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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Speak for yourself. My (mainstream Republican) dad would never have uttered stuff like Calvin said in Waseca. Don't normalize racism.
  2. ashbury
    Judas Iscariot probably did a good job during most of his tenure as a disciple, but one or two acts toward the end of his career kind of ruined his reputation. I'd be uncomfortable going to a church that had a statue specifically honoring him - it would make me wonder about their priorities.
  3. ashbury
    Concur. We talked during the off-season about trading from the surplus of corner bats to get pitching. We wound up trading a young arm for Kenta Maeda, plus a competitive balance draft pick (which the Dodgers spent on a pitcher, I believe), more or less. Pitching remains the coin of the realm. I don't recall exactly how our FO has articulated their strategy. Maybe we've been putting words into their mouth by saying "draft the surer bets, namely hitters, then sift through and trade for what we need". The problem with this approach is, either you trade the best of these hitters, on the theory that what you keep is nearly as good plus you obtain a prize in trade, or else you hang onto the best hitters, and find that the remainder aren't any more valuable to potential trade partners than to you. I'm not sold.
  4. ashbury
    Good body type apparently. If he can keep his good curveball after they completely retool his delivery in search of a 95 MPH heater, he'll have a chance.
  5. ashbury
    Span was a roughly average centerfielder all around, which means he was a better than average major leaguer. Those don't grow on trees. Don't think we ever heard a bad word about him. Give the man his due and let's celebrate one of the bright spots on a team ending its window of competition and entering hard times. If he's a Twin in his heart, he is in mine too.
  6. ashbury
    Oh, that.
  7. ashbury
    I think there are indeed some rules. Teams have had to deal with a limited total draft pool for several years now, and it seems like this idea has been mentioned before, in the negative, as an easy way around the cap.
  8. ashbury
    Bye-Bye Sabato wouldn't be the worst nickname ever. But wow, I looked up Balboni, and despite the hype when he came up, despite the 181 career HR, and despite token MVP mention in two of his seasons, modern metrics don't esteem him very much. Career WAR covering 960 games is a whopping 0.9. Yes, that means his career Wins Above Average (a higher hurdle than Replacement level players) is -10. With all the outs he consumed in order to produce his yearly 20-30 homers, his teams could have done a lot better by replacing him with an average talent. So, I hope this proves to be a poor comp for our new guy.
  9. ashbury
    Is he our first drafted player born in the new century?
  10. ashbury
    The under. But if he's over, could be way over. A bet that reflected this could be a different answer.
  11. ashbury
    A bat. BTW, and this counts for nothing, but in the OOTP season simulation I opened up, our self-same Twins drafted Sabato... in the second round.
  12. ashbury
    Ginn? Or does the surgery scare us?
  13. ashbury
    What is your Pete Crow-Armstrong stance?
  14. ashbury
    Anyone hoping for Ed Howard, SS, had their hopes dashed by the Cubs just now.
  15. ashbury
    "Ohhhh! He really... uh... stitched together a great inning!" Yeah, um, no.
  16. ashbury
    b-r.com says in 2013 SS Hunter Dozier was the 8th overall pick. There were 4 pitchers and 3(!) third basemen who went ahead of him.
  17. ashbury
    That could be a working definition of a "reach", of course.
  18. ashbury
    Looking at TD's rankings, both the Orioles and Marlins kind of reached with their top picks?
  19. ashbury
    Apparently the house analysts have a sense of humor.
  20. ashbury
    Leading by a run or two in the ninth, a guy on second and you're behind in the count, and you know TORK is on deck? Could be intimidating. Post-game reaction, "uffda, he TORQUED that hanger."
  21. ashbury
    Howard, probably? And he's exactly the guy I won't try to guess about, if he's available. If you pick him, you have to sign him, and that's a pretty big gamble, given the two draft picks we're already missing.
  22. ashbury
    My prediction is that the Twins first round pick will be someone they are shocked, shocked fell to them. Hope it's a good collitch pitcher. If there's a run on that category in the earlier picks, then an up-the-middle talent should be fungible. The pool of dollars that can be applied is too complex and depends on information unknowable to me, so I don't have a guess as to whether they might try something bold.
  23. ashbury
    Oelkers stings the most. Once you are past the first few picks, every player has been passed on by many front offices, so it's cherry picking or 20/20 hindsight to critique. As high as Oelkers was chosen, you have to assume Gooden was on the short list too, and they guessed wrong; if not, then that would be even worse. Of course any individual pick could just be bad luck. Prediction is hard, especially where it concerns the future.
  24. ashbury
    Like it or not, the people who make it to the ranks of sports-team ownership did not do it by adopting a financial strategy of accepting short term losses in the name of a larger long term gain. Show a profit every quarter (if you're publicly traded), and let the future take care of itself. If a loss looms, minimize it. If no games are played, the owners will collectively lose $X million. It flies in the face of their accumulated logic to lose even 1 more dollar than that, by paying the players to play the games. Sad but true.
  25. ashbury
    This sort of outcome occurs for #6 overall every 2 or 3 drafts. For each Barry Bonds or Gary Sheffield, you have a Paul Coleman or Geoff Girdley who never even reaches the Show, or a Jeremy Sowers or Seth Greisinger who has a few moments but makes no real impact. https://www.baseball-reference.com/draft/?overall_pick=6&draft_type=junreg&query_type=overall_pick&from_type_jc=0&from_type_hs=0&from_type_4y=0&from_type_unk=0
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