gonsalves, Kepler, and Gordon. There's a dozen guys who could be garner top-100 consideration during the offseason.
  24. PseudoSABR
    Nolasco isn't quite as bad as his numbers. His BABIP is .362, fifty points higher than his career. His xFIP is a non awful 4.15. However, he is allowing about 50% more homeruns and striking out one batter less per nine innings, and those aren't positive trends when combined with bad luck.
  25. PseudoSABR
    This. I think that helping of waiver-wire pie probably allowed for Worley to take reassessing his mechanics more seriously. The Twins have gotten miles of out junkball pitchers (too many miles that it left the FO office arrogant, imo); sometimes the coaching tactics and personality will jive with a player and sometimes it won't. I don't think one coaching staff success (Pittsburg's) should necessarily be an indictment of another staff. Good for Worley though, I hope it lasts.
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