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SwainZag

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Everything posted by SwainZag

  1. SwainZag
    There isn't a lot of hope? The Twins should go into next year with 1 maybe 2 players above the age of 30. The entire core of this team is under the age of 28. I know everyone is on the extremely pessimistic, all hope is lost, fire everyone train, but good lord. Injuries decimated this ball club this season. The 2023 already looks a lot better on paper than the 2022 did coming into the season and we are months from opening day. Call me optimistic, but IMO the pessimism has gone off the dead end around here.
  2. SwainZag
    I've posted this before, but here's what I would do: If he opts out of the final 2 years, I offer 7 years - $200M. 2023 - $35M 2024 - $35M 2025 - $26M 2026 - $26M 2027 - $26M 2028 - $26M w/player opt out 2029 - $26M w/player opt out. Contract would still give him the original $70M for the two opt out years, but would be adding a 5 year - $130M extension on with 2 opt out years at the end of the deal. Realistically there might be more lucrative offers out there, but I would imagine it would be somewhere in the ballpark. It would also give him some flexibility in the last 2 years if he wanted to opt out and try for a last multi-year deal right after he turns 32. With the current year, total contract with Twins would be 8 years, $235M which comes out to $29.375 AAV. It's about $3M a year short of what Seager got last year. You could always tack on some incentives to up the ante, or add $4M per year and add $20M onto the deal to put it on par.
  3. SwainZag
    Yeah, I see the 1st 20,000 get the hat. The game I went to after every half inning they listed like 20 numbers.....I think it was seat numbers or maybe raffle tickets, but they gave away a ton of stuff. The guy in front of me got a signed 87 World Series jersey.
  4. SwainZag
    I made it out to Minnesota in April and saw a 3 game set. I would most definitely try to go as many of the 6 games left I could if I was anywhere close to making it manageable. I absolutely love going to the ballpark, especially at discounted prices. I'm not sure if they still do all the giveaways during the fan appreciation nights, but I won a really cool retro Joe Mauer jersey in one of Target Field's first years. Edit: I have never seen another Mauer jersey like it. It's this one but Mauer with the 7.
  5. SwainZag
    I would take him back in a heartbeat. The Twins should have decent money freed up with declining the options of Sano, Bundy, and Archer. Sanchez is set to be a FA.....and decisions can be made on Kepler and Urshela. Optimal situation in my book is Correa stays and they still have room to add.
  6. SwainZag
    So you are assuming anyone that has been called up this year was strictly because of injuries and no one was promoted on performance? Any specific examples of players performing well being denied a shot? I believe this was an issue with the old FO, but the current one has been pretty aggressive with promotions of deserving players.
  7. SwainZag
    The only prospect they traded in their Top 20 from 2021 was Petty. Ryan, Duran, Miranda, and Winder all graduated off the Top 10. Martin and Balazovic both dropped pretty considerably in their rankings. Trades did not gut their farm system.
  8. SwainZag
    If you can see into the future and see which pitchers are going to avoid the IL, there's a lot of money to be made out there.
  9. SwainZag
    Who exactly have the Twins been cautious with lately? They have used 15 players this season who are 25 or under.
  10. SwainZag
    He seems like an outstanding person, but I cannot wait for Salvi to retire. He pretty much has a full season of baseball against the Twins and he just doesn't let up. 157 games played. 31 doubles, 3 triples, 31 HR, 102 RBI. .292/.322/.508/.831.
  11. SwainZag
    For me it was the age of the team, especially on the pitching end of things. Their opening day starter had thrown 5 career games before this season. Expectations were probably looking at a team around .500 and if some of the many young players stepped up this year, a shot at a playoff spot. They probably didn't count on nearly every young player missing a major portion of the season. Those would include: Winder, Sands, Alcala, Paddack, Lewis, Kiriloff, Larnach, and Jeffers, IMO both Archer and Bundy were signed as stopgaps that were hopefully going to be replaced by Winder/Sands/Balzovic as the season progressed. The same went for some of the bullpen arms. When nearly all your young pitching misses most of the season, that plan went out the window. All the players they added at the deadline, minus Fulmer, are controlled for at least another season. We did have a few bright spots with Ryan, Miranda, Duran, a surprising Nick Gordon and of course Arraez. Unless we think that everyone on the team is injury prone, there should be a lot of options next year. Starting Pitchers that "should" be options: Maeda, Mahle, Gray, Ryan, Ober, Varland, Winder, Sands with SWR seemingly fighting his way as well. That's a lot of options. The bullpen will start with: Duran, Jax, Lopez and Thielbar which is looking a whole helleva lot stronger than they started with in 2022. If you would have told anyone on this site that the following players (Celestino, Garlick, Cave, Contreras, Beckham, Billy Hamilton) would combine for 653 PA and the season wasn't over yet, they would have told you this team probably isn't competitive. They combined to hit .216/.263/.391 with 18 HR and 56 RBI. You can blame it on the FO, or you can blame it on the slew of injuries to the young guys who the FO probably planned on taking the majority of those PA's. That's why I am optimistic for 2023 and why I think 2022 ended up falling pretty flat. There is a huge sum of players under the age of 27 the Twins got little to zero value out of that all should be in play next season. Then again if you are one to believe the Twins are just cursed and everyone is injury prone, then realistically they have no options and they are in another awful situation next year.
