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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Yeah, the '92 season was shaping up to have a better Twins team than the '91 champs, and then... suddenly it wasn't. At all.
  2. ashbury
    At 2 years, $26.5M per MLB Trade Rumors, this changes some assumptions about length of contract and a preference for an NL team and/or spring training in Arizona instead of Florida. Suppose the Twins would have had to offer more, since they are a cellar-dweller, and maybe offer $28M. Would that have changed anyone's view on signing Dempster? What if you had to further sweeten the deal with a vesting (player's) option for a third year at another $14M? Me, I'd have given it a lot of consideration. I'm aiming for 2015 as the start of the full-contention window, needing to get through the next two years with fill-ins. If Dempster pitches well enough to vest that third year, maybe it's still all right. $14M isn't ace-money in this day and age. It was the presumption of a guaranteed third year that was the showstopper for me. Maybe $14M still isn't enough to lure him to the Twin Cities though; Terry Ryan can't give away his money, right?
  3. ashbury
    Depends on what you think a team HOF should be. If it's just a regular HOF plus a couple of guys you want to gripe about not getting into the regular HOF, that's one approach. Most times, it's a good deal more inclusive, and I'm fine with that. To me, an HOF should be approximately "guys who were in the discussion for who are the best few, for a considerable portion of their careers". For the regular HOF that means in baseball as a whole; for a team HOF it means guys who were arguably the best player on that team for a while. Then among those candidates, vote for who you liked best or whatever.
  4. ashbury
    I think you've put your finger on what is exactly at issue.
  5. ashbury
    Is that the one where Gaetti said afterward in self-reproach, "it's pretty tough to play this game with both hands wrapped around your throat"? Or the one where Ron Davis cried?
  6. ashbury
    Then I guess the idea is to wait and see, after bringing Correia home right at closing time, what quality of sammich he makes me the next day, before passing judgement.
  7. ashbury
    Sweet, merciful crap. You'd have to at least imagine the possibility that the league would've intervened. That, or the Colorado National Guard. I prefer the 1968 Dodgers link. Voila! Blackburn = instant Claude Osteen. (Give or take.)
  8. ashbury
    It doesn't disqualify him, any moreso than being young disqualifies someone, but the usual age for a first managing gig is younger than Glynn is and I am not seeing what makes him the guy who should buck the trend. The upside of going with someone similar but 10 years younger is that if you happen to really click with your pick, you've potentially got him for a couple of decades.
  9. ashbury
    I'm logged in, and using Firefox. If I click on Twins Daily - Kevin Correia And The Twins Face Obstacles I get 1 comment (Seth's). Same if I use IE. Same if I clear the cache. To follow up: this morning I clicked on the above link, and I see 101 comments. No idea what changed - nothing changed at my end, I'm sure. And another followup: the problem is now occurring for me in Parker's "All The Way May" article. Clicking on it claims to have only 1 comment, whereas I entered a second comment which I saw show up before I closed the window earlier. Interestingly, if I use the Search tool on the word "Trevor", this thread shows up twice, one claiming 6 comments and one claiming 0. If I click on the one showing 0, I do indeed see a version of the article with 0 comments; if I click on the one claiming 6, I'm back to seeing a version with only 1. I tried to include a screen shot but the reply system said that was too many bytes.
  10. ashbury
    Why is an ERA+ of 99 over the past four seasons (note that I'm anti-cherry picking by excluding his career year of 2008) crappy? Being league-average is hard to do against very talented competition, and is quite far above replacement level. Joe's no ace, but he can contribute to a winning ballclub, and can help stabilize this one.
  11. ashbury
    > May has been able to get batters “out” by throwing three “strikes”. On his way to these “strike outs”, This is an interesting and different way of looking at pitching, indeed at the game itself. You may be onto something here.
