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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    As I suspected, this morning b-r.com shows a positive .169 for Wallner in yesterday's game. The only Twin above zero, in fact. I don't know whether there's a different methodology in play, to account for the digit 5 versus 6, but yesterday's number was likely a transcription error with the minus sign.
  2. ashbury
    Don't know where the author picks up the WPA numbers on the same day of the game, but that Wallner outcome looks like a straight-up typo, or mistaken copy-paste from somewhere. I look forward to cross-checking with the game log on baseball-reference.com tomorrow. You're right to question it, but the instinct to blame the stat itself could be misplaced.
  3. ashbury
    Are you sure it's only two? I thought it would be more, but I found 4 games in his log where the win-probability-added was negative. That's far from a perfect stat, but for the purposes of identifying bad games for a reliever it's a decent place to start. It's not always the earned runs charged either - an inherited runner scoring can change the tide in a close game. Aside from those, WPA gave him a nearly neutral outcome when he allowed an inherited runner to score in that 16-3 laugher we won against the Cubs. "Only" letting that one run in but garnering two outs moved us closer to that win, LOL. Your general point that the majority of Pagan appearances haven't been implosions is right, though. The offense has been the culprit far more often than the bullpen, and Pagan isn't the only bullpen member who has produced clunkers. He's not "THE" problem with the Twins season. But that's a kind of low bar to set, isn't it?
  4. ashbury
    Days after us finding out. It happened quietly a while back, for some reason. Prior to last season, in fact.
  5. ashbury
  6. ashbury
  7. ashbury
    Rocco's comments rarely are pointed. Today, while he threw no individual under the bus, his remarks were pointed. He's not a fire and brimstone manager, so one can smirk over his use of the word "disjointed," but there was depth to his meaning. How that translates to better performance, I can't say; this roster has its limitations.
  8. ashbury
    I don't know how well he tracks the ball when in the outfield - on the popup today it wasn't clear that he did, particularly on the initial jump. But in addition to tracking, you want your CF above all to be both decisive and correct*, and on that play he slowed up then sped up again, and that's going to cost now and then. He's only got 13 complete games of experience in CF so I wouldn't go so far as to say he can't play it. If he finds himself playing games again for St Paul, that would be a good place to hone the skills in center. * Jake Cave for example tended to be decisive but incorrect at times, which is probably worse than the other way around.
  9. ashbury
    This article aged well.
  10. ashbury
    I've had compliments before, thanks.
  11. ashbury
    Kind of a Catch-22. If Buxton becomes injured, then he shouldn't come back and play CF when healed. And if he's not injured, well, why mess with success?
  12. ashbury
    He's the complete package. It's rare to find a 14-tool player.
  13. ashbury
    I don't know if I said much at the time of his signing but I recall liking the idea of stashing in St Paul a youngish player who at one time seemed to have a ceiling of major league regular. His progression through his mid-20s suggested he was ready to contribute, and then he scuffled at bat for two years at the major league level after a fairly promising showing as a 23-year old in the weird Covid year of 2020. So he wasn't far from being an asset, and it's slightly surprising the Tigers gave up on him with a minor league option remaining. He just turned 26 and may be simply a late bloomer where it comes to major league performance. Their loss, our gain.
  14. ashbury
    .... against the meat of the Toronto lineup. The fact that this part of the lineup came up again in the 9th inning is the fault of the pitcher who succeeded* him by not taking care of business against the bottom of the order, not the fault of the bullpen strategy. * I use the term "succeed" loosely
  15. ashbury
    It makes my blood boil when people take a figure of speech literally.
  16. ashbury
    We got a taste of their strategy less than a year after they drafted Chase Petty.
  17. ashbury
    Given the change in pronoun, I will be pleased to bring you a wheelbarrow of our excess zucchini later this summer.
  18. ashbury
    If your stuff isn't swing-and-miss, you're just a guy in the bullpen and will suffer periods of what they call bad luck.
  19. ashbury
    Only catcher Cardenas and right fielder Kala'i Rosario are hitting worth a hoot in that lineup. Somehow CR is above .500 despite giving up more runs than they've scored. So far. Let's hope for an upswing, no pun intended, from the hitters.
  20. ashbury
    Max "The Beast" Kepler does have a ring to it, though he'll never be mentioned in the same breath with Jimmie Foxx.
  21. ashbury
    LOL, no. Reno signed a 10-year deal a couple of years ago. Never mind. https://www.milb.com/news/aces-officially-arizona-diamondbacks-affiliate-for-10-more-years Eh, Vegas and Reno have always been more like frenemies anyway. The Minneapolis versus St Paul rivalry doesn't compare. 400 miles of lonely desert road can strain the ties. Then again, Reno doesn't get along well with its next-door neighbor Sparks.
  22. ashbury
    I don't know the length of minor league working agreements - used to be only 2 years but it may have crept upward. But if the timing is right, I wonder if the Reno Aces become affiliated with the new Las Vegas team, and the Diamondbacks in turn work out something to bring AAA back to Tucson.
  23. ashbury
    Carlos Correa hits right-handed, and I'm sure he could handle first base. Whatever became of him? Okay, but seriously, in this age of short benches and 13-man pitching staffs, I'm not a huge fan of paying too much attention to which side of the plate a batter stands in. To paraphrase an old saying, I don't want a right-handed hitter, I want a hitter who can hit lefties. Only sign one of those guys if you plan to play him full time, and in this case we had first base well enough covered.
  24. ashbury
    Rocco will likely be here as long as Falvey and/or Levine are. But it might not be on the field. His analytic mindset fits in well with his depth of experience as a player, making him valuable for many kinds of decision making. I could easily see him in a front office role, if the W-L record doesn't improve and it's decided to get another manager, say more of a disciplinarian.
  25. ashbury
    But he was hitting .310, admittedly in small sample size. Wait. That was his OPS.
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