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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    That's probably the one I was thinking of - I always remember that landmark when driving from Fertile to Climax.
  2. ashbury
    Is that the hill just west of that town in Polk County?
  3. ashbury
    Yeah, it looks like it could get late early tonight.
  4. ashbury
    And vice versa, I expect.
  5. ashbury
    I was wondering, when Papi is replaced at first by Napoli after a fielder's choice, is the Sox's running game improved or degraded?
  6. ashbury
    I had a better imagination than you, then.
  7. ashbury
    What tipped you off? Him starting the game at .209?
  8. ashbury
    That's why it's so deceptive.
  9. ashbury
    Mine was the Land o' Lakes princess.
  10. ashbury
    I'm probably going to regret interrupting the bewb-fest, but if I'm reading Fangraphs correctly Scott Diamond » Statistics » Pitching | FanGraphs Baseball he sits at 88-89 most of the time.
  11. ashbury
    I'll have my fact-checker get back to you, but if true this would explain a lot.
  12. ashbury
    Please don't deface her, if you're intending to make her your new avatar.
  13. ashbury
    Fair enough - Wilkin is a pretty irregular CF.
  14. ashbury
    You're thinking of Koufax or someone.
  15. ashbury
    Florimon would've fielded that one. / and then thrown it away for an extra base
  16. ashbury
    Nice sarcasm. /rolls eyes
  17. ashbury
    So far, the jinx is working. Thanks, brother Jokin. Can you please switch to telling us how he's a shoo-in for the Cy this year?
  18. ashbury
    They say a butterfly in South America can cause a hurricane up north; I'm sure your breaking wind in Grand Forks could affect the game tonight.
  19. ashbury
    Nope, not coming through. Try standing on your head.
  20. ashbury
    I like those ads. Some do not, but I do. I wish they would show them more often. More is better than less because if stuff is not less... if there's more less stuff then you might, you might want to have some more and your parents just don't let you because there's only a little. I want more. I want more. Like, I really like it. I want more. It's not complicated.
  21. ashbury
    More cowbell. Mo' better blues. More or less.
  22. ashbury
    Eddie will be pleased to know his nickname is not in jeopardy.
  23. ashbury
    Hopefully Hicks's stay at R. Clyde Gardenhire Acres VIP Kennels will be a short one.
  24. ashbury
    Hicks established a willingness to take a walk in the minors. Still, I'm leery of getting too excited about it in his short time in the majors, largely because there was a period of about a week that stands out from the rest: Apr 1-13: .047/.109/.047 (46 PA) Apr 15-23: .167/.476/.167 (21 PA) Apr 25-now: .206/.250/.412 (36 PA) Phase 1, the first two weeks, pitchers went by the book for any rookie and tried to see if he would chase and get himself out. He did. He sure looks like he made an adjustment the next week, and the result from not swinging at crazy pitches was to walk at an extraordinary rate. Word got around after that, and he started seeing more pitches to hit; his results on the third line are below par but kind of in line with the learning curve we were told to expect, and in particular the power is starting to arrive while the walks have diminished greatly. This is somewhat cherry picking the stats. But I did this same thing before, during that second line of results, and guessed that he'd stop walking so much and would start to do something with the ball when in the strike zone. So I don't think it's really second-guessing and the suppositions behind the breakout seem plausible to me. So I wouldn't mark him as a super choice when "a walk's as good as a hit". He's getting there, that's all for now.
  25. ashbury
    I didn't see your view as argumentative, in the negative sense; hopefully my response isn't either. I'm not sure that drafting for need addresses the issue of risk any better than attempting to determine the BPA. Instead, after the first sure-thing picks are gone, you can try to reduce risk by going for a high-floor guy with a lower ceiling. Of course, no science is available to completely remove the risk of a complete bust, as has been seen many times in recent years. Need versus BPA seems to come out about the same: 1) if the player turns out to be a starter in MLB, you play him and figure out a way to trade away any excess, 2) if the player is a bust, it doesn't matter either way, and 3) if he's somewhere in the middle, you've addressed a "need" with a mediocrity, something that won't especially satisfy.
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