The more I look at the Shields, the more I question why we would want the Twins to trade for him, even with including Nolasco's contract. Shields turns 34 this upcoming offseason, is owed $21M per season for the next 3 years. Obviously the guy is a workhorse, this being the 9th straight year of tossing 200+ innings. Should that be a cause for concern? That's a lot of mileage on an arm. While 2015 could have been a down year for him, there are some concerns. His BB/9 was double the year before and 150% higher than his career average while his HR/9 was the highest it's been in 6 years, while he leads the league in giving up HR with 33. This all coming with a switch of leagues from the AL to the NL and pitching in one of the more pitching friendly parks in the MLB. His FIP of 4.46 is a career high. The good news is his velocity is still right around his career average and his K/9 was a career high this year. Kyle Gibson on the other, while no spring chicken, will finish just his 2nd full season in the bigs. While not the most consistent guy, he improved for the 2nd straight year. His K/9 has gone from 5.1 to 5.4 and now to 6.7 this year. His control gets him in trouble sometimes, but he looks to a guy getting better, opposed to aging and while already having TJ surgery, has a whole lot less mileage on his arm than Shields. He isn't even eligible for arbitration until 2017. I understand in the trade scenario listed that Nolasco and his $12M for the next 2 years goes, but I would take Gibson + $8M over the next 2 seasons and $21M in 2018 minus Gibby's arbitration number to vastly out produce Shields in the 3 year time span. Just my 2 cents on the Shields trade scenario.