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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Unless adding Lynn was going to top the agreed-on budget cap, I can imagine DSP or JP saying, "put your hat back on and get outta here. Why are you even bothering me? One year? This is what I pay you to decide."
  2. ashbury
    I continue to believe that Pohlad doesn't stoop to that level of detail in the business. He likely does two big things, in conjunction with Dave St Peter: sets a general budget limit, and is in the approval chain for any contract longer than two years. Contracts of no more than two years will not be a likely burden to the next GM, if such a change would prove to be necessary. (If the front office were on thin ice, that approval process might become active for any multi-year contract.)
  3. ashbury

    IMG 5594

    ashbury posted a gallery image in Members Albums Category

    IMG 5594

    From the album: Surprise Saguaros 2017

    Tyler Jay
  4. ashbury

    Surprise Saguaros 2017

    Images added to a gallery album owned by ashbury in Members Albums Category

    Surprise Saguaros game, Thursday Nov 9 2017
  5. ashbury
    Going the other direction from Kershaw, how about Corey Kluber, who is undeniably a fine pitcher but who took a while to hit his stride. In 2011 at age 25 he made 27 starts at AAA Columbus, totaling 150 innings. That's just above five and a half innings - approximately his rate the previous 3 seasons too. The next season he was also at Columbus and started 21 games for 125 innings - stepping up to nearly 6 innings per at age 26. Carlos Carrasco by contrast looks like he was averaging 6 innings per start for 5 years in the minors. Think of some other pitchers and see what else you find.
  6. ashbury
    Greatest pitcher of all time? Or greatest human being of all time? (Yes.)
  7. ashbury
    Now that's a trend!
  8. ashbury
    Age surely plays a role in this. Kershaw came up to the majors at 20. Being on an innings limit at that age would seem standard. I compared game logs for Mejia and Berrios while writing my erlier post in the Lefties thread, and Berrios did indeed go deeper into games than Mejia during his stint in the high minors. But then, I'm not claiming Mejia has the same high-end potential than Berrios. Just - not so fast - let's not give up on him as a possible workhorse quite yet.
  9. ashbury
    No you didn't.
  10. ashbury
    I don't think they can set up some perpetual motion machine. They make some long term moves, they fill in with one-year deals. It'll be like this every year, in that view. So far, so good.
  11. ashbury
    Improve the team each year, that's all I ask. Our FO seems to have done this.
  12. ashbury
    One also needs to like their own life data being gathered a lot. https://www.engadget.com/2018/03/09/moviepass-the-new-face-of-unbridled-data-greed/ George Orwell was close: Big Brother is business.
  13. ashbury
    From a statistical point of view I'm sure you are correct. Call it a Worrisome Development, then. One year removed from TJS doesn't allow teams the luxury of waiting for a trend to develop before deciding. Their forecasting techniques need to be derived from other pitchers' experience instead, to give guidance. Let's hope they are right about Lynn - and as always, a one-year contract has a difficult time being truly bad. This signing has a chance to be really good, or it could be Jason Marquis-like.
  14. ashbury
    Moderator's note: Everyone, this is not a Terry Ryan thread. Start one, if you like.
  15. ashbury
    D'oh! You are quite right. I blame my fact-checker. Yeah, that's the ticket.
  16. ashbury
    The cost is the modest salary, plus the loss of a draft pick. If he performs well, we can give a qualifying offer and more or less get the pick back; if he doesn't, then we don't. Of course, after this off-season's experience, the draft pick maybe should be considered permanently gone; giving the QO may mean having him for another year.
  17. ashbury
    Okay, but you kind of omitted the other part of my post concerning breaking pitches, which I am more curious about. You can't combat launch angle with just fastballs, so which off-speed pitches should become more prominent? Might the knuckleball be poised for yet another comeback?
  18. ashbury
    Completely off-topic, but for some reason your quip reminds me of this: many years ago a hitting coach gave our youngest son, whose fear of getting hit by pitched balls in Little League had become crippling, this advice on what to do when a pitch is coming right at you: defend yourself by hitting it with the bat. / it didn't help and my lad didn't sign up for future seasons.
  19. ashbury
    For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction. From the pitcher's perspective, isn't a rising fastball the antidote to the attempt by the batter for a higher launch angle? Wouldn't that, and perhaps a trend toward more 9-3 breaking pitches rather than the 12-6 variety, negate a lot of hitters' success? The short-term result would be more of the Three True Outcomes style of ball, but batters would then respond accordingly.
  20. ashbury
    I could look, but I doubt I'll find any post that demands you like him. Still, I'll offer a point that I don't think was brought up recently, that his recent manager had rave reviews about Rodney's work ethic - tremendous was the word he used, I think. That, plus my understanding better about the silly hat thing, has me approaching the season with an open mind. I'm still not sure I'll be able to sit through many of his innings, though.
  21. ashbury
    Someone who looked at his final 3 starts of the season and concluded, "whoops, never mind about some mythical corner having been turned"?
  22. ashbury
    Ima stick my neck out and guess Ehire would volunteer too.
  23. ashbury
    http://s2.quickmeme.com/img/9b/9b4c5146e6cd2feeaa2067cb08cd0987076663267b84f939f51e29e2b966bdd4.jpg
  24. ashbury
    They aren't interchangeable. Escobar, when healthy, has a better than average bat for a middle infielder. His glove is so-so. Adrianza has a better rep on defense, but I have my doubts he would hit well enough if given regular duty. Either one can fill in defensively, in the outfield. I forget if one has been tabbed as an emergency catcher. On one hand, management could "pick their poison". Conversely, the two can coexist on a roster, and contribute, if no other needs are pressing.
  25. ashbury
    There are pitchers who have more pitches per plate appearance, and seem to do just fine. Corey Knebel of the Brewers threw 4.40, whereas Rodney threw 4.22 and the league average there was 3.80 - but his ERA was 1.78 and his WHIP and BABIP and so forth were decent looking despite a lot of walks. I don't especially care for the kind of pitcher who just kind of slops it up there and hopes to get batters to swing because of a funky motion (my impression of Rodney over the years, though I don't know anything about Knebel), but maybe I will grow to like Rodney.
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