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Everything posted by ashbury
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Article: What If Miguel Is Really Kyle?
ashbury replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Perhaps you haven't seen the threads where the accusation has been discussed. There are some in the Forums area under Sports Bar - 4 threads by my count. -
Article: Three Prospects To Watch In 2018
ashbury replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm going to watch three longshot lefthanders, Jovani Moran, Bryan Sammons, and Ryley Widell. They all put up good strikeout numbers at Elizabethton in 2017, after being picked in the 7th and 8th rounds in the last several drafts, and lord knows we could use someone like these guys to break out and become legit prospects. Widell walked too many last year, but hopefully that's just a matter of harnessing his stuff. -
At the risk of stating the obvious, there are other threads in which to address this topic. Or start a new one. But please don't pursue the merits of the Sano allegations further in this thread.
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- eddie rosario
- miguel sano
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Nick couched this in terms of trade value (nil, given Joe's no-trade status) and future value (limited, with one year to go on the contract at age 35). A list based only on expected 2018 contributions might look different. It's hard to assign value when a player's contract has literally no possibility of being turned into some other asset.
- 55 replies
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- eddie rosario
- miguel sano
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Was there ever anything that came out about Jackie Robinson that would tarnish his status as a hero?
- 27 replies
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- miguel sano
- betsy bissen
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Well, I suppose that's the question. Is he unable to find the strike zone at will without giving up some "stuff"? Or is he purposely nibbling, in the belief he'd get hammered if he came in with more strikes?
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- stephen gonsalves
- ervin santana
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What about for someone who voted for Nixon?
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Article: Five Twins Players’ Resolutions
ashbury replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Kennys Vargas Resolution: Treat every plate appearance as though trying out for the team No more wasted at-bats. No more falling behind 0-2 on weak breaking stuff out of the zone. If his last at-bat in a Twins uniform occurs this season, make sure that the video of it shows it was a professional one.- 20 replies
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- jorge polanco
- joe mauer
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Article: Photographer Accuses Miguel Sano Of Assault
ashbury replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Mod note: I'm not sure which pages you mean by "these", but if you mean Twins Daily, then I don't foresee TD mods or admins placing this topic off-limits to other posters in the way you seem to imply. Readers are always entitled to move to the next thread that may interest them more. No different than practically any topic, really. The accusation against Sano is fair game for discussion - post respectfully, don't troll others, don't bicker, don't keep repeating the same points - business as usual here IOW. The Twins Daily Comment Policy is designed in large part for exactly these kinds of discussion.- 189 replies
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- miguel sano
- betsy bissen
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Article: Photographer Accuses Miguel Sano Of Assault
ashbury replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Why? Because it's not harassing? Or because it's not sexual?- 189 replies
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- miguel sano
- betsy bissen
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I have a bad memory for specifics, so I just now went back and looked at the first scene we ever saw with Marion. You probably remembered: she smiled, then socked him in the jaw. He replied, "I never meant to hurt you." I can chuckle, while still recognizing the disgust if that were really part of the background info we carried about any of the artists involved.
- 27 replies
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- miguel sano
- betsy bissen
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Article: The Twins Almanac for Dec 31-Jan 6
ashbury replied to Matt Johnson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I like these. Clicking Like wasn't enough. -
Concur. Minor league contracts with an invite to Spring Training are minor. Filling a 40-man roster spot means, at minimum, some kind of decision would have to be made in order to change course later. Especially the last 40-man spot. The evident intention with this signing is to include the pitcher on the active roster on Opening Day. It's not a signature signing, but it's not a thoughtless/offhand one either.
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Yeah, don't get me wrong, there is nothing the matter with the uncertainty inherent in any of these rankings (prospects or established major leaguers). You're calling it subjectivity, but really it's no different than the descriptive and predictive analytics that any business has to include in their planning, in the face of uncertainty. Baseball front offices used to be behind in these areas but probably have essentially caught up by now. I think I'm just saying that a ranked list makes the most sense when a metric has been decided on, no matter whether the way you carry it out involves a range of forecasts rather than (unattainable) certainty. When it's a blend of too many things, though, ranking stops making sense to me. It would be more like tiers - "prospects likely to make big contributions or even be stars", "prospects who have somewhat of a chance to make big contributions or even be stars", "veterans who could be the key piece in a big trade", etc etc.
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- taylor rogers
- adalberto mejia
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I don't know. I doubt I would be able to watch Indy's interaction with Marion the same way with that subtext. Not at all, now that I think about it. Ish, Ick, Ptooie.
