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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Please don't deface her, if you're intending to make her your new avatar.
  2. ashbury
    Fair enough - Wilkin is a pretty irregular CF.
  3. ashbury
    You're thinking of Koufax or someone.
  4. ashbury
    Florimon would've fielded that one. / and then thrown it away for an extra base
  5. ashbury
    Nice sarcasm. /rolls eyes
  6. ashbury
    So far, the jinx is working. Thanks, brother Jokin. Can you please switch to telling us how he's a shoo-in for the Cy this year?
  7. ashbury
    They say a butterfly in South America can cause a hurricane up north; I'm sure your breaking wind in Grand Forks could affect the game tonight.
  8. ashbury
    Nope, not coming through. Try standing on your head.
  9. ashbury
    I like those ads. Some do not, but I do. I wish they would show them more often. More is better than less because if stuff is not less... if there's more less stuff then you might, you might want to have some more and your parents just don't let you because there's only a little. I want more. I want more. Like, I really like it. I want more. It's not complicated.
  10. ashbury
    More cowbell. Mo' better blues. More or less.
  11. ashbury
    Eddie will be pleased to know his nickname is not in jeopardy.
  12. ashbury
    Hopefully Hicks's stay at R. Clyde Gardenhire Acres VIP Kennels will be a short one.
  13. ashbury
    Hicks established a willingness to take a walk in the minors. Still, I'm leery of getting too excited about it in his short time in the majors, largely because there was a period of about a week that stands out from the rest: Apr 1-13: .047/.109/.047 (46 PA) Apr 15-23: .167/.476/.167 (21 PA) Apr 25-now: .206/.250/.412 (36 PA) Phase 1, the first two weeks, pitchers went by the book for any rookie and tried to see if he would chase and get himself out. He did. He sure looks like he made an adjustment the next week, and the result from not swinging at crazy pitches was to walk at an extraordinary rate. Word got around after that, and he started seeing more pitches to hit; his results on the third line are below par but kind of in line with the learning curve we were told to expect, and in particular the power is starting to arrive while the walks have diminished greatly. This is somewhat cherry picking the stats. But I did this same thing before, during that second line of results, and guessed that he'd stop walking so much and would start to do something with the ball when in the strike zone. So I don't think it's really second-guessing and the suppositions behind the breakout seem plausible to me. So I wouldn't mark him as a super choice when "a walk's as good as a hit". He's getting there, that's all for now.
  14. ashbury
    I didn't see your view as argumentative, in the negative sense; hopefully my response isn't either. I'm not sure that drafting for need addresses the issue of risk any better than attempting to determine the BPA. Instead, after the first sure-thing picks are gone, you can try to reduce risk by going for a high-floor guy with a lower ceiling. Of course, no science is available to completely remove the risk of a complete bust, as has been seen many times in recent years. Need versus BPA seems to come out about the same: 1) if the player turns out to be a starter in MLB, you play him and figure out a way to trade away any excess, 2) if the player is a bust, it doesn't matter either way, and 3) if he's somewhere in the middle, you've addressed a "need" with a mediocrity, something that won't especially satisfy.
  15. ashbury
    Louder! And: Funnier!
  16. ashbury
    I fail to see why it "doesn't work" or how what you said is much different than what I said. Pick the player they want, assess the system as a whole after that, then trade if there is significant overweighting in one area.
  17. ashbury
    He's a corner outfielder, which isn't exactly a position the Twins are crying out to fill. Getting waived twice by age 24 seems like a red flag. But to my eye his minor league stats project to something maybe similar to Willingham eventually, which would be nothing to sneeze at for free.
  18. ashbury
    Like Nurse, I'm not sure what you were looking for here. Better answers? Better questions?
  19. ashbury
    This was the secret to my success playing OOTP franchise simulations. Players would turn down a 1-year contract for X dollars, but might sign if I threw in a team option for a second year at a lower price.
  20. ashbury
    You saw how they kept Doumit in the game Monday night; they'd likely bring up whichever AAA catcher is healthy.
  21. ashbury
    My take: if the Twins do choose an outfielder at #4, the trade winds will immediately start blowing. Can't trade the pick within the first year, but someone else big could go for pitching help. It's possible the Twins have such a trade already lined up, and are waiting until after the draft just because you never know who might drop from the top 3. Of course, making such a trade will be a risk until the draft pick proves himself a little; but then taking a pitcher with that pick is also a risk. No getting around that #4 is big-risk big-reward.
  22. ashbury
    We're talking about offense, and Jamey's WAR on b-r.com is split about evenly between offense and defense. Honestly it seems strange to me that a .660 OPS from an infielder would translate into as many as 21 runs above replacement, but so be it. But you were asserting that "predictable that the offense would get much worse with ... Jamey Carroll's lessened role", and now you're saying that putting him back in there wouldn't help, so I'm not sure what point you were really trying to make about him.
  23. ashbury
    She's actually a lovely woman, and I wish them both the best.
  24. ashbury
    NOBODY expects the Spanish Inquisition.
  25. ashbury
    Depending on where the single was hit to, and the arm of the fielder there, sounds like a run-and-hit that happened to work to perfection.
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