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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    It's not the worst case. It's the best case. And you are shouldering the risk of up to 3 bad years at an even higher price than Nolasco, to gain it.
  2. ashbury
    Yeah, but the only way Shields opts out is if he has a very good year, good enough to create hopes for an offer greater than $21M a year. And in that case you don't want him to opt out. So that puts a serious cap on the upside a Nolasco for Shields deal would offer: you aren't trading for 3 good years of Shields, you are trading for (the chance at) 1. Seems to me you'd be trading mostly for the downside risk Shields carries. Sounds like 3-1 odds even if the chance of a bounceback season is 50-50.
  3. ashbury
    The human brain, and especially hand-eye coordination, already is a miracle. He suffered that concussion a year ago, and it's at least a mystery whether it has contributed to slightly degraded vision at the plate, and whether it will mend any further on its own given time. Healing's another kind of miracle. I don't think anybody has questioned Buxton's work ethic. So if repetition was the solution, the problem would already be solved. My prescription for the young fella is to relax this winter, maybe play a lot of video games to unwind, keep the mind off of sliders and curveballs, go fishing and let the batteries recharge, and then come to camp and see what happens. I think I read somewhere that there's a correlation between playing baseball and being good at certain video games, so my prescription is only partly tongue in cheek.
  4. ashbury
    I don't think he has to do anything miraculous, conversely the position shouldn't be just handed to him. What it should come down to next Spring is not his numbers, but the eyeball test: is he laying off the breaking pitches in the dirt, and is he giving a good whack to pitches in his zone? Pitch recognition was THE problem, even against AA pitchers last spring, and until that's not the problem or he has no more minor league options he should spend time in AAA correcting it. And because CF is a crucial position on any team, the roster will look like a jumble until a more viable Plan B is in place.
  5. ashbury
    What is all this fuss I hear about the Twins giving Casey Fien a Qualifying Offer? http://media.zenfs.com/en-US/video/video.snl.com/SNL_0007_13_Update_2_Emily_Latella.png
  6. ashbury
    Wow, somebody's mind got changed on an issue? This never would have happened, on Facebook.
  7. ashbury
    For the record, the moderation team has taken, and will continue to take, a dim view at attempts at jokes in this vein.
  8. ashbury
    There is a stat, Win Probability Added, that attempts to factor in the leverage of each game situation, and the fractional credit thus gained is added up over the entire season. The illustrious Gilmartin earned a 2015 season total of negative 0.4 wins. Good catch. http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/NYM/2015-pitching.shtml
  9. ashbury
    Plus cash. Don't forget the cash. 1999 was when cash was paramount to the Twins. They gambled and took the guy the Marlins wanted and made 'em pay, plus getting a usable spare part in return.
  10. ashbury
    If we send just to your teachers, maybe you can apply for a refund.
  11. ashbury
    LOL, because teh concussionzes.
  12. ashbury
    The thing that bugs me about Dean is that he spent his age-26 year at AAA, yet wasn't deemed by the Twins worthy of a September look-see in mopup duty, which would only have cost them the unusable Aaron Thompson being dropped from the 40-man (I think), but now they don't want him snapped up by some other team.
  13. ashbury
    Soon as I scrolled down and saw "Hard-Throwing Relievers With Control Trouble" I said, here we are.
  14. ashbury
    Molitor did try Sano in the 3rd spot, and was rewarded with a .587 OPS. Anybody else he might have tried, taking their full season stats at face value, among those with enough PA to qualify, would have raised our ranking in the above list to... next to last. Escobar at .754. There just weren't enough good options to cause Molitor's hand to be forced. One can argue that Sano should have been moved up from 4th to 3rd more often. Not a game changer. The problem was the roster itself. This is not yet a good hitting team.
  15. ashbury
    There would be some entertainment value in watching a corner infielder working in the bullpen, too.
  16. ashbury
    Definitely a good read.
  17. ashbury
    Minor league free agent deal? Sure. Rule 5? No way, not even if he were younger.
  18. ashbury
    "Here's your player back. I think we mighta broke 'im."
  19. ashbury
    I've just sent a note to b-r.com about the lefty-right mixup. We'll see if they respond. The fact milb.com has it wrong too suggests there's an error in the database the Twins provide.
  20. ashbury
    Plouffe is very slow afoot and would be a statue in the outfield. Sano is for the present still blessed with decent speed.
  21. ashbury
    Adding in major-league-ready, that is not trivial to acquire.
  22. ashbury
    Park is 3 years younger than Mauer and several pounds lighter in weight. I seem to recall Park has played a little third base, which suggests he's not a noodle arm. And I know from watching him on the basepaths that Mauer is slow. So I'd try Park out there sooner than I'd try Mauer.
  23. ashbury
    Kubitza is old enough that it strikes me either the Angels would rather just put him at third and not have to give up a relief pitcher, or else he's not good enough for the Twins to want to trade for.
  24. ashbury
    I did not know this term. Looked it up. Old Lady. LOL.* * I'm of an age where LOL used to mean Little Old Lady
  25. ashbury
    This is where the majority of Nishioka comparisons are coming from, IMO. The Nishi signing was a classic case of scouting failure, because reportedly the Twins were caught by surprise at his mechanical flaws when he showed up at camp. That was under the Bill Smith regime, and it was (for me) as much of a firing offense as anything else that happened during his term, the lack of accountability from the scouting staff. Now, under Terry Ryan, I would expect a tighter ship to be run in this department of the front office. But some fans are going to draw comparisons, and indeed if I had a chance to talk with Ryan I would ask him to compare/contrast the team's scouting in Asia 5 years ago to now, just for some reassurance. Ugh, I DON'T want to see this turn into a Bill Smith thread. But I at least had to invoke his name to make the point about the connection to this thread topic.
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