Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

ashbury

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    40,822

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    462

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    I'm sure the Twins front office will make the best of it, but there is simply nothing good about losing out on the chance to hire the best starting pitcher available, nor about losing several starts this season from a guy you are counting on. All of the "blessing in disguise" kinds of outcomes could happen at the expense of pitchers further down the pecking order.
  2. ashbury
    What's your position on Yellow Labradors?
  3. ashbury
    It's your thread. I guess you can thread-jack it if you wish.
  4. ashbury
    I can't locate the date, but the Halsey Hall Chapter of SABR had Paul Castner as a guest panelist at one of their semi-annual meetings, sometime in the mid-1980s probably since he died in 1986. I think he was the guy who answered, when asked for his memories of Ty Cobb, whom he probably faced (I see now as I check) one time in a game on October 2, 1923, "ohhhhhh, he was a miserable fellow". Which put him pretty much in the mainstream of contemporary thought in those days. / Why stuff like this is still etched in my memory, but I can't come home from the store with the things my wife asked for, I don't know.
  5. ashbury
    He hasn't been behind the plate in a game since 2012. If he did that in 2018, his quads or hammies would likely become the emergency.
  6. ashbury
    He won't. Sano and Buxton are under team control through 2021, Kepler and Berrios through 2022. By the time any of these are pulling down $20M a year or greater, Mauer and ESan contracts will be distant memories. Also I don't know of an "etc" who will be needing contracts of the magnitude to worry about in 2022; you named all the high-end young guys, with Rosario and Polanco likely a tier down in salary. Moreover, the Twin Cities are capable of supporting a $150M payroll if the team is winning; and if the players we're thinking about are able to demand the salaries you're worrying about, the team will indeed win. Dozier's probably the only outlier in this. If extending his contract requires $20M a year in 2022 and beyond, I favor trading him, or else giving him a qualifying offer and letting him walk, in favor of our young infielders. Sure, management has to worry about the negative "what-ifs", but they also need to plan for success. If the success doesn't materialize, then the plan at 2022 will be to pivot to some other strategy. That's why FalVine get the big bucks. With years of team control for the key players, and the few current high-ticket contracts coming off the books, it can't be possible for a 5-year Darvish contract now to be an insurmountable obstacle to anything.
  7. ashbury
    Paging Dr Glunn, Paging Dr Glunn, another 1K drop, the cat is lying motionless again, defibrillator paddles STAT!
  8. ashbury
    Fangraphs... Glossary... that was too tough a Google search for me to come up with today. Thanks for humoring me.
  9. ashbury
    Indians, eh? We should go examine their front office and raid them of a few up-and-coming bright lights.
  10. ashbury
    Is there a glossary for this chart? I can't remember all of the abbreviations.
  11. ashbury
    Perhaps you didn't live during the Cold War. But, you've never made microwave popcorn?
  12. ashbury
    To whom? If you mean us arm-chair GMs trying to pretend to keep up with the pros, perhaps. Not to the ones who designed the stat, though.
  13. ashbury
    He's now been traded twice for legitimate major league pitching, so evidently the scouts see something.
  14. ashbury
    Moya came to us from Arizona in exchange for catcher JR Murphy.
  15. ashbury
    Article comment threads don't usually go on this long, especially not ones based on a timely rumor. Start a new thread with a title that correctly names which week Darvish will sign, and see who joins you in conversation.
  16. ashbury
    Sylvestarrrrrrr.
  17. ashbury
    Why not both? "Thufferin' thuckotath, matey, ye'll be walkin' the plank if ye don't sign for just three years - yer dethpicable."
  18. ashbury
    That's gotta be Small Sample Size. Otherwise, you're arguing that, say, Buxton gets an initial read on a long fly ball, says "I might be able to reach that", then thinks twice and says, "nah, that one's on Gibby".
  19. ashbury
    Too bad the two guys he passes up in the pecking order don't get the same benefit.
  20. ashbury
    I'd try him at high-A. He'll go only as far as his bat will take him, because his glove seems to be legit, and his season numbers in CR weren't good, but I'm willing to give him a mulligan for the horrific first two months and accept his .721 OPS from June onward as a cherry-picked indication of learning. He'll only be in his age-20 season this year, so "merely" keeping at that OPS level through constant learning the rest of the way up the system would mean he'll get to the majors as a useful player and probably a starter eventually. No doubt his bat is a risk - I sense that his manager may have done additional cherry-picking of games for him to start - but to me it's questionable that another year begun at Cedar Rapids will actually do anything for him, confidence-wise or other-wise.
  21. ashbury
    This source says the Astros players' share of post-season money is $30.4M (divided up as they see fit, of course). It goes on to state that they derive from 60% of this and 60% of that, so I infer that the team gets something like a 40% share of the total, or about 2/3 of the players' share - i.e. about $20M. The article is full of good nuggets. I'm embarrassed to say that my other source, once again, is the Out Of The Park baseball game, and it seems to concur, giving the WS winner about $20M. Losing the one-game Wild Card seems to net a team about $1M, so it lines up at the low end too. OOTP is a bit eccentric about how closely it follows any given MLB rule; using it as a research source is perhaps a bit like using an Ernest Hemingway novel for a question about proper fishing technique - the basics might be close but there could be artistic license.
  22. ashbury
    Dow futures are apparently down another 1000 at the moment. The cat could still bounce, but right now it's just lying there. This still isn't into 10% "correction" territory yet, I should add. The numbers are just so huge anymore.
  23. ashbury
    It wasn't that long ago when I detailed my attempt to market-time the dotcom bubble ca 2000. So I'm not going there again - I'm just offering a cautious counterpoint - all that glisters is not gold, and not all that bounces is still alive. There is, however, a lot of money to be made in volatility. I'm just not expert enough to do it.
  24. ashbury
    Those with cash might make some money on a dead-cat bounce, at least as long as they are nimble and can get back out fast
  25. ashbury
    Now we learn the Lord doesn't answer every prayer:
×
×
  • Create New...