70charger
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Everything posted by 70charger
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Can you even do that? I mean, what's to stop a current team from making a qualifying offer even if the player doesn't want it? Besides, at the level of qualifying offer, I'm not sure many players would complain about another year. If they were in a position where even a qualifying offer was low, there will be teams out there who will be willing to take the draft pick hit to sign the player because he's that good. The reason Lohse and Bourn are stuck in limbo is because they're not good enough to get an offer any higher than the qualifying amount and they turned down the offer from their former team. It was their choice to be picky without being good enough to back it up.
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Out of personal curiousity I looked into the player-coach thing. Looks like 1976, he was a true player-coach, as the Twins named him a coach and he still played in 67 games from April to August. That offseason, he managed the Los Mochis team in the Mexican winter leagues, then became a basecoach for the Twins the following year.
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AP: Twins counting on Steinbach and Bruno
70charger replied to John Bonnes's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
When it comes to Butera, what the hell else are they gonna talk about? Analyst: "So Drew, looks like you went oh-fer again. Let's talk about how you handle a pitching staff." Butera: "Yes, let's talk about that." -
His fielding did look acceptable (that's a good word for it; he's not gonna cause any Ben Revere-style Bertgasms). I was pretty blown away by his AAA stats last year too, but I'm trying to temper my expectations because we don't know for sure whether he'll put it together. To be honest though, I would not be terribly surprised to see him turn into an above-average MLB regular.
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Well apparently he has a hot girlfriend. I went to google his stats and autocomplete had "Reid Brignac girlfriend" ahead of "Reid Brignac Rays" and "Reid Brignac stats." What do the scouts say? Good baseball body and a hot girlfriend? We're good to go, I think.
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Article: The Road to Rebuild: Trading Away Assets
70charger replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It might depend on Parmelee. Specifically, whether he hits and can take over for Morneau at 1B without much of a dropoff, and/or whether he's a wreck in the outfield making him necessarily a 1B. I think there are some moving parts here. On the other hand, if the Twins aren't willing to commit years to a healthy and productive Morneau, they can always given him a qualifying offer at roughly the same amount they're paying him now. If he comes back, one more year of Morneau; if not, draft pick. -
Cue up Spirit of Vodka Dave....
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This is called "begging the question." It begins here: Rebuttal here: And the circle is completed here: In simplified form this reads: "I don't think he's as good a prospect as Kubel, and despite his hitting stats being just as good as Kubel's, my evidence for my position is that he isn't as good a prospect as Kubel. Please tell me you see the circularity.
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Fangraphs: Mauer not Swinging like a Man
70charger replied to PseudoSABR's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I'm not one to second guess a guy like Mauer, let's just get that out of the way to begin with. Though I do find it pretty crazy that he's swung at one 3-0 count in three years...That said, if Mauer were a big power guy, I'd say take a few more cuts on 3-0. Why not? But when you're a singles hitter, a single is often the functional equivalent of a walk. And even when there are guys on base who could move up more on a single, the context matters - Willingham isn't always going to hit a fly ball to right field. -
Is this going to become a thing?
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While I'm not really on board with bringing Bourn on board, I have to say that the original poster never said anything about a multi-year deal. My thoughts are that a one-year deal would carry a certain amount of risk, would definitely lose us a pretty good draft pick, and isn't likely to help us more than marginally in 2013. That said, everyone has a price. I think $20 million for a year of Bourn (even if the plan is to flip him) is outrageous, and I wouldn't consider it for a second. Now, if we're talking $1 million, I think we have a deal. Obviously neither $20 million nor $1 million is realistic, so where's the happy medium? At what max one-year salary would take the risk of injury/regression and loss of a draft pick to have the upside of protecting Aaron Hicks for a few months and the possibility of some marginal-to-good prospects at the trade deadline? Can't say as though I know, but I'd be curious to hear what those with more information would think.
