I've been Gibson's biggest proponent for a year now. But until this thread, I hadn't seen anyone compare him to a Hall of Famer, and as positive as the results have been for his first 2 starts this year, that was my objection for coming to sweeping conclusions on a player's career from 2 good, but shaky starts. Let me go out on a limb yet again and predict that Gibson won't average 215 an innings per year & average a 3.50 ERA over the next 20 years- even if he gets the same alleged advantage that Maddux and Glavine had. In looking at the F/X data from Kyle's first 2 starts, I'm not sure what you're seeing this year ( I know you wrote about Gibson getting screwed by the umps in 2013), but it's actually been the tale of two pitchers- Game 1- he had a tendency to wild high, with 4 out of zone/borderline strikes called with 6 in-zone balls called. http://pitchfx.texasleaguers.com/pitcher/502043/?batters=A&count=AA&pitches=AA&from=4%2F5%2F2014&to=4%2F5%2F2014 Game 2- most of his pitches were down in the zone and his wildness was low, with one out of zone strike called and 3 in-zone balls called. http://pitchfx.texasleaguers.com/pitcher/502043/?batters=A&count=AA&pitches=AA&from=4%2F11%2F2014&to=4%2F11%2F2014