  12. SwainZag
    Why would they trade Gray? His $12M team option seems like a no brainer and he should be realistically in line to starting Opening Day next season.
  13. SwainZag
    https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/pitch-tempo?season_start=2022&season_end=2022&n=250&split=no&team=MIN&type=Pit&with_team_only=1 Gray is pretty average with bases empty, but it's a slog when they are on base. Pagan is just slow all the time.
  14. SwainZag
    If the Playoffs started tomorrow, Games 1 and 2 would almost no doubt be Gray and Ryan.
  15. SwainZag
    I think the biggest disappointment this year has come to young players who have hit the IL. Paddack, Jeffers, Winder, Sands, Larnach, Kiriloff, Lewis have all missed MAJOR time. All guys who were expected to at least contribute if not take the step to be a regular staple all lost for a good portion of the season. That's the main injury concern in 2022 IMO.
  16. SwainZag
    Finally got to see the game re-play. Outside of that 3rd inning...Joe Ryan looked like an ace, too bad there was that 3rd inning. Moran's stuff was filthy tonight. When he has his control he looks like he could be one of the better relievers out there. Gordon should have been standing on 3rd base, no doubt about it, mental mistake that would have given them a nice chance to tie the game. They had their chances in the 9th too with Luis and Carlos, would have been an awesome come back. Oh well, they aren't going to win every night and it was nice to see them with some fight tonight after spotting the Sawx 6 runs. Put me in the camp who does not think Correa has been disappointing, even though he hit into the DP tonight. I expected a little more with the bat, but he is right on career lines of OPS+.
  17. SwainZag
    I still have hope for Martin. With being a college player and missing 2020, he is only in his 2nd season in the minors. His age is a little concerning, but I hope they are willing to be patient with him.
  18. SwainZag
    If he opts out of the final 2 years, I offer 7 years - $200M. 2023 - $35M, 2024 - $35M, 2025 - $26M, 2026 - $26M, 2027 - $26M 2028 - $26M w/player opt out, 2029 - $26M w/player opt out. Contract would still give him the original $70M for the two opt out years, but would be adding a 5 year - $130M extension on with 2 opt out years at the end of the deal. Realistically there might be more lucrative offers out there, but I would imagine it would be somewhere in the ballpark. With the current year, total contract with Twins would be 8 years, $235M which comes out to $29.375 AAV. It's about $3M a year short of what Seager got last year. You could always tack on some incentives to up the ante.
  19. SwainZag
    IMO the seat under Rocco isn't even a little warm.
  20. SwainZag
    The Twins have used 12 players 25 years or younger this season already including at least 10 players considered rookies. The only "aging" veterans who probably will not be on the roster is Archer, Leon and possibly Thielbar, otherwise everyone is under the age of 31.
  21. SwainZag
    I think on the broadcast last night they said 8 of the last 12 games the Twins had were against left handed starters. Garlick crushes lefties to the tune of a .928 OPS this season. Seems that bat in the lineup would have been a massive upgrade over Beckham's .100 batting average, Gordon's .627 OPS vs L, or Kepler's .655 OPS vs L.
  22. SwainZag
    They got him from the Yankees at the deadline. His 4 game run since the trade is pretty much as historic as they come.
  23. SwainZag
    To show how bad that ump was night: He was equally bad for both sides, but 66% called strike accuracy is just beyond awful
  24. SwainZag
    The Twins lost nealry 90 games last year, replaced nearly the entire pitching staff and rolled with more than 50% of a 25 man roster of 1st or 2nd year players this season for a good portion of the season. For most intents and purposes, THIS year was/is a rebuilding year. There is absolutely zero reason to burn it down with the amount of young talent on the roster and IL right now. I understand that some disappointment should be felt after the hot start to the year this season, but anyone that expected some 95-100 win team from the roster that was ready to go on Opening Day, especially in the pitching realm, would have been called crazy. Injuries have been a huge bummer, but there has been a lot of promise from young talent. A winning season should probably be looked at as a win this season after year's S-storm and something to build on for next year. Maybe that's too half full, but the Twins are in a better position than a lot of clubs around the league. Edit: Fuzzy details
  25. SwainZag
    I don't think you are in the minority, Gardy managed some very good ball clubs...he just got aged out. Wish I could have been at the field and shook his hand last night it looked like he was enjoying himself.
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