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Just to continue this line of thought, the Twins' team relievers were 17th with a 3.77 ERA, while the starters were only "better" than Colorado, coming in at 29th with a 5.40. I maintain that at least a part of the relievers' performance numbers had to do with starters regularly going 3-5 innings, as well as running some crappy relievers out there (*ahem* Jeff Gray) to mop up innings when the Twins were already behind by six runs and didn't really care anymore. So again, lineup: reasonably average; relievers: reasonably average; starters: ****ty.
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More or less. They were a bit above-average in some respects as compared to the rest of MLB (10th in OBP, 11th in BA), but they were a bit below average in others (18th in OPS). You can weight it however you want, but regardless, you'll find that the Twins were reasonably average. They weren't blowing anyone away, but let's not pretend like they were anywhere close to the Mariners or Astros, etc. when it comes to batting suckitude.
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Look, I don't want to get anybody excited here, because I still have a lot to prove, and because Pedro Martinez was a great pitcher. But I've recently thrown a baseball, and Pedro Martinez has also thrown baseballs. Just sayin'. Kidding, I actually hope the Dozier to Gagne comp becomes a thing.
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I enjoyed this article. Last year, our lineup was reasonably average, our relievers were reasonably above-average, and our starting pitching staff exploded into one of the biggest, bloodiest debacles the Twins have seen in decades. I agree that the Twins didn't do as much as they could have to shore up the 2013 team, but is it relying on an unreasonable amount of luck to think that our staff this year will be better than the combination of Baker, Blackburn, Pavano, Marquis, Liriano, Swarzak, De Vries, etc., etc. from 2012? I don't think so. Hell, even having two or three of our initial starting five make it all the way through the season would be a vast upgrade. I also agree with the idea that we're playing with a bunch of lottery tickets (Plouffe, Parmelee, Hicks, Gibson, et al.), but these aren't Scratch and Win $100 cards. These are the mega millions kind of guys. But hey, what do I know? Apparently I'm nothing but a shill for the front office.
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Are they looking for someone with a "Good Computer Analytics Body"? Because I feel as though most of us would fit that description.
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That would be great. What are the odds he's a 2B vs. a SS?
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Not that they should have done that, but in the scheme of things, $700k is nothing to a major league team. If they have to cut him to make room for another player, they'll do it and their budget won't exactly be broken. I'd love to see Clement have some real success. He's got the talent, and although time is not on his side, if he puts it together, he could really hit.
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Fien was quite impressive, and I'd love to see him replicate his performance. My thoughts on Hendriks are in another thread, but suffice it to say I believe he'll become a good pitcher. Tyler Robertson is more of a riddle; I'm not sure he'll end up that effective, but I hope he does. I have heavy doubts about all three of Deduno, DeVries, and Walters, and if they're anything other than callups due to injury or something, then I think the Twins will find themselves on the losing end of lots of games.
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The front office is actively sabotaging the team? Do you also believe that the moon landing was done in a studio in New Mexico? Your post is bad, and you should feel bad.
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The other, and perhaps more important part of the Doumit-Butera equation is the fact that Doumit is useful otherwise. When Butera isn't catching, he's less useful than the Gatorade jug (his relief pitching stats notwithstanding). Doumit DHs, and is valuable there. He can also play outfield in a pinch, although I hate to rely on him to do it. And when he isn't playing, you can put him in in the 8th or 9th inning as a pinch hitter and not want to kill yourself. If it's strictly catching we're talking about, the balance is far closer to be sure, but Doumit is head and shoulders above Butera as a whole player.
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Very interesting, and exactly the kind of analysis I was hinting at in my earlier post (not that I was gonna do it...). Your skepticism of CERA is probably well-founded; I think it's pretty well accepted that hitting is easier to comprehend, and thus easier to create meaningful stats for. Butera doesn't really pass the eyeball test, and until we have some more reliable defensive metrics, and some better way of accounting for the randomness inherent in the defensive game, I think I'd prefer Doumit as the regular backup catcher, with Butera used only in a time of extreme need.
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Well... Maybe every five days or so.
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Not only is this way premature, but why the hell would you pay Appel over slot? He's a senior in college. Where's he gonna go? Indy?
