Your logic "If you think your squad has a chance, then you need a closer, not a pen of questions" is solid, but the choice of Capps was obviously incorrect. The Twins could have had a similar bullpen arm AND the pick. Here are the 'closers' signed in 2012, their salaries (mil), and finally their 2012 WAR (FG): 1 YR Deals: Matt Capps, 6, -0.1 Jonathan Broxton, 4, 1.3 Ryan Madson, 6, 0 Francisco Cordero, 4.5, -0.8 Octavio Dotel, 3, 1.5 Brad Lidge, 1, -0.2 Jon Rauch, 3.5, 0.4 Fernando Rodney, 1.75, 2.2 Francisco Rodriguez, 8, 0.3 Multi-YR Deals: Heath Bell, 6, 0.4 Frank Francisco, 5.5, 0.1 Joe Nathan, 7, 1.7 Jonathan Papelbon, 11, 1.4 The Twins weren't eveer going to go multi-year on a 'closer', so looking only at that first group, the Twins could have had better production from nearly all of that group AND received a draft pick AND paid less is nearly every case. This is why their logical was flawed for signing Capps. Those that signed a one year deal, what was their WAR the previous season? You would be basing your decision on what they have done and anticipate continuation. When used as a closer, what was Capps WAR when healthy? He wasn't this year.