This is true. A 2012-Orioles-like team is highly likely to show up next year, competing out of nowhere at the deadline. Hell, even the Indians were "contenders" in June. The flip side of the coin, though, is that the risk/reward equation disfavors the Twins if either gets off to a sluggish start and can't be flipped, or if either gets injured and just becomes deadweight. This is sort of the equivalent of flipping houses. You buy not because you want to live in it but to make a quick buck. Sometimes it works and you make out like a bandit, but if it falls through your leverage quickly leads to a total loss. I'm of the old school, I guess. If you don't want to own it, don't buy it.