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- miguel sano
- betsy bissen
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Article: Photographer Accuses Miguel Sano Of Assault
ashbury replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Moderator's Note: The discussion in these Sano threads has been basically constructive, but please don't bring in straw men arguments that create an extreme point of view to argue against, one which no one is actually proposing. Constructions like the one above lead nowhere. Not just the post I'm mentioning here, but in several other posts I've seen, and it leads to pointless digressions. Thanks.- 189 replies
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- miguel sano
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Article: 2017: The Year In Debuts
ashbury replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He had TJ surgery in 2013. Presumably we're past the timetable you might have in mind.- 21 replies
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- mitch garver
- zack granite
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I find myself wondering the same thing when prospect rankings come out. "A prospect ranked higher than another, means he... what? Would bring more if offered in trade? Has the higher ceiling? Has the higher floor? Has the larger expectation for total career WAR? Profiles to have the higher career earnings?" Usually the reply is "probalby a smidgen of all of those", which really makes me question the value of bothering to construct such rankings. A ranking suggests a precision that doesn't really exist unless there's a metric. Glad you indicated your metric here.
- 22 replies
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- taylor rogers
- adalberto mejia
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Article: Importance Of The 2017 Draft
ashbury replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
i picked him in TD's annual Adopt-A-Prospect project, and he didn't do anything to disqualify himself in his 2017 pro debut, so sure, I'll give some love.- 20 replies
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- royce lewis
- brent rooker
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He probably wishes he had tipped his catcher onto this, since he wasn't hitting his spots with his breaking pitches.
- 107 replies
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- brian dozier
- joe mauer
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Article: Twins Daily's Long-Term Future And Writers
ashbury replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I use my blog space here only sporadically. That area seems to draw fewer readers than the regular forum area. When I think to use it, it's when I feel like writing something I may want to refer to in the future - e.g. when I visit Spring Training. I messed around one time recently collecting a few of my posts of the past week for a little polishing up, but it didn't really go anywhere for me and I didn't repeat the attempt. Doubtful if I'd ever want to write on some deadline. I don't recall any of my postings being promoted to articlehood, and it was never a priority for me so I never inquired as to why-or-why-not. Now that it's being stated as a priority for a healthy site, I would try to do my part. Maybe "I don't know what they'd be looking for" sums up why I haven't approached this more systematically. As ThejacKmp stated, finding an un-met need is probably key. This thread starts to answer that question, and maybe John's followup post will clarify. -
I echo everyone else's kudos on the content. The covers? I have no eye for style but the 2012-14 "era" was a big step forward from it looking too much self-published, and starting with 2015 the cover looks really quite polished, with the photos slightly overlaying the text making it really pop out at you. I could imagine one of those sitting on a display table at Barnes & Noble fitting in with other top-notch publications. Brock was behind those, right? This year's, I have to say, seems like a small step backwards; but since my style sense is so bad, that probably means it's pretty good.
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- nick gordon
- royce lewis
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Article: What Do The Twins See In Tyler Kinley?
ashbury replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That's pretty cynical. Front offices view players and prospects as fungible assets. Being fungible means (in part) that where the asset came from doesn't matter, just its value in the marketplace. You don't just let an asset slip away willy-nilly - certainly not in an organization owned by someone named Pohlad. I've stated ways I am skeptical of some of the front office's moves, but sheer ego wouldn't be among them, at least not manifested this way about prospects. Off-field staff might be a different story - someone like Kinley or Bard won't pitch better or worse due to loyalty (or lack of same) to FalVine, but perhaps a mutual comfort level with scouts or player development staff or contract negotiators is necessary. -
Article: What Do The Twins See In Tyler Kinley?
ashbury replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
We probably differ on how competent evaluators do their job. Years ago we kept asking for Anthony Slama to get a fair shot, and we would see snippets in the press that said the evaluators were pretty sure his strikeout stuff wouldn't play up in the majors - and that seems to be how it played out for him. I don't compare Bard to Slama; I compare the process, which says that you can look at a prospect's body of work through the years, and use direct observation, to gauge his chances. Very few guys show up out of nowhere and make a big contribution. I think we're in agreement on the larger issue that losing a near-ready prospect should occur only if the FO felt they had a bead on someone who would be even better. I don't see that as very likely in this year's draft outcome. I would need to know more about their evaluations of these two players in particular, and also who they had on their radar who apparently got snatched away from them, before forming a firm opinion on whether this is a failure of evaluation or what.

