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Oldgoat_MN

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Everything posted by Oldgoat_MN

  1. Oldgoat_MN
    A few >3.0 WAR pitchers in that ~8% crowd Go Berrios!
  2. Oldgoat_MN
    I'm sure your numbers are all correct based on 100 innings. I was looking at qualified starters, which I think is like 160 innings. It's a custom table at FanGraphs, but maybe the link will work. Here
  3. Oldgoat_MN
    The only way I see them adding Alverez is if the new guys in the front office want to just have a DH competition in Spring Training with the best one or two going North. Baseball Prospectus said Alverez would be best used as a platoon DH. The Oakland As would do that but I can't see the Twins doing that. Yeah, I can't either. And the bullpen is really crowded. If they have given up on Park and listen to Molitor when he talks about Vargas maybe they will sign Alverez to DH. Then find a new DH next year. I would hate that. I mean, I think Alvarez can rake LH pitching, but I'd like to see more of what we have. I know they're the experts, but I'd still like more time.
  4. Oldgoat_MN
    Gordon - yeah, it looks like he can be a solid, average SS someday. That's great, but not what you might hope from a #5 pick. Romero - really anxious to see if he can keep close to the WHIP and K rate he's been showing! Diaz - why can't a guy who weighs 180 pounds figure out the outfield? If he can hit triples he can't be a statue. It would really help if he had some positional flexibility Jay - man I hope you're right! Javier - I really like it that you get excited by these really young players. This year should tell us a lot about him. Thanks Thrylos!
  5. Oldgoat_MN
    Had to be 2009 when we beat the Tigers in game 163. We didn't make the post-season in 2008.
  6. Oldgoat_MN
    If by 'drop that down to 5%' you mean that you expect it to jump 50% again when he comes up, I can appreciate that goal. I'm sure I do not need to tell you, Thrylos, that only 6 starting pitchers had a 5% or lower BB% in 2016. Your point is certainly valid. No SP with 160+ innings in MLB had a 12% BB rate. I also think, though, that if someone (limited number of people) coaches him well he can put up near the walk rates he was putting up in AAA. And yes, that coach is probably not on the Puerto Rico coaching staff. If he is we should hire him.
  7. Oldgoat_MN
    It would be nice to see Buxton take over and own the leadoff spot, but isn't OBP pretty much more important there than anywhere else in the lineup? Actually, all 3 of our OF look to provide good defense and all are woefully weak in OBP. Terrible, in fact. All 3 of them need to make great strides there or we need to find other options. Of 268 players with >=300 PA in 2016 Kepler, Rosario and Buxton ranked 191, 238 and 253 in OBP, respectively. Even Buxton's defense can't keep numbers like that on the field. They are all young and still learning MLB. This will be a very important stat to watch. Go Twins!
  8. Oldgoat_MN
    I agree that Gibson should not be a lock. I also think he and Santiago are almost the same pitcher. Santiago is a little younger and has had more success, but neither is setting MLB pitching stats on fire. I suspect both to be on a short leash early on. Issues with either could result in a trip to the bullpen as they see what Mejia, Duffey or whoever else doesn't make the initial starting rotation has to offer.
  9. Oldgoat_MN
    If I live to be a thousand years old I suspect I'll never see this. Really fun idea though. It would likely be a really interesting distraction.
  10. Oldgoat_MN
    You have Adalberto Mejia as an option in the bullpen. I believe they want to see if he can be a starter,. We'll see.
  11. Oldgoat_MN
    Yeah,I was there too. Absolutely electric. Thanks for being here.
  12. Oldgoat_MN
    ... Blyleven has no history of any kind of diagnosis of a mental illness or dementia,... To be fair, he's never been tested for such.
  13. Oldgoat_MN
    Joe Mauer has an uppercut swing?
  14. Oldgoat_MN
    I'm kinda nervous to LIKE anything you post now... I have enough people calling me that.
  15. Oldgoat_MN
    There were 25 DH last year with >= 100 at bats. Vargas was 8th in OPS, 9th in wRC+ and 5th in ISO. It wasn't luck either, as he was 12th in BABIP. I hope we get a chance to see what he is capable of.
  16. Oldgoat_MN
    As always, appreciate your diligent research. I'm kind of leaning toward the idea, though, that he will hit the FB better the more he sees of it. As Taildragger pointed out, many struggle against the breaking balls when the get the the Show and he has a pretty good handle on that. Obviously if he cannot catch up the FB he is screwed, but I'm guessing he will. KBO players as a group (the ones who have come to MLB) have shown to be pretty capable players. Glass half full. I know. Still, I want to believe.
  17. Oldgoat_MN
    He has a career 103 OPS+ for his short career. I'm going to focus on his 123 OPS+ from last year. He got jerked around by his manager last year, as did several other players. He seldom started against LH pitchers, even though he had a 1.262 OPS against them. And as has been noted on this thread and others, he seems to get benched when he's hitting well. I think it would be foolish not give him a regular slot, whether that be as the 1B when a LH is pitching or to try him against everybody. Basically we do not yet know what he's capable of. Vargas' use is one of the reasons I have no confidence in this manager at all.
  18. Oldgoat_MN
    I just typed up a post then erased the whole thing, Summary: This off-season is like those I am sadly used to.
  19. Oldgoat_MN
    Good question. I have no idea, but you'd think the players union would have thought of that.
  20. Oldgoat_MN
    Well, yeah. Has nothing to do with this post, though.
  21. Oldgoat_MN
    First of all, you do not save any cash if you DFA Mauer. You pay him $46M over the next two season whether he is on the roster or not. Second, I don't believe any other team would take on that salary based on where he is at in his career now. Third, he is still an on base machine. He was second only to Robbie Grossman last year with a .363 OBP while providing above average fielding at 1B. I like you thinking outside the box, but this isn't likely to happen this year.
  22. Oldgoat_MN
    What does Luis Arraez look like as a hitter? Does he have sufficient bat speed? What do the scouts say about him? For a 19 year old to post an .830 OPS in A ball is pretty sweet. I'd have more confidence in Gordon if he were to put up numbers like that at some level.
  23. Oldgoat_MN
    Well, we can narrow it down to 'not me'.
  24. Oldgoat_MN
    And what would you use? 234 PA is not a large sample size, but it is not nothing. And further, it is all we have. Reverse split? Hardly the point. If we are going to get someone to give Rosario and Kepler a break now and then shouldn't it be someone who feasts on LH pitching? Stubbs doesn't do that.
  25. Oldgoat_MN
    No question he's a smart guy. He may bring something good to the young guys on the pitching staff. I like it that he and his wife studied up on what might make a difference for him. I'm more intrigued than I was when I read the headline and looked at his recent stats. This could be interesting.
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