  12. ashbury
    I see in MLB Trade Rumors that Philly is looking for a fifth starter now that they traded away Worley. Looking for low risk, high upside. Any way we can pump up Nick Blackburn's reputation and get a prospect or two for him? This guy can be an absolute all-star with a change of scenery. Right? Right?
  13. ashbury
    I think the brain trust sees 2015 as the first season they'll really contend, but if 2014 is the "turn the corner" season then in your scenario it still makes sense for this to be when to bring in the new guy.
  14. ashbury
    Glynn seems kind of old to be getting his first major league managing job. I also don't see what's in his resume that someone hiring would find so fascinating. Not saying he'd be bad, just that there's probably 100 other guys just like him and a bit younger so if he succeeds he'll be around a good long while.
  15. ashbury
    > This is all dependent on him being realistic and realizing he is not going to make top closer money though Someone will pay the man. And I don't see Terry Ryan shelling out for a reliever when he's still trying to patch the starting rotation.
  16. ashbury
    I'm logged in, and using Firefox. If I click on Twins Daily - Kevin Correia And The Twins Face Obstacles I get 1 comment (Seth's). Same if I use IE. Same if I clear the cache. To follow up: this morning I clicked on the above link, and I see 101 comments. No idea what changed - nothing changed at my end, I'm sure.
  17. ashbury
    I'm logged in, and using Firefox. If I click on Twins Daily - Kevin Correia And The Twins Face Obstacles I get 1 comment (Seth's). Same if I use IE. Same if I clear the cache.
  18. ashbury
    Denard Span was NOT traded to free up money I didn't say he was. At the time of the trade, it was observed that a side effect is that some fewer dollars were now committed, and could be used to get an even spiffier FA starting pitcher than might otherwise be signed. Now, it just happens that the money previously earmarked for Span is almost exactly matched by what will go to Correia. As we heard repeatedly during the recent election, it's just arithmetic - on a team with a finite and not very elastic budget, signing decisions have consequences.
  19. ashbury
    This is key. If he gets someone good, then had this signing occurred later we'd be nodding in agreement about solidifying the staff or whatnot. But... until that other signing occurs, I'm cautiously pessimistic that this is as good as it gets, and that a slightly more expensive option like Saunders woulda coulda shoulda been better.
  20. ashbury
    The discussion about his defense, which I think can be major-league average, doesn't touch on why Maestro would be a depressing concept as a starting CF.
  21. ashbury
    Denard Span is set to earn $11.25M the next two years - Washington pays that now. We were hoping this money would be applied to improving the starting pitching. Well, $10M has now been applied to Correia. If the payroll is a limiting factor, it's because of decisions made like this one.
  22. ashbury
    Does the visiting team still get a percentage of the gate? I usually try to make it down to Oakland when the Twins visit, and I don't expect my policy would change just because of a rebuilding pattern. OTOH, it's just a couple of tickets, depending on who comes with me. If the Twins get 10% of my sixty bucks, that's what, enough to pay for a third year of Correia, right?
  23. ashbury
    I agree with the reservations about using WAR, and also that it is fun to do. I come at it slightly differently, and with focus on free-agent signings: to challenge for a World Series title, you should aim for 50 WAR. If you have a $100M budget more or less, that would be $2M per win. However, the way the Collective Bargaining Agreement works, a lot of your talent can be at near-minimum if you manage things right and have a bit of luck. A team like the Twins can have 10-15 players making minimum or almost - call that $10M in aggregate for 15 players, who can contribute half of your WAR if your youngsters are good. That leaves $90M for 10 players at market prices who will contribute the other 25 WAR, or just under $4M per win. This puts a clear focus on what a "team-friendly" contract like for Span and Willingham gives you, and even puts Mauer's huge contract in a much more positive light if he really can contribute 5+ WAR. It also explains why good-but-not-great pitchers who might give you 3.0 WAR are getting above $10M per year.
  24. ashbury
    Me too, and this is why 99% of the comments (including mine) are just jabber.
  25. ashbury
    That one goes into my quotes file. Thanks.
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